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Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:34 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Which run 00z? Snow doesnt look that intense but at hr 14 NYC already has 4-6 at 10:1 and i presume its not nearly close to over.

Compare the last two runs and their low placements/satellite depiction.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:35 pm

billg315 wrote:Area of heaviest snow later tonight  @rb924119 ?
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 3aa36c10

Certainly possible, and where my head has been at Smile

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Post by Zhukov1945 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:44 pm

rb924119 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Area of heaviest snow later tonight  @rb924119 ?
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 3aa36c10

Certainly possible, and where my head has been at Smile

Not a great look for anyone west / nw of the axis from trenton to nyc
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:46 pm

Mesos definitely starting to push the banding further west. A tic more or two and I95 folks will be quite happy

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:49 pm

HRRR nice jump west
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 Trend-hrrr-2022012900-f010.sim_ir.us_ne.gif.79f7d460bddaa0bee4cc4566636fff78

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Post by mikeypizano Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:49 pm

heehaw453 wrote:Mesos definitely starting to push the banding further west.  A tic more or two and I95 folks will be quite happy

Screw I95, make the I81 folk (me) happy!
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:50 pm

This.morning I said.
SE rocks only to come back tics NW.
East coast storm playback to a T

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:52 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Mesos definitely starting to push the banding further west.  A tic more or two and I95 folks will be quite happy

Screw I95, make the I81 folk (me) happy!

LOL. Too far my friend.

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Post by mikeypizano Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:52 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Mesos definitely starting to push the banding further west.  A tic more or two and I95 folks will be quite happy

Screw I95, make the I81 folk (me) happy!

LOL. Too far my friend.  

Not if we send NJ into the ocean... Twisted Evil
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Post by crippo84 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:53 pm

I could be completely off basis. But I see radar echos starting to pop back towards Scranton.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:53 pm

I caught a glimpse of the 00z SPC Meso Analysis of the H3 jet structure before it updated at 0100z, and specifically, the northern 130kt jet streak over the northern Mid-Atlantic, and oh boy. It was markedly further west of any guidance for the same time. If we can get that streak differentiated from the rest of the wind field, look out. They won’t be worth anything, but we might see some big 00z runs tonight to add to the madness.

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:54 pm

This brings it into NY Metro and a tad west.
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 Hrrr_ir_neus_fh9_trend.gif.05cb86a90c478541411bcca0b5d2db3b

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:56 pm

amugs wrote:HRRR nice jump west
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 Trend-hrrr-2022012900-f010.sim_ir.us_ne.gif.79f7d460bddaa0bee4cc4566636fff78

Thank you, mugs, my phone won’t let me post animations haha Jman, this is why I was happy with the HRRR haha

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 28, 2022 8:58 pm

rb924119 wrote:
amugs wrote:HRRR nice jump west
Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 Trend-hrrr-2022012900-f010.sim_ir.us_ne.gif.79f7d460bddaa0bee4cc4566636fff78

Thank you, mugs, my phone won’t let me post animations haha Jman, this is why I was happy with the HRRR haha
I see now, but it didnt really change the surface at all, is that not relavent at this point?
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:01 pm

Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 E57b7710

25dbz bands expanding into NNJ now. Seeing 30dbz show up in parts of SNJ. That’s a nice rate

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Post by mikeypizano Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 E57b7710

25dbz bands expanding into NNJ now. Seeing 30dbz show up in parts of SNJ. That’s a nice rate

So close, yet so far away... Just gimme like 30mi man!
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Post by jldio Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:08 pm

Still nothing since late afternoon. Hopeful something on its way. Thank you for all the guidance. Fun to track.

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Post by Zhukov1945 Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:10 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 E57b7710

25dbz bands expanding into NNJ now. Seeing 30dbz show up in parts of SNJ. That’s a nice rate

So close, yet so far away... Just gimme like 30mi man!

You aren't missing much with 30 miles (can confirm). Better ask for 100 lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:10 pm

Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?num=6&type=N0Q&mapx=400&mapy=240&brand=horse&delay=15&frame=0&scale=0

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:10 pm

The darker green is knocking on my door. And I can see on radar it is slowly expanding/advancing to NW. Good signs, im so tired I fell asleep in my chair, I may not make it
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:11 pm

500mb starting neg tilt now.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:11 pm

Look at that SW to NE orientation in the banding. Pretty extreme

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:12 pm

LOL google weather says rain starting in 20 min....u cant get much worse of a forecast than that. Very very fine snow here coating on almost everything.
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Post by billg315 Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:12 pm

30* with Light Snow here. Waiting on some moderate bands to make it this far N and W.
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Post by 1190ftalt Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:14 pm

Snowing in Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet altitude, still have 6 solid ( frozen ) inches on the ground from previous snow, Temperature is 27 degrees. Hiked up top of the mountain today to the Appalachian Trail at 1605 feet altitude and there is 10 inches of snow. The snow coming down now at 27 degrees feels wet? If you close your eyes it feels like light rain ? Weird.
 Good Luck Tonight!Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 6 De487d10
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