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Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

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Post by Snow88 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:32 pm

Winter Weather Advisory for NYC

Up to an inch of snow and a few hundredths of Ice
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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:35 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@hyde345 wrote:Just got winter storm warning for 4-8 of snow and sleet. I'm hoping for more snow than sleet.

Sounds like they're going a little conservative, but I guess with the possibility still lof mixing and sleet it could verify.

I agree about them being conservative. I guess they would rather be a little low than high.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:37 pm

syosnow94 wrote:At exit 15 rest stop on NYS thruway. Heading up to mom and dads for the snowstorm tomorrow. They are under a WSW FOR 7"+. NWS POINT and click has them at 8-11". Driving home tomorrow night  in the snow. Jman if I can do it with my family you can do it with a bunch of dudes from a casino. No need to cancel. Just drive my man.
actually opposite direction. Been here in ct since last night. Was stay till mon but we not do so gr8 so since room is comped this go leave midday tomorrow. I just worry bout ice and I hate traffic back into nyc. No I cam def drive I grew up in new England .
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:39 pm

@amugs wrote:JMAN FOR YOU - start a seperate thread for the winds if you'd like

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An amplifying short wave trough closes off just off the New
England Coast Monday. At the same time, high pressure will
build east from the Mississippi Valley. Thus, there is the
potential for high winds on the backside of the low late Sunday
night into Monday. Right now, we are looking at NW gusts up to
45 to 50 mph, but they could be stronger. An eventual Wind
Advisory at a minimum will be needed, but High Wind
Watches/Warnings are possible.
cool yeah I was think warning go b likely. Yeah I'll start a thread unless frank wants to incorporate it in this thread. I like to go out in the wind but I don't stand near trees...
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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:40 pm

Hi-RES nam starts the low in Deleware bay instead of just south of LI
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Post by jimv45 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:41 pm

Hyde I am thinking 6-10 if no mixing I wouldn't be surprised 10 will be a hit for us with no mixing

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:43 pm

Odd I did not get any advisory on my phone for yonkers.
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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:47 pm

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Sn10_a10
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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:49 pm

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Sn10_a11
4k Hi-Res
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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:51 pm

@jimv45 wrote:Hyde I am thinking 6-10 if no mixing I wouldn't be surprised 10 will be a hit for us with no mixing

absolutely, with no mixing.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:52 pm

@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Sn10_a11
4k Hi-Res


Haha mugsy and I just get in to the action! cheers

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:57 pm

@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Sn10_a11
4k Hi-Res

Those numbers seem kinda low to me, particularly up north around Albany area where they are expecting a foot.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:09 pm

Glad to see we are talking about this storm. Last night when I didn't see it mentioned I thought I was seeing things. I will be happy with 6 inches. It looks like the above 18z run is trending to slightly less snow then we have been looking at.

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:15 pm

RGEM trended colder again - snow pack FTW!!

Zoo lots of ice and snow for us - and winds Sunday night through monday - not a good recipe here

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_8044.thumb.PNG.6946117ff07f5d81b161802e487a75a3

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:17 pm

Start
Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_8036.thumb.PNG.4078c253caff28a182304adbf4cc01c6

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_8038.thumb.PNG.a68c23c9811c99cbcbac517882193964

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_8041.thumb.PNG.5c316d64c1fa82b98461183b948cd470

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_8043.thumb.PNG.e6dc84e49357ccdc926274d6865c082c

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:18 pm

N Rockland County through Putnam here get hours of mod to heavy snow

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:20 pm

@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Sn10_a11
4k Hi-Res

backed off a bit, a little concerning but still just one run.
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:24 pm

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_asnow_neus_13

Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:34 pm

Map for tomorrow. Start time between 4-6am. End time 6-8pm. Most will turn over to rain.

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 February_12_2017_final_call


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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:34 pm

@amugs wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_asnow_neus_13

Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC

540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:38 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_asnow_neus_13

Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC

540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
540 line isn't always the r/s line. There is also an 850mb 0c line. Stormvista shows it nicely
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:40 pm

Could get quite icy in NNJ

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 IMG_0116.GIF.cdabcdd6021147882da8034d790b98a0

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:41 pm

WRFSunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 16640610
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:53 pm

@aiannone wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 5 Rgem_asnow_neus_13

Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC

540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
540 line isn't always the r/s line. There is also an 850mb 0c line. Stormvista shows it nicely

Alex as depicted above what altitude are the lines depicting there? Usually it says whether it's 850 which I believe is 5,000 feet or 700, 925 etc.
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Post by Lnda23 Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:56 pm

I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.
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