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January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm

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Post by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:34 am

the township salted the roads by me in edison but I have not seen a flake. Congrats to the folks in SNJ, enjoy

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Post by frank 638 Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:40 am

Same here in NYC so much salt in the ground but not even a flake

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Post by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:51 am

I was hoping to see at least some mood flakes out of this but I guess it is not in the cards for this storm

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:00 am

You can see the frontogenesis chasing the baroclinic zone (purple lines off NJ coast).  The batch to the west is what may give the I-95 1-2", but I'm skeptical as the air is really dry.

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Fronto11

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Post by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:11 am

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Img_2017 Barnegat,NJ. White Gold.

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Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:14 am

Right on Larry. I’m up in Toms River where it’s starting to pick up a little, I’m hoping when I get back to Bayville (5 miles south of Toms River) it looks more like Barnegat. Lol

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:14 am

larryrock72 wrote:January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Img_2017     Barnegat,NJ.  White Gold.

Beautiful! How much on the ground? I see the AC and LBI web cams and it's looking really nice.

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:17 am

Getting blitzed in SNJ! Wow!!

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 5A9CC342-B5E6-4CAA-83BE-6858232FE989.png.db3050494619b03112435d3f859b212e

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Post by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:35 am

heehaw453 wrote:
larryrock72 wrote:January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Img_2017     Barnegat,NJ.  White Gold.

Beautiful!  How much on the ground?  I see the AC and LBI web cams and it's looking really nice.
. I would say 3-4 so far. Plow just came by. Should snow until 3:00 or 4:00 today.

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:56 am

heehaw453 wrote:You can see the frontogenesis chasing the baroclinic zone (purple lines off NJ coast).  The batch to the west is what may give the I-95 1-2", but I'm skeptical as the air is really dry.

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Fronto11

I think 700mb is telegraphing where the snow will make it.

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 700mb_sf

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:58 am

The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb_sf

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:00 am

sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low.  If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb_sf

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb11

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:01 am

The 12Z NAM is nailing the reality of the dry 700mb air and understanding it's tough to snow on I-95 because of it.  GFS still wants to lay snow down to the surface. Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes   NAM does clip eastern LI with several inches FWIW and I can believe that as the storm exits because you have moisture transport setup there.
January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Nam70010

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Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:01 am

Snow has picked up considerably in Toms River…heading south back to Bayville/Berkeley now. Let’s see…

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Post by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:02 am

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Img_2019. One more photo

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:07 am

sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low.  If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb_sf

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb11

Agreed it's going to clip eastern LI Rhode Island and SE MA.

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Post by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:19 am

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 Img_2019. One more photo

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:36 am

heehaw453 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low.  If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb_sf

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 850mb11

Agreed it's going to clip eastern LI Rhode Island and SE MA.

I still think NYC is still in the game for an inch or so

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:20 pm



Awesome!

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:34 pm

More to add to teh totals !!!

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 991313954_Screenshot(1).png.01885e8771bc90e062b9e2e8840ed5a9

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:52 pm

amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 991313954_Screenshot(1).png.01885e8771bc90e062b9e2e8840ed5a9

Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!

So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.

Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?


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Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:55 pm

Snowfall just got heavier…January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 0725c210
January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 C1ab6c10

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Post by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:02 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:
amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!

January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 991313954_Screenshot(1).png.01885e8771bc90e062b9e2e8840ed5a9

Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!

So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.

Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?

I am not far from the circled area and have not seen a flake in edison, very serious cutoff

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:14 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:Snowfall just got heavier…January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 0725c210
January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm - Page 6 C1ab6c10

Go get yours!!!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
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WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:32 pm

Finally have a few flakes 😀

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