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October Obs & Discussions

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Frozen.9
Aerojet514
rb924119
aiannone
dkodgis
GreyBeard
sroc4
frank 638
phil155
jmanley32
Math23x7
Dunnzoo
docstox12
amugs
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Oct 01, 2023 11:12 am

Life events got in the way of my activity lately, but I am looking forward to the change of seasons and the upcoming winter. September was a stormy month! The coast especially got hit card with extratropical and coastal lows. Sign of things to come this winter? El Nino....we will see.

October Obs & Discussions MonthPDeptNRCC

October Obs & Discussions MonthTDeptNRCC

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Oct 01, 2023 12:50 pm

Happy OCTOBER FRANK!! My favorite month! Hope all the life events have been good ones!!!! Thank you for the update and the web page change..orange also a favorite color!
low of 53...currently 73 freaking hot degrees..come on cold weather.
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 01, 2023 1:10 pm

Happy ROCKTOBER FOLKS!!

@Frank that Temp map is decieving becasue here I have about N temps. .3 degrees above normal. Which is what most of the area is.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 01, 2023 7:26 pm

"Orange" you glad the format changed?
64 degrees, slight breeze, clear.Going to have to crank the ac up this week after having heat on last week,LOL.An HVAC guys dream!
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Oct 01, 2023 8:18 pm

Couldn't have asked for a better day! Too bad the boys lost and we lost Buck. So happy this is going to last most of the week!

October Obs & Discussions Citifi10

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Math23x7 Sun Oct 01, 2023 10:04 pm

Some photos from Inlet, NY (Hamilton County) earlier today:

October Obs & Discussions D3d09d10

October Obs & Discussions 8b24e710

October Obs & Discussions 14f19810

October Obs & Discussions E3225b10

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 02, 2023 11:12 am

Well I was not able to get out Sat obviously but Sunday was great and got lots of new inventory for my E-bay store as majority of the towns rescheduled for Sunday, I went to Aberdeen, NJ. Absurd the tolls they charge going south of GWB but nothing north or west, why is that? Looks like we are not escaping another washout of a Fri/Sat, looks like 1-2 inches is a good call at this time. Lets hope there is no repeat of Friday, looks to be pretty fast moving. Though knowing our luck there will be areas of training, seems to be the thing this year.

Then there appear to be some interesting LP, tropical/hybrid systems in the very LR GFS. Lets keep this going in DJF and now M it seems!!


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Oct 02, 2023 11:30 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 02, 2023 11:13 am

Dunnzoo wrote:Couldn't have asked for a better day! Too bad the boys lost and we lost Buck. So happy this is going to last most of the week!

October Obs & Discussions Citifi10
Nice yes! I guess we both had good days Sunday.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 02, 2023 12:57 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Well I was not able to get out Sat obviously but Sunday was great and got lots of new inventory for my E-bay store as majority of the towns rescheduled for Sunday, I went to Aberdeen, NJ. Absurd the tolls they charge going south of GWB but nothing north or west, why is that? Looks like we are not escaping another washout of a Fri/Sat, looks like 1-2 inches is a good call at this time. Lets hope there is no repeat of Friday, looks to be pretty fast moving. Though knowing our luck there will be areas of training, seems to be the thing this year.

Then there appear to be some interesting LP, tropical/hybrid systems in the very LR GFS. Lets keep this going in DJF and now M it seems!! you
you pay for the parkway north... I think the tolls when we went up to take son to school were around 60 dollars..so its crazy outside of nj as well..lol Hazlet having townwide garage sale Oct 14th if you are down in this area.

ON a SIDE NOTE what a beautiful sunny day! 73* NO Humidity
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 02, 2023 2:43 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Well I was not able to get out Sat obviously but Sunday was great and got lots of new inventory for my E-bay store as majority of the towns rescheduled for Sunday, I went to Aberdeen, NJ. Absurd the tolls they charge going south of GWB but nothing north or west, why is that? Looks like we are not escaping another washout of a Fri/Sat, looks like 1-2 inches is a good call at this time. Lets hope there is no repeat of Friday, looks to be pretty fast moving. Though knowing our luck there will be areas of training, seems to be the thing this year.

