Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Thisnoffbthe euro but trend is colder so I think this will be updated


amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
hyde345 wrote:Just got winter storm warning for 4-8 of snow and sleet. I'm hoping for more snow than sleet.
Sounds like they're going a little conservative, but I guess with the possibility still lof mixing and sleet it could verify.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Winter Weather Advisory for NYC
Up to an inch of snow and a few hundredths of Ice
Up to an inch of snow and a few hundredths of Ice
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:hyde345 wrote:Just got winter storm warning for 4-8 of snow and sleet. I'm hoping for more snow than sleet.
Sounds like they're going a little conservative, but I guess with the possibility still lof mixing and sleet it could verify.
I agree about them being conservative. I guess they would rather be a little low than high.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
actually opposite direction. Been here in ct since last night. Was stay till mon but we not do so gr8 so since room is comped this go leave midday tomorrow. I just worry bout ice and I hate traffic back into nyc. No I cam def drive I grew up in new England .syosnow94 wrote:At exit 15 rest stop on NYS thruway. Heading up to mom and dads for the snowstorm tomorrow. They are under a WSW FOR 7"+. NWS POINT and click has them at 8-11". Driving home tomorrow night in the snow. Jman if I can do it with my family you can do it with a bunch of dudes from a casino. No need to cancel. Just drive my man.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
cool yeah I was think warning go b likely. Yeah I'll start a thread unless frank wants to incorporate it in this thread. I like to go out in the wind but I don't stand near trees...amugs wrote:JMAN FOR YOU - start a seperate thread for the winds if you'd like
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An amplifying short wave trough closes off just off the New
England Coast Monday. At the same time, high pressure will
build east from the Mississippi Valley. Thus, there is the
potential for high winds on the backside of the low late Sunday
night into Monday. Right now, we are looking at NW gusts up to
45 to 50 mph, but they could be stronger. An eventual Wind
Advisory at a minimum will be needed, but High Wind
Watches/Warnings are possible.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Hi-RES nam starts the low in Deleware bay instead of just south of LI
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Hyde I am thinking 6-10 if no mixing I wouldn't be surprised 10 will be a hit for us with no mixing
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Odd I did not get any advisory on my phone for yonkers.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
jimv45 wrote:Hyde I am thinking 6-10 if no mixing I wouldn't be surprised 10 will be a hit for us with no mixing
absolutely, with no mixing.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
aiannone wrote:
4k Hi-Res
Haha mugsy and I just get in to the action!

_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
aiannone wrote:
4k Hi-Res
Those numbers seem kinda low to me, particularly up north around Albany area where they are expecting a foot.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Glad to see we are talking about this storm. Last night when I didn't see it mentioned I thought I was seeing things. I will be happy with 6 inches. It looks like the above 18z run is trending to slightly less snow then we have been looking at.
2004blackwrx- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
RGEM trended colder again - snow pack FTW!!
Zoo lots of ice and snow for us - and winds Sunday night through monday - not a good recipe here

Zoo lots of ice and snow for us - and winds Sunday night through monday - not a good recipe here
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Start




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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
N Rockland County through Putnam here get hours of mod to heavy snow
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
aiannone wrote:
4k Hi-Res
backed off a bit, a little concerning but still just one run.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump


Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Map for tomorrow. Start time between 4-6am. End time 6-8pm. Most will turn over to rain.


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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
amugs wrote:
Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC
540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
540 line isn't always the r/s line. There is also an 850mb 0c line. Stormvista shows it nicelyCPcantmeasuresnow wrote:amugs wrote:
Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC
540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
Could get quite icy in NNJ

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aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
aiannone wrote:540 line isn't always the r/s line. There is also an 850mb 0c line. Stormvista shows it nicelyCPcantmeasuresnow wrote:amugs wrote:
Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC
540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?
Alex as depicted above what altitude are the lines depicting there? Usually it says whether it's 850 which I believe is 5,000 feet or 700, 925 etc.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump
I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.
Lnda23- Posts : 29
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