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TheAresian
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Post by amugs Fri Dec 16, 2022 4:42 pm

sroc4 wrote:Very interesting video. Mugs you ever hear of these Milankovitch cycles?


Yes and the Osgard Dansgard events as well. 2030's early 2040's these may kick in. If so wow!!! Cold will be even more abundant.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Dec 18, 2022 11:15 pm

Only 4.8 inches of snow so far this season and nothing but misery on the horizon. It goes against my DNA but I’m going to try to go cold turkey regarding snow. Another super GLC lined up before Christmas Eve is the final blow. I still haven’t recovered from the trauma of the 2020 Christmas Eve special that turned 10 inches of the white stuff still on the ground on the 24th into bare ground by Christmas morning. I can’t go through this again so soon.

The line from Marlon Brando in Apocalypse Now certainly applies here “The horror, the horror”

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Post by docstox12 Mon Dec 19, 2022 7:18 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Only 4.8 inches of snow so far this season and nothing but misery on the horizon. It goes against my DNA but I’m going to try to go cold turkey regarding snow. Another super GLC lined up before Christmas Eve is the final blow. I still haven’t recovered from the trauma of the 2020 Christmas Eve special that turned 10 inches of the white stuff still on the ground on the 24th into bare ground by Christmas morning. I can’t go through this again so soon.

The line from Marlon Brando in Apocalypse Now certainly applies here “The horror, the horror”

This rainstorm coming sure is a kick in the head,CP.If OTI was open again, we could treat you at the Sanitarium, but your going to have to go cold turkey it.Lets hope up here we can get a backend whiteneing of the ground.Going down to 10 degrees Friday night, so there is a long shot of a white Christmas!

This horror of the week to come as you accurately posted, had me dig out weather records I kept almost 60 years ago.Dec.23,1963 9 inches of snow fell on Fort Lee NJ.The day started off cloudy and first flakes were spotted ( I was in 7th grade in school) at 2:30 PM.NE winds began to pick up and barometer started falling.Temps ranged from 22 to 28.NW winds were noted on Dec 24, 1/10 cloud cover, cumulus clouds with temps ranging from 22 to 36.Needless to say, that year was a happy White Christmas!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 19, 2022 7:27 am

Quietace wrote:It looks like I need to awaken from my board hibernation for the next month. Let's see what happens.

What’s up Ryan!

The long range pattern looks ugly. Curious to get your take…

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Post by GreyBeard Mon Dec 19, 2022 1:01 pm

I was just checking my local forecast for the week ahead and for Friday it shows possible thunderstorms with a high approaching 60° and a low of 17°- a 40° drop in temperature. That's pretty impressive. Christmas Eve and Christmas Day has temps not getting out of the 20's. It might not look like Christmas without the snow,but it will feel like it, that's fo' sho'.

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Post by dolphins222 Mon Dec 19, 2022 1:23 pm

This stuff is so frustrating.

While its obviously no ones fault about this garbage pattern, as no one controls the weather on this site as far as I know at least, yet just when it seemed we were about to go into a nice sustained cold pattern, coupled with multiple snow chances, it now seems like their will be 0 snow chances for most of the board, and temps except for a few days, will be in the 40s and 50s, not exactly a late dec/ jan type feel

I hope the pattern changes for the better ( if u like snow which this board does) and we get our snow, bc its a very short window as to when we can get big snow, and as jan approaches, if the pattern is looking crappy, we may not get much of a chance.

lets hope that the same way we all thought their would be a big snowstorm at this time last week for this week, and that busted, this long rang pattern looking gloomy will turn out to be a big bust, and the snow will come.

I just want an epic winter, and unless u live upstate, we haven't had that brutally cold/snowy winter in many years. we are due

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Dec 19, 2022 1:46 pm

In Seinfeld, Festivus is celebrated on December 23rd.  The most inaccurate part of this video happens near the end.  What about it is inaccurate?  It's snowing in NYC on December 23rd:


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Post by HectorO Mon Dec 19, 2022 3:15 pm

My friend lives in Vernon. It's amazing what a few miles does. I have a patch here and there of snow, and Vernon looks like a completely different state. Everything was covered by a couple inches some roads look like they haven't been plowed. I think we just honestly have to get out of this La Nina pattern we've been stuck in. Until that happens I don't think we're going to really be dealing with any Winters to remember. It's been consistent... consistently boring the past couple of years.
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Post by amugs Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:42 am

HectorO wrote:My friend lives in Vernon. It's amazing what a few miles does.  I have a patch here and there of snow, and Vernon looks like a completely different state. Everything was covered by a couple inches some roads look like they haven't been plowed. I think we just honestly have to get out of this La Nina pattern we've been stuck in. Until that happens I don't think we're going to really be dealing with any Winters to remember. It's been consistent... consistently boring the past couple of years.

So true, I went up to Skylands Manor Saturday and there was patchy snow at the bottom but up top tehre was about ~2" STILL on the mountain. Amazing.

A moderate shaker that a jolt you!!

