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March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:52 pm

PV on the GGEM is stronger. 504 DM line at hour 96 on the GGEM is already in the U.S. At that time for the GFS, it's still in Canada. GFS also has a more consolidated PV. CMC is a little more elongated.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:54 pm

hey vinny neighbor, what does that mean?

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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:59 pm

Frank what's your gut feeling about this event ? Do you think it'll play out like you wrote in your blog ?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:00 am

snow you and I are not unalike, I was going to ask the same thing but wanted to give Frank a breather lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:02 am

SNOW MAN wrote:Frank what's your gut feeling about this event ? Do you think it'll play out like you wrote in your blog ?

Yea I do. GFS / EURO ENS blend. 1.00-1.25 qpf

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Post by Yschiff Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:02 am

Frank when do you think I could start geting exsited about this event?

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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:05 am

NAVGEM March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 Navgem_mslp_pcpn_neus_14
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:07 am

Yschiff wrote:Frank when do you think I  could start geting exsited about this event?

Tomorrow night after the chat session

pdubz wrote:NAVGEM March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 Navgem_mslp_pcpn_neus_14

It's about 10-15 inches of snow



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Post by SNOW MAN Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:07 am

Thanks Frank. I had a feeling you were going to stick with your gut. I think your going to be right on the money as usual.
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Post by Sanchize06 Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:09 am

Would definitely believe the GFS over the CMC, it's been going back and forth the last two days, meanwhile GFS has been consistent the last 8 runs or so.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:12 am

GEFS match OP

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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:13 am

good to hear 10-15 is still good
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:50 am

EURO finally started

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:53 am

Hour 18 southern stream is more amp'd than 12z

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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:55 am

lets hope it goes north and gets inline with the GFS
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:57 am

Hour 36 the PV is beginning to undergo consolidation east-southeast of the Hudson. Looks a tad further north from 12z. Southern stream definitely more amp'd.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:01 am

Between the impressive SE Ridge and the intense PV to the north, the boundary is going to create convective precip

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:03 am

The PV is stronger at hour 54. This could get interesting

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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:04 am

bounce 
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:07 am

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 1656183_748078575205258_1039252330_n

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:08 am

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:10 am

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f84

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:11 am

EURO goes boom.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:12 am

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f90

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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:12 am

ITS ABOUT TIME! affraid bounce cheers
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:14 am

Only thing with EURO is it gets the storm out of here much sooner than the other models. It does not even have the mood flakes for during the day Sunday. better run than last night though

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 28 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:14 am

Is that what u expected? And boom means good run!!

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