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September Obs & Discussions

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Post by Bkdude Mon Sep 11, 2023 7:04 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Crazy lightning and rain storm video won't load...so far another 1.5 inches of rain

Weird weather we been having lately

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Sep 11, 2023 7:07 pm

Nothing much here, but fine with me, after the 3" the other day we don't need more!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 11, 2023 7:48 pm

Wow, major flash flooding here, roads backed up for miles I gave up parked and walked about a mile or so. I hope my car is there when I go back later tonight. Saw mill parkway had water up to cars roofs have make water rescues near the split to the bronx and henry hudson. Our power was out, then partially out now it is on but the people upstairs have no power. Which is very strange. Wow enough excitement for tonight, also had quite the CTG lightning show for about 3 hrs. The storm over us was nearly stationary.

Terrible in wochester county MA they have had 3-6 and are looking at 2-4 more in one hour! Hearing the flash flooding there is devastating.
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Post by dkodgis Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:52 pm

Looks like big time rain
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 13, 2023 6:43 am

dkodgis wrote:Looks like big time rain
Very minor compared to Monday, the rain is over for most from looks of radar and SR models once this line passes.
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Post by dkodgis Wed Sep 13, 2023 6:54 am

I am going by NWS forecast:

“ Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 11am and 5pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 73. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.”
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Post by dkodgis Wed Sep 13, 2023 6:55 am

It seems to me when the NWS says rain in estimated inches, it’s been more
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Post by amugs Thu Sep 14, 2023 7:55 am

What a glorious morning and stretch of weather we have coming up this weekend - sweathsirt and fire pit weather peeps!!

61* this morning, windows open and just feels like fall after a July stretch of weather.

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Post by frank 638 Thu Sep 14, 2023 9:02 am

amugs wrote:What a glorious morning and stretch of weather we have coming up this weekend - sweathsirt and fire pit weather peeps!!

61* this morning, windows open and just feels like fall after a July stretch of weather.
finally I just wanted to be a little cooler and I’ll be happy

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Post by dkodgis Thu Sep 14, 2023 9:30 am

I confess I turned on the 2nd floor heat last night for about six minutes . 51 this morning.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Sep 14, 2023 11:58 am

Turned off the central A/C this morning, hopefully I can do without for the next month or so!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by docstox12 Thu Sep 14, 2023 3:27 pm

Came home from the Cape to a beautiful late summer day, 74 degrees, sunny and calm winds.Dropping to 49 tonight and nice cool week ahead.Oct. 1 opening of OTI within sight now,LOL.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Sep 15, 2023 5:57 am

Wonderful 46 degrees this morning, clear, calm.Going to 71 later.Perfect temp range, no heat or ac needed!
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Post by GreyBeard Fri Sep 15, 2023 7:56 am

Currently sitting at 59° IMBY. In anticipation of colder days and nights ahead, I took a peek at current oil prices. It wasn't a pretty picture is all I'll say. I don't want to
ruin your day too. As the saying goes,"be careful what you wish for, you just might get it" comes to mind.

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Post by dkodgis Fri Sep 15, 2023 8:13 am

46 also here, Doc.
Greybeard, I know what you mean. Oil is up $10 a barrel in this past month. NYSERDA shows regional pricing by date so there is a “this time last year” comparison. Ugly
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Post by amugs Fri Sep 15, 2023 9:32 am

Low was double nickels - sweathsirt weather and tonight even cooler with the breeze and winds!!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Fri Sep 15, 2023 9:35 am

1st coastal of the season at the end of the month?? Would be great to get this started cheers cheers

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:18 am

Forecast low of 58 last night. Actual was 47.6. First 40s of the fall season here.

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Sep 17, 2023 6:15 pm

aiannone wrote:Forecast low of 58 last night. Actual was 47.6. First 40s of the fall season here.

Getting close here, low of 51* this morning lol

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2023 6:41 pm

51* as well zoo for my low, house was 69* when I got up, windows were open

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Math23x7 Mon Sep 18, 2023 12:20 am

I haven't been around much recently, but here's the deal: About a year ago, my cousin scheduled her weeding for this past Saturday in Cape Cod. When I first learned about this, my gut instinct was hurricane for this time. Turns out, there was actually a hurricane to track in the Cape Cod region this weekend with Lee. Around Tuesday or so, many ensemble members were depicting the worst case scenario for Cape Cod: a direct strike on the region, surpassing Hurricane Bob in 1991 for SE MA's worst hurricane on record. The thing is: my mother prevented me from speaking with my cousin, her sister, or her parents unless she told me what to write. So I gave guarded texts to them, telling them it didnt look great, but models could change from day by day. Turns out the following day, the trends greatly improved. I did end up going to Cape Cod this weekend as planned, but was still concerned about downed trees and power outages.

While there was quite a bit of rain and some strong winds (gusting over 60 mph at times), there were no power outages, and it was just some small tree branches and leaves that fell. The heaviest rain was done by morning, with just some lingering sprinkles throughout the day. And the wind gradually died down during the day. So the wedding ceremony was held outdoors in the late afternoon hours as originally intended. And just moments before the bride and groom kissed, the sun came out!

It ended up being a fantastic wedding after all!

I will leave you with this photo I took at dusk, which was taken right near where the wedding and reception were held.

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Post by billg315 Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:25 am

A friend of mine had a wedding to go to this weekend in Nantucket. Similar concerns to yours, and I think in the end a similar outcome. Haven't checked in with him to see how things went, but from my monitoring of the radar it seems like the worst of the wind and rain may have ended in the late morning/early afternoon there leaving better weather for that evening.
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:14 am

Had .80" of rain overnight. Fall like day and this pattern with an East Based NAO forecasted to settle in towards the end of the month may be an omen for the winter and things to come.

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:59 am

Weekend storm coastal showing up - buckle up?

September Obs & Discussions - Page 3 F6UPW1DWQAAS9Xa?format=jpg&name=medium

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 18, 2023 12:03 pm

BRRR Wednesday night - way to ring in Fall

September Obs & Discussions - Page 3 Gfs_T2m_neus_12

NAM goes frosty for interior

September Obs & Discussions - Page 3 Namconus_T2m_neus_49

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:37 pm

amugs wrote:Weekend storm coastal showing up - buckle up?

September Obs & Discussions - Page 3 F6UPW1DWQAAS9Xa?format=jpg&name=medium

Let's get that pattern clicked in solid by November so we can have an epic winter.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 18, 2023 3:39 pm

docstox12 wrote:
amugs wrote:Weekend storm coastal showing up - buckle up?

September Obs & Discussions - Page 3 F6UPW1DWQAAS9Xa?format=jpg&name=medium

Let's get that pattern clicked in solid by November so we can have an epic winter.
That would be great! Last years grand total of 5 inches from one storm was just a incredible joke, only plus was easy street parking and no back breaking shoveling (hopefully my shoulder, rotator cuff injury right arm, is better from physical therapy by winter).
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