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October Obs & Discussions

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Frozen.9
Aerojet514
rb924119
aiannone
dkodgis
GreyBeard
sroc4
frank 638
phil155
jmanley32
Math23x7
Dunnzoo
docstox12
amugs
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 12, 2023 9:15 pm

NWS lowered totals below a inch for most, hoping it continues to 0 and misses completely.

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Post by rb924119 Thu Oct 12, 2023 10:25 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:Dr Cohen says End of October is cold in NE

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 F8KfsScWoAAqIW2?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

I hate when we get early season Strat PV disruptions.  It always seems to snap back after during climatological winter and fights us.  We shall see.  

I usually don’t disagree, but I have a reason to think that this one might be different. Although, I think the GFS is rushing it a bit.

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Post by sroc4 Fri Oct 13, 2023 6:34 am

rb924119 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:Dr Cohen says End of October is cold in NE

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 F8KfsScWoAAqIW2?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

I hate when we get early season Strat PV disruptions.  It always seems to snap back after during climatological winter and fights us.  We shall see.  

I usually don’t disagree, but I have a reason to think that this one might be different. Although, I think the GFS is rushing it a bit.


Mornin Ray Ray. I hear what your saying and likely have an idea as to why you are saying it, but let’s just say I’m “gun shy”. Lol.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Aerojet514 Fri Oct 13, 2023 12:10 pm

Ling time no post….had to ask…where are you guys on weekend storm??? Is it a no go with so little attention??

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Post by sroc4 Fri Oct 13, 2023 1:15 pm

Aerojet514 wrote:Ling time no post….had to ask…where are you guys on weekend storm??? Is it a no go with so little attention??

Hey Jet. I think with some of the heavy rains over the last few weekends, this weekend’s rain seems to be kind of run of the mill. Here is the latest from Upton. Totals have dropped from when I posted yesterday. Some localized flooding I guess is possible if this comes down in a short time, but it’s likely to be more off and on from about late morning early afternoon Saturday through mid day to early pm Sunday

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Img_6812

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Aerojet514 Fri Oct 13, 2023 3:00 pm

Thanks roc…guess joey b had a rare whiff. Still love him tho. Lets see how it plays out. Looking forward to an awesome winter!

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Post by Frozen.9 Sat Oct 14, 2023 3:39 am

Already they are talking about another coastal rain storm for next weekend.....that would make 8 weekends in a row that we've seen rain....would be insane if this was the winter time....

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Oct 14, 2023 8:09 pm

Frozen.9 wrote:Already they are talking about another coastal rain storm for next weekend.....that would make 8 weekends in a row that we've seen rain....would be insane if this was the winter time....
yup, is it really 8? I think its more like 4 or 5 in a row. I could be wrong. Looks like a wrap for my for getting out to anymore town wide sales (next weekend Euro has a bit cvoastal comes in 2 waves sat-Mon, last weekend I got lucky with Sunday being nice, does not sound like tomorrow is going to be decent until late in the day. Yes if this does not continue in DJF I am gonna lose my you know what lol.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Oct 14, 2023 11:33 pm

I believe this is the 6th weekend with rain. So 7 and 8 are on the way!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:46 am

49* last night...had to put on the heat..sunny breezy, and currently 51*
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 15, 2023 1:03 pm

Out at Penn State Football gamOctober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Gfs_ms18e yesterday and miserable wx, 48* and rainy mose4ate at times. I've never seen mud as I did yesterday in all the tailgate lots, ankle deep plus in some area. At 6PM winds started kicking in and 46* felt colder.
NEVER AGAIN!!!
Tranquil week to another coastal next weekend.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by frank 638 Sun Oct 15, 2023 3:46 pm

amugs wrote:Out at Penn State Football gamOctober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Gfs_ms18e yesterday and miserable wx, 48* and rainy mose4ate at times. I've never seen mud as I did yesterday in all the tailgate lots, ankle deep plus in some area. At 6PM winds started kicking in and 46* felt colder.
NEVER AGAIN!!!
Tranquil week to another coastal next weekend.
this makes eight weekends in a row with rain at least today try not to be beautiful. I hope this weather pattern less into the winter for snowstorms. not that I want rainstorms every weekend.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Oct 15, 2023 6:28 pm

frank 638 wrote:
amugs wrote:Out at Penn State Football gamOctober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Gfs_ms18e yesterday and miserable wx, 48* and rainy mose4ate at times. I've never seen mud as I did yesterday in all the tailgate lots, ankle deep plus in some area. At 6PM winds started kicking in and 46* felt colder.
NEVER AGAIN!!!
Tranquil week to another coastal next weekend.
this makes eight weekends in a row with rain at least today try not to be beautiful. I hope this weather pattern less into the winter for snowstorms. not that I want rainstorms every weekend.
Euro is even more impressive, 2-4 inches rain yayyyy... NOT, today was a great day though.
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Post by dkodgis Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:35 pm

