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Rocktober Obs/Discussions

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aiannone
skinsfan1177
Dtone
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algae888
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 26, 2017 9:32 am

@amugs wrote:UKIE a Tucked beast

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.thumb.gif.3970cff67008cf0f99f05fe9c11c9382
Yeah baby! Bring her in! Need some excitement around here been basically 6+ months of boring weather for me anyways.
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:10 am

This would be a sick KU type storm if it were D-F
N WPO, EPO, P PNA and a North Atlantic Rex Block!!
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 DNDzJO7WkAATLwK
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 DNEA815XkAAqqCo
BTW - Jim Witt has a Nor"easter/East Coast storm on his long range calendar for 10-30
and.....................12-22 , 2-3 timeframes - +/- 3 days - BOOYAHHH!

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:20 am

@amugs wrote:This would be a sick KU type storm if it were D-F
N WPO, EPO, P PNA and a North Atlantic Rex Block!!
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 DNDzJO7WkAATLwK
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 DNEA815XkAAqqCo
BTW - Jim Witt has a Nor"easter/East Coast storm on his long range calendar for 10-30
and.....................12-22 , 2-3 timeframes - +/- 3 days - BOOYAHHH!
That is one heck of a deep trough, no wonder it pulls up that tropical mass.  Man it would be a epic blizzard if it were winter. By the looks of that this may not even be done with how strong this system could be if we get a full phase, and that looks very possible with it scooping right up coast. Just do not it too far east, I need to fly lol
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Post by algae888 Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:35 am

see jon isn't more fun tracking nor'easters than hurricanes. much higher probability of hitting us. those wave breaks in the pacific that mugs and I have been talking about has really amplified the pattern. sometimes we do not need a -nao just ridging in the right places. plus we fare far better when the nao is moving from +/- or vise versa than a consistently -neg one. wave breaks in the pac should continue for the foreseeable future so expect more storminess to continue for awhile. on a winter note if the pac stays like this we will have a great winter!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:47 am

@algae888 wrote:see jon isn't more fun tracking nor'easters than hurricanes. much higher probability of hitting us. those wave breaks in the pacific that mugs and I have been talking about has really amplified the pattern. sometimes we do not need a -nao just ridging in the right places. plus we fare far better when the nao is moving from +/-  or vise versa than a consistently  -neg one. wave breaks in the pac should continue for the foreseeable future so expect more storminess to continue for awhile. on a winter note if the pac stays like this we will have a great winter!
In terms of having more hope for a big storm yes, though I still like to track all systems but yes, plus these are not so unpredictable and drawn out. Well I guess they can be if shows up consistently in LR then we all go weenie and start tracking which is ironic cuz if its the tropics, like you for instance think its bogus lol, snow bias
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:18 pm

OMG!!!!!!!EURO DROPS THE MIC ON US JESUS!!!

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Temp goes from 68 to 45 in 6 hours at knyc with 60+mph wind gusts

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:19 pm

HOLY POOP 974 over western jersey that is serious peeps!! BIG TIME

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:20 pm

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_us_5.thumb.png.fe261860ff0a33a8732cdc7b94111df3

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:22 pm

Do i have to drive home for this lol or should i stay in Binghamton?
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:24 pm

YIKES!!!!!!!!!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 DNFXoMtVQAAcx2y

_________________
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by algae888 Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:28 pm

wow on euro...
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_us_5
it looks as if winds will be stronger on backside of system Monday morning
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:36 pm

Started a thread

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Post by amugs Thu Oct 26, 2017 2:57 pm

WIND MAN JMAN FA YU!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_uv10g_mph_nyc_16.thumb.png.97b6fe1e3528caeee9d766f32fea3ec1
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Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Rain.thumb.png.c5acd0988b1db2c9ad741d656e00d9af

_________________
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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 26, 2017 5:49 pm

@amugs wrote:WIND MAN JMAN FA YU!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_uv10g_mph_nyc_16.thumb.png.97b6fe1e3528caeee9d766f32fea3ec1
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_uv10g_mph_nyc_17.thumb.png.1dbe7663ddeb4d5c5122e774987b0394

Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_uv10g_mph_nyc_18.thumb.png.f77f36c460625c95af8f982d5fe65a59
Rocktober Obs/Discussions - Page 6 Rain.thumb.png.c5acd0988b1db2c9ad741d656e00d9af
My bad I hit report on this opps. Of course it's going b while I'm at work looks get stronger later in day so maybe I'll still bbable catch some good eind to watch. No real window at work.
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Post by Math23x7 Fri Oct 27, 2017 3:05 pm

Looking at the temperatures from the first 26 days of October and looking at the next few days to end October, this could very well break the record for the warmest October for CPK.

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Post by Math23x7 Wed Nov 01, 2017 1:23 am

October 2017 was the warmest October on record for Central Park going back to 1869.

It finished with an average temperature at 64.1, 7.2 degrees above normal and 0.5 degrees above the old record of 63.6 set in both 1947 and 2007.

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Post by Dtone Wed Nov 01, 2017 10:41 am

@Math23x7 wrote:October 2017 was the warmest October on record for Central Park going back to 1869.

It finished with an average temperature at 64.1, 7.2 degrees above normal and 0.5 degrees above the old record of 63.6 set in both 1947 and 2007.


Only 3 below normal days during Oct in Central Park. Oct 1st (-3.1), 17th (-6.4) and 31st (-1.4).

Meanwhile it had 13 days of departures of +10 or more. Including a 7 consecutive day stretch.
4 days w/highs in the 80s.
A lot of mild nights, 12 60+ low temps including 2 days with lows 70+.

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