January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
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CPcantmeasuresnow
larryrock72
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
sroc4 wrote:sroc4 wrote:The MSLP hasnt even touched the coast yet
Also look out west. Once again the Pac strikes again. I believe Frank pointed this out a day or two or few ago but there is potent Pac energy crashing the coast which is affecting the western trough. We had prev characterized the western trough as "workable" but id put money on the fact that if that energy was delayed by 6-12 hrs the northern soln would have been the outcome. Just enough flattening to prevent a nice sharp turen more NNE rather than NE or even ENE to the track. I was so focused on the JS that I forgot to look west. The JS position is likely directly related to just how flat or amped the ridge out west is.
That's a great point and Frank did note that out days ago. The western ridge takes a beating these past several years causing progressive flows.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- do we even get an inch out by us from this?
I do. I still think 1-3 is possible N to S east of Rte 83 or perhaps William floyd. But it will come later
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
the township salted the roads by me in edison but I have not seen a flake. Congrats to the folks in SNJ, enjoy
phil155- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Same here in NYC so much salt in the ground but not even a flake
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
I was hoping to see at least some mood flakes out of this but I guess it is not in the cards for this storm
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Right on Larry. I’m up in Toms River where it’s starting to pick up a little, I’m hoping when I get back to Bayville (5 miles south of Toms River) it looks more like Barnegat. Lol
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heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Getting blitzed in SNJ! Wow!!
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35" WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.50
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35" WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.50
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
The 12Z NAM is nailing the reality of the dry 700mb air and understanding it's tough to snow on I-95 because of it. GFS still wants to lay snow down to the surface. NAM does clip eastern LI with several inches FWIW and I can believe that as the storm exits because you have moisture transport setup there.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Snow has picked up considerably in Toms River…heading south back to Bayville/Berkeley now. Let’s see…
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
heehaw453 wrote:
Agreed it's going to clip eastern LI Rhode Island and SE MA.
I still think NYC is still in the game for an inch or so
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Heavy, wind driven snow (near blizzard-like conditions) on the north side of Atlantic City, NJ! @NorEasterNick @ACPressMartucci @NWS_MountHolly @HurricaneNBC10 @CecilyTynan pic.twitter.com/R3ht1TTo9x
— Robert Bennett (@stormchaser0026) January 3, 2022
Awesome!
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
More to add to teh totals !!!
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!
Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!
So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.
Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
SENJsnowman wrote:amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!
Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!
So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.
Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?
I am not far from the circled area and have not seen a flake in edison, very serious cutoff
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35" WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.50
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
Finally have a few flakes
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