I notice we have not yet had a frost. It seems maybe the last week of the month we could get one. I see this as a few weeks later than usual.

The weather has been coolor, wetter. What will winter bring?

44 degree right now and today it was a bit cool with the wind. Doc, are you running the pool for the first frost and the one for the date of the first CP post?
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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 16, 2023 5:56 am

dkodgis wrote:I notice we have not yet had a frost. It seems maybe the last week of the month we could get one. I see this as a few weeks later than usual.

The weather has been coolor, wetter. What will winter bring?

44 degree right now and today it was a bit cool with the wind. Doc, are you running the pool for the first frost and the one for the date of the first CP post?

46 degrees, partly cloudy, calm winds.

I notice that too Damian, by now we usually have a frost here.We can run a pool on that will take it to banter.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 16, 2023 8:32 am

46* low this am
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Post by amugs Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:19 am

Lovely wet weekedn again!!

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 F8jiC6JWsAAl-bO?format=jpg&name=large

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Post by amugs Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:20 am

42* for my low

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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Oct 16, 2023 4:19 pm

First snow flurries of the year in Stillwater around 3:30!
WELCOME WINTER! 56 degrees October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 6b074c10
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Post by dkodgis Mon Oct 16, 2023 4:25 pm

Nice. It is 60 here so no snow. About 3 pm a rain storm came through. Intense for about 8 minutes, then ended. It caught me by surprise. I can to get off the tractor and come indoors.
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Post by kalleg Mon Oct 16, 2023 4:29 pm

60 and sunny in New Hope...

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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Oct 16, 2023 4:43 pm

dkodgis wrote:Nice. It is 60 here so no snow. About 3 pm a rain storm came through. Intense for about 8 minutes, then ended.  It caught me by surprise. I can to get off the tractor and come indoors.
The flurries lasted about 10 minutes and came at the end of a downpour, just got another downpour now temp dropped to 53degreez.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 16, 2023 7:40 pm

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Img_2096
October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Img_2097
The sky was so strange the pictures did not fully capture it. Looked like a funnel might come out of it
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Post by amugs Mon Oct 16, 2023 8:14 pm

1190ftalt wrote:First snow flurries of the year in Stillwater around 3:30!
WELCOME WINTER! 56 degrees October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 6b074c10

No kidding at 56* wow!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 16, 2023 9:55 pm

amugs wrote:
1190ftalt wrote:First snow flurries of the year in Stillwater around 3:30!
WELCOME WINTER! 56 degrees October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 6b074c10

No kidding at 56* wow!
Yeah um somehow I don't buy that....Nor do I see a single flake.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 16, 2023 9:57 pm

amugs wrote:Lovely wet weekedn again!!

October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 F8jiC6JWsAAl-bO?format=jpg&name=large
Not too bad, certainly not much comparatively to what we have seen, and this is over a span of almost 3 days, and 12z Euro has almost nothing, I would be perfectly happy with a rain free weekend.
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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Oct 16, 2023 11:09 pm

amugs wrote:
1190ftalt wrote:First snow flurries of the year in Stillwater around 3:30!
WELCOME WINTER! 56 degrees October Obs & Discussions - Page 4 6b074c10

No kidding at 56* wow!

Funny thing is I was driving and pulling into my Lake community with my wife and it just got done pouring rain and my wife said “ Look it’s Snowing “ ! I Looked and snow flakes were coming down . I showed my wife your snide comment and the the other one from the therapist ( scary) and she was very surprised to say the Least. Anyhow wishing everyone a record snowfall winter!  “The snowflake can survive if the cooling due to evaporation outweighs or balances the warming due to conduction from the surrounding, warmer air.”
Looked this up for you ,found it interesting ! The picture I posted was not of Snowflakes but of the sky all day here at 1190 feet , I’m right off the Appalachian Trail !
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