Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:14 pm

Hoping for that 4:00 am post from Al.

"All the late night and 6Z runs have shifted significantly west.

WE ARE ALL IN THE GAME!!!!"

Hoping for it but not expecting it.

by **billg315** Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:20 pm

Anything is possible. I’m not getting my hopes up for anything as there is too much bust potential here, but I’m sticking with my map for now. I do note both Mt Holly and Upton are still warming of the danger of a 50 mike west shift - 24 hours out, so that shows they still think it’s at least possible.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:28 pm

Joe Cioffi still going with it being closer to the coast.. but watch and wait
4" or more Bergen County to Suffolk County line

by **Grselig** Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:54 am

Dunnzoo wrote:Joe Cioffi still going with it being closer to the coast.. but watch and wait
4" or more Bergen County to Suffolk County line

Good luck to all in the east. I hate this storm. So much possibility according to the early models ended up for most of us a disappointment. However, My area (Passaic, Essex) really got damaged by the last storm. Lots of power outages and downed trees. A big storm would have been dangerous. Of course I would have taken it. I remember how winter began with models showing a potential triple phase in late December. Seems like its ending the same way!

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:35 am

Liking the NWS snow map for my area giving me 4 a lot better than Frank, Jimmy and Docs,LOL.Hope you guys are wrong!!!

by **Grselig** Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:07 am

docstox12 wrote:Liking the NWS snow map for my area giving me 4 a lot better than Frank, Jimmy and Docs,LOL.Hope you guys are wrong!!!

You never know. There still is time for minor shift. Not saying it will happen but we’ve seen shifts in the past. Good luck Doc

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:06 am

Grselig wrote:
docstox12 wrote:Liking the NWS snow map for my area giving me 4 a lot better than Frank, Jimmy and Docs,LOL.Hope you guys are wrong!!!

You never know. There still is time for minor shift. Not saying it will happen but we’ve seen shifts in the past. Good luck Doc

OK my Friend Grselig!! You too.Ta least we will see some snow anyway.

I've seen snowstorms in the past where NOAA started us out with 1 to 3 and a last minute shift had them doing the mad hat dance raising the accumulations every 15 minutes.I always found that hilarious, like one of those acts on the old Ed Sullivan Show, the Flying Zambinis or something like them madly juggling plates on sticks,LOL.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zhoos1oY404

by **Math23x7** Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:53 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
sroc4 wrote:12K slight improved aloft...3K looking better aloft as well.

Both increased snowfall amounts

12-km NAM actually decreased snow totals for NYC. The 3-km NAM techincally "increased" snow totals, but it's barely noticeable on the map.

Stick a fork in it...

It increased totals on LI and CT

Whoopdy-freakin' doo.

by **mikeypizano** Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:18 pm

I will be taking out the big mower soon... Razz

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:38 pm

I never throw in the towel...always optimistic..but this storm..just put me over the edge...bring on spring...there I said it...

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:05 pm

GRSELIG:
To answer your question yes she predicted an apocalyptic winter until the Ides of April. If I wasn’t at a client I would search the archives for the poem. Where is Mike when you need him.

by **billg315** Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:35 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:GRSELIG:
To answer your question yes she predicted an apocalyptic winter until the Ides of April. If I wasn’t at a client I would search the archives for the poem. Where is Mike when you need him.

Mike is waiting for the next bad model run to again crush our optimism with a one sentence dose of reality.

by **Grselig** Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:37 pm

billg315 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:GRSELIG:
To answer your question yes she predicted an apocalyptic winter until the Ides of April. If I wasn’t at a client I would search the archives for the poem. Where is Mike when you need him.

Mike is waiting for the next bad model run to again crush our optimism with a one sentence dose of reality.

Mike has gone to the Dark Side (more like the oppressively warm side of Florida) So here is Othelia's prediction. The Ides of April indeed. Fun times ahead.

Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0
Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Fri Feb 02, 2018 5:00 pm

Orange County Othelia, our local ground hog, saw her shadow today and succumbed to a heart ailment about an hour ago.

According to folklore up here, if the ground hog dies the same day as seeing her shadow there will be 10 more weeks of an apocalyptic like winter. Massive blizzards and cold through mid April.

Lets hope the old legend is true, it's the first time it will be tested.

