Rocktober Obs/Discussions
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
41° this morning
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Morning low of 43*
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
38 lowest reading this fall so far
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
First frost up here.My temp sensor for my weather unit is on the bum but it had to be freezing or a bit below.Sunny day ahead.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
I registered 42* tis mornin for me low.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Phase 5 for Rocktober - Get out da woolies!


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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
low 43 for me this morning.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Here it comes next week


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Yes mugs the wave break and the MJ pulse into 5 and if guidance is correct near record mjo pulse you can expect a East Coast storm sometime next week. Very likely rain and wind but don't discount a few flakes especially Northwest of here and probably a good bet that New England sees their first snow next week
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Every model shows a deep trough . Have to see if a storm comes up the coast with the modeled trough.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
@amugs wrote:
I registered 42* tis mornin for me low.
Heat wave for you, I had 32* and some frost on my car

_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
43.6* for the morning low here on the island. Wind never died down so temp stayed up there. Currently 49.1*
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
The tropics shows a storm for several runs now drawn up and into the coast by GFS, yes I understand its in very LR but lets see what happens.@Snow88 wrote:Every model shows a deep trough . Have to see if a storm comes up the coast with the modeled trough.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Al here comes the storm with this set up.


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
40 degrees this morning...real feel was 37 LOVE IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
weatherwatchermom- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Not as chilly as yesterday morning . morning low of 51* I cannot wait till next week for our pattern change
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Deeper trough that first shown -
see ho wthe N retrogardes further and is deeper pumping the PNA (Ridge in the west)
Old run

see ho wthe N retrogardes further and is deeper pumping the PNA (Ridge in the west)

Old run

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
lee goldberg was talking about our pattern change it looks like we will have more cooler shots with more rain chances starting on tues . after that around the last week of oct we will have temps in the 50s .its about time i am getting tired of this warm and boring pattern
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
This is one of the worst Autumns for color I have ever seen.This 8 degree above normal pattern has wreaked havoc.75% of the trees are still green and the ones with color are dull .Just awful.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
will that system that cuts west of us on Wed give us some high winds? GFS is showing 850mb winds 65kts plus, but theres not a whole lot of precip so would any of it mix down?
And is there any merit to the CMC showing quite a major wind and rain event next Friday? Shows 5-7 inches of rain and again 65kt 850mb winds.
And is there any merit to the CMC showing quite a major wind and rain event next Friday? Shows 5-7 inches of rain and again 65kt 850mb winds.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
Well I just saw the Euro, and it looks like it supports the CMC, GFS doesnt really have the same at the surface.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
jon definite pattern change on the way. much more active with the higher heights over Alaska and Greenland which look to last on the ensembles. east coast storm very possible.@jmanley32 wrote:will that system that cuts west of us on Wed give us some high winds? GFS is showing 850mb winds 65kts plus, but theres not a whole lot of precip so would any of it mix down?
And is there any merit to the CMC showing quite a major wind and rain event next Friday? Shows 5-7 inches of rain and again 65kt 850mb winds.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Rocktober Obs/Discussions
@docstox12 wrote:This is one of the worst Autumns for color I have ever seen.This 8 degree above normal pattern has wreaked havoc.75% of the trees are still green and the ones with color are dull .Just awful.
Yeah, peak color should getting into central and southern Westchester county by now. Was around I-287 and while more color than the city it is still quite green for late Oct. 5 boros forget it, if you pay attention you can find some pockets of color but it is still overwhelmingly green as can be.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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