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FEB 13th Pre V-Day Storm Part II

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 12, 2024 10:49 pm

00z Canadian coming in...

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 12, 2024 10:53 pm

FEB 13th Pre V-Day Storm Part II - Page 5 Giphy


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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 12, 2024 10:59 pm

Canadian and GFS Kuchera look pretty realistic to me. Canadian might be a tad overdone in North Jersey, but if heavy band sets up there, maybe not.
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 12, 2024 11:14 pm

Colder air should start asserting itself over next few hours. 40 degrees here with a Dewpoint of 33* presently. Hoping temp is at least 33-34 when heavier precip arrives near daybreak.
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Post by essexcountypete Mon Feb 12, 2024 11:21 pm

The Canadian just made the GFS feel much better about itself.

Dare I suggest we have a hint of model agreement?

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Post by Irish Mon Feb 12, 2024 11:27 pm

Just got upped again from 6-11 to 8-13 inches. I'm guessing that was because of the new model runs that Frank and others were sharing/discussing.
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Post by silentwreck Mon Feb 12, 2024 11:57 pm

Interesting. Currently sleeting in NYC and Queens area !!!

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Post by NJBear Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:08 am

billg315 wrote:Colder air should start asserting itself over next few hours. 40 degrees here with a Dewpoint of 33* presently. Hoping temp is at least 33-34 when heavier precip arrives near daybreak.

I'm in Whitehouse and it's all snow(light) at 40 degrees.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:19 am

Just started sleet/snow, no rain! This likely bodes well.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:20 am

Irish wrote:Just got upped again from 6-11 to 8-13 inches. I'm guessing that was because of the new model runs that Frank and others were sharing/discussing.
Where do you see that? None of the WSW in NJ or NY go above 10 inches, most are below.
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Post by essexcountypete Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:39 am

38 degrees. Rained lightly for a few minutes and then changed to a mix of sleet, rain and wet snow since 11:45pm.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 13, 2024 1:29 am

Stopped and theres a huge area of the dreaded word showing on futurecast from western nj through nyc snd ct while it snows to the north and south for at least a hour or 2 could be a issue with the futurecast radar or the S word.
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Post by 1190ftalt Tue Feb 13, 2024 1:44 am

Started snowing hard at 1:20 in the AM, ground almost covered, 31 degrees out, sticking to everything but the sidewalk, went up to 37 degrees today so sidewalk still holding heat,
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Post by 1190ftalt Tue Feb 13, 2024 2:13 am

30 degrees now at 1:57 in the am, snowing pretty good, sticking to everything now , cars, grass and driveway, sidewalk has salt on it so not sticking, feels like a wet snow, approaching 1 inch,
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Post by essexcountypete Tue Feb 13, 2024 2:33 am

Changed to snow in Bloomfield around 2:15
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Post by Carvin Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:06 am

Heavy sleet in New York citymixed with big snowflakes

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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:12 am

Well off to a good start at least here:
32* and Snowing. Ground already covered. Colder than I expected and ground covered sooner than I expected.
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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:15 am

I’ll take this already at 4 am
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:21 am

Agreed. 31.8.0/31.6 column has crashed. Surface colder than expected this early. Ground is covered and moderate snow. LETS GO!!!!

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:26 am

h5 trough going negative. Want to see that continuing to tilt more. That would be indicative of heavy precip and possible close off. Mid-levels closed off and stacking vertically. Good things..

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Post by Irish Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:27 am

billg315 wrote:I’ll take this already at 4 am
FEB 13th Pre V-Day Storm Part II - Page 5 Img_2949
That's awesome!  Where are you?  Nothing happening here in Old Bridge, light mixed precip, everything is wet, no coating at all.
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Post by Coachgriff Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:27 am

Rain and 35 degrees in East Windsor.
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Post by Irish Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:33 am

Coachgriff wrote:Rain and 35 degrees in East Windsor.
Yup, lowered snow totals on TWC (6-11, to 5-8 now 3-5), went from snow to a mix for this morning.  Things must've shifted.
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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:33 am

Beat me to it heehaw! Lol. Was just checking out those same maps. Good looks so far.
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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:43 am

Flemington area Irish.
For folks with rain or mix atm the 850 freezing line (which usually determines frozen precip) and cold air is just sinking across NNJ right now (indicated by the blue lines on the maps heehaw posted above). Looks to be from southern Hunterdon to Central Somerset to just south of Long Island. North of that you should be snow. South rain. A mix in the transition. That line will sink south in the next couple hours especially once the Low moves to our southeast and deepens.
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Post by frank 638 Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:49 am

Lightly snowing and sleeting roads are getting slushy

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Post by silentwreck Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:50 am

Officially snowing in NYC, everything is getting covered!

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