NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Page 5 of 16 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 10 ... 16  Next

Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Quietace Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:58 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@algae888 wrote:Ace anyone who gets .3 liquid equivalent is going to get 4 to 6 inches of snow
If you believe they'll get that much
ace I believe you will get that. I think nyc .2 orange rockland counties.1. so 1 to 6" from nw to se imo
I agree with that. Solid call

_________________
Ryan
Ph.D  Candidate at FSU
M.S. in Meteorology from FSU
B.S. in Meteorology from Plymouth State University
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3615
Reputation : 32
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 24
Location : Tallahassee, FL

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:12 pm

I have not had a lot of time today but still plan to put out an update around 7-7:30. A quick glance at the models and to be honest not much has changed since yesterday. I may not even change my snowfall map. We'll see.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by down tines Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:30 pm

@jimv45 wrote:this is not going to be a big deal really for most people  and i think it goes even more south lets move on!
Why some people do live in the 4-8 range on Franks snow map and are very interested in this storm
down tines
down tines

Posts : 39
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-24
Location : Allentown N.J.

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:35 pm

High clouds increasing.Good luck with the storm everybody S and E of NYC, enjoy it! I'm on far northern fringe up here maybe one inch,LOL!

Oh, also NYC area too, you get that 2 to 4.


Last edited by docstox12 on Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7242
Reputation : 214
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:36 pm

I didn't mean it that way I just don't think it will be that bad not thinking 4-8 more like 2-4 that's my opinion but i want you guys to do well and get good snows!!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1140
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Ulster county ny

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:39 pm

yea docs thinking snow showers you might get a dusting hey lets hope it comes north but our friends down south haven't got that much so hopefully get some!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1140
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Ulster county ny

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:43 pm

I still have a suspicion that this little storm is going to cause more problems for a big part of NJ than a lot of the super-hyped storms before it. If this comes in around midnight and we get a steady snow, maybe even a heavy band or two around 6-8 am before it ends, it will cause havoc with the morning commute. It doesn't take a foot of snow in a densely populated area like this to cause problems. I've seen a brief snow squall come through at rush hour that only amounted to a couple inches turn I-295 into a parking lot. Timing is everything.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3634
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Biggin23 Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:45 pm

SREF Plumes at BLM put the mean over 7 inches and only 4 members below 5 inches. I would think anyone south of 195 has a good shot at getting around 5 inches or so.

Biggin23

Posts : 259
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-02-11
Location : Jackson, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:51 pm

@Biggin23 wrote:SREF Plumes at BLM put the mean over 7 inches and only 4 members below 5 inches. I would think anyone south of 195 has a good shot at getting around 5 inches or so.

They have remained pretty consistent too. Interesting.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by down tines Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:52 pm

I been following Frank since the old 7 weather chat board along with a couple others... and the websites name is NJ STRONG WEATHER I thought
down tines
down tines

Posts : 39
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-24
Location : Allentown N.J.

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:55 pm

Yes, this forum is not strictly NYC based. I enjoy tracking for SNJ as well and I do feel they're in for a pretty good winter storm. At least 5"

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:56 pm

This includes eastern PA

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Biggin23 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:00 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Biggin23 wrote:SREF Plumes at BLM put the mean over 7 inches and only 4 members below 5 inches. I would think anyone south of 195 has a good shot at getting around 5 inches or so.

They have remained pretty consistent too. Interesting.

They have been extremely consistent for about two days now. I'm hoping to get five or so here in Jackson!

Biggin23

Posts : 259
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-02-11
Location : Jackson, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Biggin23 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:24 pm

Not sure if it matters, but the NAM may have nudged a hair north. Everyone south of 195 still does well with most in the 6 inch plus areas on the snowfall maps.

Biggin23

Posts : 259
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-02-11
Location : Jackson, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:27 pm

@Biggin23 wrote:Not sure if it matters, but the NAM may have nudged a hair north. Everyone south of 195 still does well with most in the 6 inch plus areas on the snowfall maps.

Huh? Looks like only 2-4 for most south of 195 on the snow maps.

Am I looking at the wrong thing?


Last edited by snow247 on Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:29 pm; edited 1 time in total
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:29 pm

And the NAM actually looks more south.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Biggin23 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:33 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@Biggin23 wrote:Not sure if it matters, but the NAM may have nudged a hair north. Everyone south of 195 still does well with most in the 6 inch plus areas on the snowfall maps.

Huh? Looks like only 2-4 for most south of 195 on the snow maps.

Am I looking at the wrong thing?

Yeah most south of I-195 is in the six plus shading.... The link below is total accumulated over the next 24 hours.

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021618&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=024

Biggin23

Posts : 259
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-02-11
Location : Jackson, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:34 pm

18z NAM QPF

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 NAM_QPFtotal_ne_f26

2-4" for NYC, 4-6" from CNJ south

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:34 pm

Is that map based on 10:1 ratios
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:35 pm

Wish that darker green would come north a little
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:35 pm

Hires NAM brings the 0.10-0.25 shade up into Rockland/Northern Westchester and SWCT. Correct me if I'm wrong, but with ratios that's like 3 or 4 inches.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Biggin23 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:36 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Is that map based on 10:1 ratios

I don't know for sure, but I think most are based off 10:1

Biggin23

Posts : 259
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-02-11
Location : Jackson, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:38 pm

@Biggin23 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:
@Biggin23 wrote:Not sure if it matters, but the NAM may have nudged a hair north. Everyone south of 195 still does well with most in the 6 inch plus areas on the snowfall maps.

Huh? Looks like only 2-4 for most south of 195 on the snow maps.

Am I looking at the wrong thing?

Yeah most south of I-195 is in the six plus shading.... The link below is total accumulated over the next 24 hours.

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021618&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=024

Oh sorry, I use wxbell and the snow map shows less on there.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:40 pm

Snow has advanced into DC. Reporting Light Snow 18*. Ashburn VA has Light Snow 18*. So that puts the leading edge about 6 hours or so away. Also, the northern edge of the main precipitation shield has moved slowly and modestly north during the day from the Ohio-KY border into central Ohio. Columbus OH now has Light Snow and Morgantown WV near the PA border has moderate Snow. I don't see this thing going south of what the models have shown. Maybe when it hits the coast a small jog north, but further south than expected I don't think so.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3634
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:45 pm

On the radar looks like the snow is finally trying to bust its way across the Mason-Dixon line in western PA from Ohio and W.VA.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3634
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 5 Empty Re: February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 5 of 16 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 10 ... 16  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum