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Post by amugs Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:22 am

HOLY CRAP from JB

Joe likes the center to get down to 970 by the time it starts to occlude east of A/C. Says the models do not see the strength .
He sees 2.5 to 3 inches of liquid .

Thinks the center will hug the coast all the way to A/C then fade off NE

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Post by emokid51783 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:25 am

Why does the NAM handle strong storms better?

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Post by RJB8525 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:26 am

@dkodgis wrote:Can I get a MADONNE.    Please.  Otherwise I worry the storm isn't there.

we got one yesterday, that's when i was sold
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Post by Radz Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:27 am

@billg315 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:I decided. I am marrying the NAM. Will propose tonight. Wish me well.

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 5 58c2bc522bf74









I want to be the Best Man so at the reception I can give the funny but awkward speech about how when Frank first met the NAM he wasn't that impressed and called her "Not A Model" but then gradually realized she was his true love.

lol! lol! lol! lol!
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Post by le88kb Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:30 am

What does the timing look like tuesday am start ?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:32 am

Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:33 am

[quote="Frank_Wx"]I decided. I am marrying the NAM. Will propose tonight. Wish me well.

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 5 58c2bc522bf74

/quote]

lol! lol! good luck...just remember to get down on 1 knee!!

question..did the Nam not have an update this year?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:34 am

Ur wedding song will be the muppets and monster lol manamamam.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:34 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:34 am

@emokid51783 wrote:Why does the NAM handle strong storms better?

It handles the convection better due to the physics and algorithms computed into the model. The global models dont handle this well because they lack such. I am sure someone else like Ray or Ryan or Armondo would give a much better technical clarification, I just gave you the quick simple answer above.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:35 am

@amugs wrote:

HOLY CRAP from JB


Joe likes the center to get down to 970 by the time it starts to occlude east of A/C. Says the models do not see the strength  .
He  sees 2.5 to 3 inches of liquid .

Thinks the center will hug the coast all the way to A/C then fade off NE

if it hugs the coast, what would that mean for us on the coast?
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Post by emokid51783 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:35 am

@amugs wrote:
@emokid51783 wrote:Why does the NAM handle strong storms better?

It handles the convection better due to the physics and algorithms computed into the model. The global models dont handle this well because they lack such. I am sure someone else like Ray or Ryan or Armondo would give a much better technical clarification, I just gave you the quick simple answer above.

Thanks, make sense! This has been a blast to track!

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:37 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:38 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Ur wedding song will be the muppets and monster lol manamamam.

Thanks Jman..will not get that song out of my head..was one of our favorite videos...now its 21 pilots...lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:41 am

GFS is out to hour 36

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:41 am

@emokid51783 wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@emokid51783 wrote:Why does the NAM handle strong storms better?

It handles the convection better due to the physics and algorithms computed into the model. The global models dont handle this well because they lack such. I am sure someone else like Ray or Ryan or Armondo would give a much better technical clarification, I just gave you the quick simple answer above.

Thanks, make sense! This has been a blast to track!

No problem and you aint seen nothing yet - this is an archivable storm and teh maps along with it.
This may go down as one of teh greatest March patterns ever and thank to teh arctic wave break along with the MJO Trop forcing.
Oh lets not forget teh sun is being a good boy as well!


Daily Sun: 10 Mar 17


The sun is blank--no sunspots. Credit: SDO/HMI



Sunspot number: 0
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 10 Mar 2017

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 4 days

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:41 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@amugs wrote:

HOLY CRAP from JB



Joe likes the center to get down to 970 by the time it starts to occlude east of A/C. Says the models do not see the strength  .
He  sees 2.5 to 3 inches of liquid .

Thinks the center will hug the coast all the way to A/C then fade off NE

if it hugs the coast, what would that mean for us on the coast?

If that was the case there would most likely be changeover issues there after an initial heavy hit of snow. That's just one scenario now, any wobbles 50 mile east or west will change things for everyone concerned. Nothing in stone this far out.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:44 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@amugs wrote:

HOLY CRAP from JB




Joe likes the center to get down to 970 by the time it starts to occlude east of A/C. Says the models do not see the strength  .
He  sees 2.5 to 3 inches of liquid .

Thinks the center will hug the coast all the way to A/C then fade off NE

if it hugs the coast, what would that mean for us on the coast?

If that was the case there would most likely be changeover issues there after an initial heavy hit of snow. That's just one scenario now, any wobbles 50 mile east or west will change things  for everyone concerned. Nothing in stone this far  out.

Thanks that's what I thought...want to keep her close but not too close!!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:44 am

@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

Still snowing moderately here, almost 5 inches so far and I can't enjoy the moment because I'm so obsessed with Tuesday.

Things could be worse.
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Post by jake732 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:48 am

http://www.lakewood732.com/2017/03/tuesday-snow-storm-threat.html

READ AND ENJOY!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:48 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

Still snowing moderately here, almost 5 inches so far and I can't enjoy the moment because I'm so obsessed with Tuesday.

Things could be worse.
like none of us are getting anything done Smile ...and if I do not get up from my desk .and set my crock pot. there will be no dinner tonight...well maybe I will get up after the gfs comes out..

.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:49 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

Still snowing moderately here, almost 5 inches so far and I can't enjoy the moment because I'm so obsessed with Tuesday.

Things could be worse.

Yeah, they should have called this storm "Lucky" at the NWS because nobody gives a hoot or a holler about a nice 5 inch snowstorm with the monster lurking behind the stage,LOL.

Still light snow, 32 degrees, 85% 29.57 F
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:50 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

Still snowing moderately here, almost 5 inches so far and I can't enjoy the moment because I'm so obsessed with Tuesday.

Things could be worse.
like none of us are getting anything done  Smile ...and if I do not get up from my desk .and set my crock pot. there will be no dinner tonight...well maybe I will get up after the gfs comes out..

.

LOL, Mom, you are dangerously close to snowcoholism.I recognize the symptoms, I've had them since 1960. Get a grip ,Mom, and get those chores moving,LOL.
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:52 am

Not Necessarily peeps on the changeover - coast issues yes not inland - you have a banana high driving cold air down from a very cold air source.
Get it to A/C and the CCB just blows us up.

GFS looks better if you can believe this

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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:59 am


like none of us are getting anything done  Smile ...and if I do not get up from my desk .and set my crock pot. there will be no dinner tonight...well maybe I will get up after the gfs comes out..

.[/quote]

Joanne, talk about getting nothing done, I am still in my pj's! Took the day off to go to LI which was cancelled, so just hanging watching the snow and the models....

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:59 am

@amugs wrote:Not Necessarily peeps on the changeover - coast issues yes not inland - you have a banana high driving cold air down from a  very cold air source.
Get it to A/C and the CCB just blows us up.

GFS looks better if you can believe this
I hope not I font want any rain especially after snow it'll b all gone.
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