Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Sep 23, 2017 6:45 pm

jmanley32 wrote:18z GFS says watchout NC, My eye is getting very close to obx before jetting straight east, kinda a odd track, does she have any chance of coming further north or will that ridge completely block her?

That's bc the trough kicks it east if that trough is slower maybe it comes north

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Sep 23, 2017 8:40 pm

That looks north and west 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 17 Img_9410

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 23, 2017 9:00 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:That looks north and west

Wow yeah, that looks more ominous than the GEFS did for Jose.

by **Sanchize06** Sat Sep 23, 2017 9:44 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:That looks north and west
Wow yeah, that looks more ominous than the GEFS did for Jose.

Looks like that is yesterday's 18z GEFS. Today's runs were a little SE.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 17 15L_gefs_18z

by **sroc4** Sun Sep 24, 2017 1:12 am

Just close enough to tease us. Don't get sucked in.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 24, 2017 11:50 am

sroc4 wrote:Just close enough to tease us. Don't get sucked in.

yeah i see that, not concerned.

by **Snow88** Sun Sep 24, 2017 9:38 pm

Maria will stay well offshore

Looks like we go in a lull for the foreseeable future

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 24, 2017 9:44 pm

Snow88 wrote:Maria will stay well offshore

Looks like we go in a lull for the foreseeable future

Glad ...just want it to get cooler so we can enjoy fall and slide into winter and Snow!!

by **amugs** Wed Sep 27, 2017 8:13 pm

Carribean needs to be watched in the 1st half of Rocktober for trop development low pressure's over there with low shear spells spin ups.

by **sroc4** Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:37 pm

Unbelievable video from Maria passing over PR. affraid

by **amugs** Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:54 pm

That is just remarkable footage.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Oct 02, 2017 10:35 am

sroc4 wrote:Unbelievable video from Maria passing over PR.

HOLY CRAP

I think we can say R.I.P to the hurricane season. But wow Maria really caused so much damage to PR. Feel bad for them.

by **jmanley32** Mon Oct 02, 2017 6:20 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Unbelievable video from Maria passing over PR.

HOLY CRAP

I think we can say R.I.P to the hurricane season. But wow Maria really caused so much damage to PR. Feel bad for them.

Crazy, how can you say RIP when its been so active, it may just be a lull we have all of October which can be very active. Or is there a reason you think we may not see any more development? Of course the CMC is doing its crazy Dance but I have heard some talk of a threat for FL around the 10th. Larry Cosgrove says its a viable threat.

by **amugs** Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:52 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Unbelievable video from Maria passing over PR.

HOLY CRAP

I think we can say R.I.P to the hurricane season. But wow Maria really caused so much damage to PR. Feel bad for them.
Crazy, how can you say RIP when its been so active, it may just be a lull we have all of October which can be very active. Or is there a reason you think we may not see any more development? Of course the CMC is doing its crazy Dance but I have heard some talk of a threat for FL around the 10th. Larry Cosgrove says its a viable threat.

Next 10 days we can see something develop in the Western Caribbean. All mets are talkin' about this, may not be a USA threat overall but there is the chance that we see some type of trop cyclone development. Also, Jman the next couple of summers could be like this past tropcial season due to La Nina and low solar inducing High Lattitude blocking

by **amugs** Tue Oct 03, 2017 1:20 pm

by **Snow88** Tue Oct 03, 2017 5:56 pm

^^ 12z Euro continues the theme

by **amugs** Tue Oct 03, 2017 6:53 pm

well well well just when you thought it was over!!

by **Snow88** Wed Oct 04, 2017 9:33 am

EPS has the low going over the Panhandle and then up the east coast

by **amugs** Wed Oct 04, 2017 10:46 am

EURO

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 17 AL90_2017100400_ECENS

GEFS

Lets hope so both would bring us some rain!!

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Oct 04, 2017 12:28 pm

NHC cone depicting Hurricane Nate on the FL panhandle Sunday AM...

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 17 Img_6510

by **amugs** Wed Oct 04, 2017 2:04 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:NHC cone depicting Hurricane Nate on the FL panhandle Sunday AM...

So they are buying the EPS and EURO.

by **algae888** Wed Oct 04, 2017 2:57 pm

Euro is 974 mb at landfall well east of gfs, cmc. The one thing this system will do is to send another shot of very cold air between Days Seven and 10 in to our neck of the woodsif euro is right Very Happy

by **jmanley32** Wed Oct 04, 2017 8:09 pm

12z euro has a pretty potent storm with rain and fairly high winds with the remnants. I can only see the 24 he skip can someone post the he it's over the area for 925 or 850 mb winds? I know nothing us verbatim just curious. Did not even realize we had Nate lol.

by **sroc4** Wed Oct 04, 2017 9:51 pm

Levis latest video is great. Check it out. Love the nerd talk. This guys is phenomenal with the tropics. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/2017/10/04/wednesday-evening-td16-forms-expected-to-strengthen-and-impact-central-america-and-u-s-gulf-coast/#comments

by **Snow88** Wed Oct 04, 2017 10:11 pm

Euro has 65+ wind gusts for the NYC area

by Nyi1058 Wed Oct 04, 2017 11:49 pm

Hey fellas I'm supposed to head to charlotte this weekend for Sunday's NASCAR race , what's the deal with this damn thing ugh!!!!!!

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Oct 05, 2017 9:37 am

Nyi1058 wrote:Hey fellas I'm supposed to head to charlotte this weekend for Sunday's NASCAR race , what's the deal with this damn thing ugh!!!!!!

I guess plan to stay an extra day, not sure if they are going to get it in, who's your favorite driver? I'm a Truex fan since Carl left.

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