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Post by docstox12 Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:01 am

Still have a few inches of white on my property.I am lucky to have woods to my East and with the low sun angle this time of year, I get little melting.Areas in town with full blast sun are all bare.Don't expect any of this to survive with heavy rain and 50 but still hoping for a back end whitening.From my experience watching these intense cold fronts, there ar always heavy snow showers as it hits the warmer air.Mugsy is right, even an inch will survive with temps in the teens and 20's.Stay tuned.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Dec 23, 2022 3:53 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:35 moderate snow.

December 2022just teasing me again. At least cover the grass and I’ll be eternally grateful. I’m sure it won’t.

Have you been hanging with Jimmy?  

Have we ever heard from him since he self banned? I saw him on American for a brief period and then he got kicked off for whatever reason.

Honestly not sure. I haven't on here. I'm not on any of the other sites really any more. Too much drama for me.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 0.25"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Post by docstox12 Fri Dec 23, 2022 4:01 pm

sroc4 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:35 moderate snow.

December 2022just teasing me again. At least cover the grass and I’ll be eternally grateful. I’m sure it won’t.

Have you been hanging with Jimmy?  

Have we ever heard from him since he self banned? I saw him on American for a brief period and then he got kicked off for whatever reason.

Honestly not sure.  I haven't on here.  I'm not on any of the other sites really any more.  Too much drama for me.  

Have not heard from Jimmy in ages.Was going to go trout fishing with him up in Putnam way back then but now my knees are bad.I need an oil can like the Tin Man.Anyway, always liked Jimmy and hope he is well wherever he may roam!
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Post by HectorO Fri Dec 23, 2022 4:30 pm

Creeping towards the 60s NYE. Ryan Seacrest will be wearing flip flops and a Hawaiian shirt 😂
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Post by amugs Fri Dec 23, 2022 4:36 pm



Buffalo anyone?

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 25, 2022 12:05 am

Just got a email from Con Ed earlier that there is a issue with interstate pipeline and a gas shortage so to not use heat or appliances until Sunday evening. This us nuts. They are saying if a failure happens NY state or at least the con ed area will go into blackouts. Im in CT currently and eversource is alerting the same. So basically no one cook or stay warm in Christmas. Merry Christmas to you all though and hopefully we can get this fixed. If this is the case every time we have a frigid period I guess I'm going to pray for a warm winter despite I'd normally want what we all want. But staying safe and warm is more important.
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Post by richb521 Sun Dec 25, 2022 1:33 am

Merry Christmas to all on this board! Appreciate all your insights and forecasts as usual. Hopefully we get something going our way in the long range! Maybe something will change in the LR besides the current torch look, we’ll see.

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Dec 25, 2022 11:49 am

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 4 Image010

For those that remember, I heard from Waxman today. He made this in his spare time, old Shea Stadium #lfgm!

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Snowfall winter of 2022-2023  1.5"  

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 25, 2022 3:36 pm

Merry Christmas!!!!

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Post by amugs Sun Dec 25, 2022 4:11 pm

Merry Xmas to my wx board family.
Have a great day.
Reports of sleet and snow flurries South of Melbourne, Fla

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Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 25, 2022 4:19 pm

Merry Christmas everyone 🎄🎁�‍🎄🤶❄☃

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Post by dkodgis Sun Dec 25, 2022 8:21 pm

Merry Xmas

https://www.instagram.com/reel/Cl_0JPRJYET/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 28, 2022 9:10 am

Anyone following the Buffalo crippling blizzard? 36 hours of blizzard conditions. Sadly 24 people died, 48 so far from the storm. First responders where stuck and walked to get to the scene as Ibread the BFD call where 2 struck got stuck and 2 others could not get out of their garages so the crews walked!!! That's bravery, courage to the max for humanity.

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Post by sroc4 Wed Dec 28, 2022 10:08 am

amugs wrote:Anyone following the Buffalo crippling blizzard? 36 hours of blizzard conditions. Sadly 24 people died, 48 so far from the storm. First responders where stuck and walked to get to the scene as Ibread the BFD call where 2 struck got stuck and 2 others could not get out of their garages so the crews walked!!! That's bravery, courage to the max for humanity.

Yeah it’s pretty nuts. Look at these shoreline houses. Freezing spray off the lake.



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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 0.25"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 28, 2022 1:53 pm

10' of snow in the Sierra's - Drought for California cancelled!!
The map isn't showing the mountain peaks nor from what I have read can't calculate the hyrdodynamics of such.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 4 FlFTNI7XkAE7GfV?format=jpg&name=medium

This tells a diferent story of precipitation I'd say.

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Post by amugs Wed Dec 28, 2022 2:01 pm

Texas - natural gas saves their behind this time or else they would have had another catastrophy like last Februray to a degree.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 4 GgVvk5Hc?format=png&name=small

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/12/26/gas-power-saves-texas-from-blackouts-as-wind-power-collapses-again/

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Post by billg315 Wed Dec 28, 2022 2:42 pm

Let the torch begin. After several days of true winter temps, currently 45* and Sunny with even warmer temps lurking this weekend/next week. Ugh. Lol.
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 28, 2022 2:44 pm



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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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