Then there appear to be some interesting LP, tropical/hybrid systems in the very LR GFS. Lets keep this going in DJF and now M it seems!! you
you pay for the parkway north... I think the tolls when we went up to take son to school were around 60 dollars..so its crazy outside of nj as well..lol Hazlet having townwide garage sale Oct 14th if you are down in this area.

ON a SIDE NOTE what  a beautiful sunny day! 73* NO Humidity
I paid $14ish coming from NY to Aberdeen and like $24 going back to GWB. Yeah I have been to Hazlet, its pretty well picked over they have it many times a year for many years now, I think just about every house has done one lol. No tolls once you hit NY (after GWB) to RI at least, maybe in MA, but I grew up in CT (There is one very small toll in westchester on 95 if you go that way but there are many easy ways around that one but its like 90 cents. and RI and there are no tolls.
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Post by phil155 Tue Oct 03, 2023 5:30 am

Looking at the 0z runs it looks like NJ should not get too much in the way of rainfall from the frontal passage or system in the Friday-Saturday time period. Unfortunately for the folks in NY and on LI it looks like they may pick up some heavier totals but we are still several days out and the models will shift around a bit

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2023 12:30 pm

12Z Run
GFS .25 to .50 but CLI and ELI get crushed

October Obs & Discussions Gfs_apcpn_neus_20

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2023 1:59 pm

Sunday Night into Monday - HEAT is on !!!

October Obs & Discussions Gfs_T2m_neus_24

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Post by docstox12 Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:12 pm

amugs wrote:Sunday Night into Monday - HEAT is on !!!

October Obs & Discussions Gfs_T2m_neus_24

78, sunny, calm.
Got that right,Mugs, 41 low called for here Sunday night.AC back on again for this week.
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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:29 pm

October Obs & Discussions Ecmwf-18

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:31 pm

Middle of Rocktober pattern change - it will feel like it as the Aleutian LP take over and pumps the PNA - west coast ridge and pops trough over the E

October Obs & Discussions F7iNSJ2bcAIdS4O?format=jpg&name=900x900

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:01 pm

amugs wrote:October Obs & Discussions Ecmwf-18
If that shifts west we are in for a world oh hurt. This amount iof rain this year is obscene. And this time I am gonna be lieve it and its still 4 days out.
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Post by frank 638 Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:28 pm

81° too hot for me I’m tired of this heat. I cannot wait for the cooler weather. We should have this in the spring time not now.

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Post by amugs Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:30 am

.5" -1" area wide possible - CLI and CT get the brunt so it seems

Friday afternoon through Saturday Night. Lasts longer in CT and LI

October Obs & Discussions Gfs_apcpn_neus_17

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Post by amugs Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:34 am

Eye spy with my little eye......white gold in dem hills!!
Lake effect on Sunday Up Country?

October Obs & Discussions Gfs_asnowd_neus_21



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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Oct 04, 2023 2:11 pm

Freaking 82* urgh at least its not humid..lol just finished yard work..can't wait for sweater weather
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 04, 2023 2:29 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Freaking 82* urgh at least its not humid..lol just finished yard work..can't wait for sweater weather
93 here!
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Post by amugs Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:20 pm

This is an impressive block, PNA spike and trough. Holy, give us this D through M and you have a NESIS storm. 

October Obs & Discussions F7nlpf10

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:27 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Freaking 82* urgh at least its not humid..lol just finished yard work..can't wait for sweater weather
93 here!

Urgh..horrible..
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:37 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Freaking 82* urgh at least its not humid..lol just finished yard work..can't wait for sweater weather
93 here!

Urgh..horrible..
Especially since I am dying froma bad sinus infection, the heat does not help me feel better but Dr. said not to turn AC on as it could make it worse. Of course he forgot to call in my antibiotics and now the soonest I will be able to start it is Friday because I have to work past pharmacy closing time tomorrow night. Yes I am doing everything to get rid of it without but nothing is working.
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