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September Observations/ Discussion

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Post by HectorO Thu Sep 24, 2015 8:46 pm

This is a great time of year to observe. Especially the temp departure from NYC to the northwest suburbs. Seeing NYC in the 60s and us in the low 50s even high 40s pretty cool. Also glad to see that the Eclipse will be Sunday and so far the weather looks favorable since it will also be a perigee moon. It will be nice to see. Unless you're a conspiracy theorist, then of course the world is supposed to end that night also Wink
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Post by ak926 Thu Sep 24, 2015 9:14 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Strange that the valleys are cooler than the higher elevations tonight up here in the HV.
Its not as atypical as you might think. Especially up here, On clear cool nights you often get deep temp inversions from the emission of long wave radiation. Cool air is more dense than warmer air and thus sinks down slope into the valleys. Example was 2 nights ago here, Plymouth Municipal airport had a low of 40 degrees in the valley, while Mt Washington at 2km was at 44. We are on the slope into the valley, so we didn't have the lowest reading, which i believe was near 35.
Thanks Ryan ! I can tell the range of morning temps while on my morning runs this time of year. My house on the hill was 56 degrees this morning , while the lower valley was in the 40's.

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Post by Dtone Thu Sep 24, 2015 9:30 pm

Drought watch for a large chunk of northern and central NJ.

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Post by amugs Fri Sep 25, 2015 10:38 am

Sun through Monday
Euro Now
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GFS
September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 9 ID5N69P

Looks like it going to get a little wet - that HP is going to protect us from the soaking rains but showers with some easterly,NE winds .

I would gladly take a quarter inch of rain being advertised.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 25, 2015 2:46 pm

Sunday still looks like a mainly dry day to me. More clouds than sun, but rain showers should hold off until mid to late afternoon.

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Post by HectorO Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:30 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Sunday still looks like a mainly dry day to me. More clouds than sun, but rain showers should hold off until mid to late afternoon.

Of course, why would it be nice for an eclipse. Looked nice in the beginning of the week, but every time there is a celestial event something always happens like rain or cloudiness.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:35 am

@HectorO wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Sunday still looks like a mainly dry day to me. More clouds than sun, but rain showers should hold off until mid to late afternoon.

Of course, why would it be nice for an eclipse. Looked nice in the beginning of the week, but every time there is a celestial event something always happens like rain or cloudiness.

I was thinking same thing
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Post by snow247 Sat Sep 26, 2015 3:08 pm

Nice cool fall day here on the 86th floor of the ESB.

September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 9 Image10

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Last edited by snow247 on Sat Sep 26, 2015 10:42 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by docstox12 Sat Sep 26, 2015 5:52 pm

Magnificent photo snow247!

60 degrees, 73%, 30.31R
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Post by amugs Sat Sep 26, 2015 10:30 pm

Drought monitor here peeps.

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Post by Quietace Sun Sep 27, 2015 4:37 am

33 for a low. Socked in with fog as
RH is 100%

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Post by docstox12 Sun Sep 27, 2015 7:32 am

Woke up late, it's 43 degrees! 30.34R, 92%
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Post by docstox12 Sun Sep 27, 2015 7:33 am

@amugs wrote:Drought monitor here peeps.

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Ugh, hate seeing that and the lack of precip.Hope some of those storms on the long range hit us.
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Post by docstox12 Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:03 pm

64 degrees, 67%, 30.29 R. After very cool start, temps rebounding to summer like values.Skies cleared nicely and hope they remain for tonight's eclipse.

Can't wait to see the final average temp for this Sept.It's got to be way up the list of warmest Septembers.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 6:12 pm

The next 2 days we'll see temps in the upper 70s. Could touch 80. Then the pattern change will occur right around Oct 1st.

If anyone has pics of the Blood Moon tonight post them here. This event does not happen very often. Too bad there's clouds around.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 27, 2015 6:24 pm

The models seem to be honing in on a LP with a lot of rain and some wind (no don't worry I wont go hack crazy posting that lol) within 86 hrs or around Wed, Frank whats your thoughts on that, all the models now show this and 18z GFS really clobbers us rainwise. And again this weekend, verbatim that is, but since wed is only 3 days away is it still safe to say it could disappear? Also isn't saying at least one inch of rain a little on the low side judging from the totals maps or was that just for one event? Interesting week coming up and Oh I hope so bad we have these kinda of thing keeping LP from budging. Rain is no fun in that amount but snow is!
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Post by devsman Sun Sep 27, 2015 7:53 pm

So moon is up and for those of you who haven't read about it, the total lunar eclipse will happen around 10:11 pm. So far the clouds look like they will stay away long enough. It's about time. Think we've been clouded over for the last 4 lunar eclipses.
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Post by Dtone Sun Sep 27, 2015 8:01 pm

Clouds? What clouds lol.
the moon is spectacularly bright, and thats among all the urbanization. It muat be really nice away from the city.

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Post by algae888 Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:00 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:The models seem to be honing in on a LP with a lot of rain and some wind (no don't worry I wont go hack crazy posting that lol) within 86 hrs or around Wed, Frank whats your thoughts on that, all the models now show this and 18z GFS really clobbers us rainwise.  And again this weekend, verbatim that is, but since wed is only 3 days away is it still safe to say it could disappear?  Also isn't saying at least one inch of rain a little on the low side judging from the totals maps or was that just for one event?  Interesting week coming up and Oh I hope so bad we have these kinda of thing keeping LP from budging.  Rain is no fun in that amount but snow is!
nws map... for tues wens.
September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 9 StormTotalQPFFcst
jman looks like we will see a lot of rain in the next 10days. I hope it doesn't interfere with mets Yankees playoff games
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:09 pm

The moon is visible and bright here. It should look awesome around 10:11 like devsman said.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:10 pm

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:15 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:The models seem to be honing in on a LP with a lot of rain and some wind (no don't worry I wont go hack crazy posting that lol) within 86 hrs or around Wed, Frank whats your thoughts on that, all the models now show this and 18z GFS really clobbers us rainwise.  And again this weekend, verbatim that is, but since wed is only 3 days away is it still safe to say it could disappear?  Also isn't saying at least one inch of rain a little on the low side judging from the totals maps or was that just for one event?  Interesting week coming up and Oh I hope so bad we have these kinda of thing keeping LP from budging.  Rain is no fun in that amount but snow is!

It looks like this blocking pattern is going to bring us quite a bit of rain. With a closed H5 trough dropping in from Canada this is going to cause a lot of interaction with the H5 vorts. 

Between Wednesday and the weekend we could be looking at widespread rain amounts exceeding 2 inches or more, but I want to see how models look tomorrow.

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Post by snow247 Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:40 pm

Eclipse already happening, mostly clear skies up here in the LHV.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:46 pm

Take pics people!!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:49 pm

Here are the different phases 

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