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March 12 2022 Strong and Fast Moving Storm - Winter's last stand for interior?

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 11, 2022 8:06 pm

Temps crash from 37* in NNJ to 27* in a about 6 hours. It's pressing hard as we move closer.
These are the storms we weenies love. They ramp up positively as we get closer to game time.
Alot like 13-14, 14-15, 17-18 winter storms

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 11, 2022 8:18 pm

March 12 2022 Strong and Fast Moving Storm - Winter's last stand for interior? - Page 4 Image.png.e27f8ccf8c52d3c3802fdd88b4eb61e7

Memphis thundersnow!!!

Bodes well for latent heat release with the massive dynamics this storm posses.

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Radz Fri Mar 11, 2022 9:46 pm

2004blackwrx wrote:
Radz wrote:2-6 for Wappingers where I’m working

Where abouts you working Radz. I live up there.

Doing a kitchen remodel on Doyle
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 11, 2022 10:28 pm


_________________
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 12, 2022 12:04 am

3km nam sucks for most near and north of coast. 1-3. big shift back NW with heaviest amounts. Hopefully this isnt a trend back. The issue was there was a large dry slot.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 12, 2022 6:52 am

This puppy is full of latent heat as the south experienced overnight and reports around Memphis and N Bama are 5" of snow. Lightening and thundersnow not out of the realm with this later today. Going to be a crazy storm.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by heehaw453 Sat Mar 12, 2022 7:24 am

I-95 and points SE c-2" including LI/NJ Coast/NYC
NW of I-95 (within 30 miles) 1-3"
Well NW of I-95 2-4" including NNJ/LHV/EPA/Western NJ
I-81 corridor Scranton to Binghamton 4-6"
Elevated areas > 1500' in NEPA/NW NJ/NY State Sullivan and Delaware Counties 5-7".  That extra elevation will matter.  


Storm is moving too fast for much more than that IMO.  Any slowdown which is doubtful would have sig repercussions on accumulations.

Nothing changes with my thoughts.  Cold air is on the move and by 10 AM I expect freezing temps in the interior. It will actually look genuine for a few hours.

March 12 2022 Strong and Fast Moving Storm - Winter's last stand for interior? - Page 4 Wetbul26

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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 12, 2022 7:39 am

37 down from 38 an hour ago and light rsin.
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Post by Sparky Sparticles Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:16 am

I woke up a bit before 7am to 45º and fog, but by 7:30am it started to drizzle out and is still drizzling at 8:15.
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Post by heehaw453 Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:20 am

35.5/35.4  Temp dropped 5 degrees in < 1 hour.  Snow has started to mix in.  Cold air advection is evident by the busy winds gusting to 25 mph now.

.3" in the rain gauge.  

Come on Mother Nature give us folks a smile before we turn the calendar!

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Post by dkodgis Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:22 am

35 here. Sleet falling from the northwest.  Something like from the 1 o’clock position to the 7 o’clock position.  Slush accumulating on the deck.  Falling fairly hard too
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Post by MattyICE Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:29 am

amugs wrote:This puppy is full of latent heat as the south experienced overnight and reports around Memphis and N Bama are 5" of snow. Lightening and thundersnow not out of the realm with this later today. Going to be a crazy storm.

Issue COULD be, we frequently look
At this as a factor that could juice you systems more than modeled and push things further NW - something we frequently root for, but not necessarily here. Though the flow is so progressive it could mitigate the NW ticks.

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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:34 am

Snow mixing in with moderate rain now.
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Post by heehaw453 Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:41 am

The rain portion of the storm has concluded IMBY.  Light/moderate wind whipped snow 33.8/33.6.  Good snow growth in the omega 700mb.  Pretty clear by the dendrites.

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Post by kalleg Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:48 am

Snow just replaced the rain in New Hope; 37, down from 46 at 6:45.

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Post by heehaw453 Sat Mar 12, 2022 8:51 am

Very impressive dynamics.  32.7 just about hit freezing at the surface.  Dropped 10 degrees in about 90 minutes.  Wind whipped moderate snow with colder surfaces already getting coated.  This will produce near blizzard conditions in the interior I have little doubt about that.

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:00 am

March 12 2022 Strong and Fast Moving Storm - Winter's last stand for interior? - Page 4 Fnpyx110

@Mattyice true about latent but not the case here so much. The front is too strong and will press hard. Path of least resistance by nature.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:03 am

March 12 2022 Strong and Fast Moving Storm - Winter's last stand for interior? - Page 4 Fnp25c10

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:07 am

Moderate wind driven snow now.Ground getting coated.
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Post by sroc4 Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:08 am

Our NW folks should do well with this. I’m routing for you guys. I still think the map that Mugs just posted by the NwS will expand a tad further east. We’ll see.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by heehaw453 Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:13 am

31.8/31.7 below freezing now with moderate wind whipped snow.  What better way to start off the weekend!

Colder surfaces completely coated now.  Pavement starting to get white and slushy now.

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Post by MikeA Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:26 am

Grass and rooftops covered in Flemington. Sidewalk and driveway starting to accumulate some snow. Moderate wind swept snow. Low visibility. Can barely see my neighbors house.

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Post by phil155 Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:30 am

Snow starting ro mix in in edison, seems early

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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:34 am

Moderate to heavy wind blown snow.All areas covered now.
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Post by essexcountypete Sat Mar 12, 2022 9:37 am

41 degrees and a few minutes of sleet turned into a few minutes of graupel, and now it's full on snow.
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