_________________
2012/13 Snowfall Seasonal Total 65.1
2013/14 Snowfall Seasonal Total 71.4 Low temperature -7.2 on January 4, 2014
2014/15 Snowfall Seasonal Total 72.2 Low temperature -10.0 on February 24, 2015
2015/16 Snowfall Seasonal Total 24.9 Low temperature -11.2 on February 14, 2016
2016/17 Snowfall Seasonal Total 70.7 Low temperature -0.6 on January 9, 2017
2017/18 Snowfall Seasonal Total 66.1 Low temperature -6.1 on January 7, 2018

by **Math23x7** Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:58 pm

That fact that we are now entering a relatively cool stretch does not surprise me. And frankly, I don't see it letting up for a while. The dreaded 40s and drizzle-like April is a realistic scenario.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:02 pm

Now that’s the cheery Mike we know and love.

by **mikeypizano** Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:11 pm

Math23x7 wrote:That fact that we are now entering a relatively cool stretch does not surprise me. And frankly, I don't see it letting up for a while. The dreaded 40s and drizzle-like April is a realistic scenario.

Lies... It will be 70s and sunny!

by **Scullybutcher** Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:36 pm

sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

I don’t understand. If the next town over gets more snow then me I will be angry

by **Taffy** Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:52 pm

I don't say much in the group but I visit nearly everyday. Thanks so much for all you people do to inform and entertain.

I especially want to thank Jman for answering a met question for me and to Billg and CP for correcting me and making me feel better when I thought Frank had taken down the 75% and explaining to me what he meant.

I asked a few questions last year and oddly never got an answer so I really appreciated people taking the time and making the effort. It meant a lot.

I am being tutored by someone who runs an official weatherspotting station a few towns over so hopefully next year I will be able to actually participate a bit more.

Again, thanks everyone for a great if not snowy season.

Taffy

by **Grselig** Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:42 pm

CP don't ever underestimate the power of Othella

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:45 pm

Grselig wrote:CP don't ever underestimate the power of Othella

love it

by **Math23x7** Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:52 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:Mugs, give me a break.

Did you ever see Winnie the Pooh as a kid?

I hate to say it but your turning into Eeyore.

by **jmanley32** Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:14 am

Ok bring on spring it needs be in 60s soon. Like next week sick of this bs. This constant screw spot I live in if it's go b like this every year I'd rather there b no winter at all. Sorry yes I'm being selfish but all u guys are too when it comes to cashing in. Well I never do so I'm wishing on warm weather.

by **jmanley32** Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:17 am

Scullybutcher wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

I don’t understand. If the next town over gets more snow then me I will be angry

happens to me every time even in the same city but on the other side can get several more than me. East west north and south few miles cash in.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:47 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

I don’t understand. If the next town over gets more snow then me I will be angry
happens to me every time even in the same city but on the other side can get several more than me. East west north and south few miles cash in.

Jman you really do seem to be in a major screw zone in that area of Yonkers. I visit clients in that shopping center across the thruway from Stew Leonards in the offices there. It's still within Yonkers address but maybe 5 miles north of you and there's always a lot more snow there than you seem to get. It's weird how every area seems to have those. RB seems to be in one of those in his area of Dutchess.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:51 am

syosnow94 wrote:Had my son leave his class to go to the “ bathroom”. He measured 6.6” at 9:00 am. ( yes CP I taught him). Still snowing heavily

LOL, poor kid hope he doesn't get sent to the principals office.

I trust him more than I trust you. Awesome job teach him young.

by Guest Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:55 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Had my son leave his class to go to the “ bathroom”. He measured 6.6” at 9:00 am. ( yes CP I taught him). Still snowing heavily

LOL, poor kid hope he doesn't get sent to the principals office.

I trust him more than I trust you. Awesome job teach him young.

Kid reads the forum all day when there's snow in the forecast. Then he texts me from school in class while I'm teaching and tells me to stop posting and do my job. lol!

He also rips on me for my maps and loves your zingers. Good kid

by **rb924119** Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:56 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

I don’t understand. If the next town over gets more snow then me I will be angry
happens to me every time even in the same city but on the other side can get several more than me. East west north and south few miles cash in.

Jman you really do seem to be in a major screw zone in that area of Yonkers. I visit clients in that shopping center across the thruway from Stew Leonards in the offices there. It's still within Yonkers address but maybe 5 miles north of you and there's always a lot more snow there than you seem to get. It's weird how every area seems to have those. RB seems to be in one of those in his area of Dutchess.

It's true, CP!!! I have to go home to see snow lmao and any snow we donget has been disappearing almost as quickly as it falls lol unreal.

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