Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Oy soul looks like it's going ots ur in trouble!!

At the surface at Hour 48 snow has moved into Eastern PA/NJ on the backside of the low.

NAM is ots

Hour 54 surface low is well of the coast. Although still showing snow over NJ back into eastern PA.

NAM is still throwing good snows into the area thanks to an expansive precip shield.

Much weaker and se darn. Well hopefully 3 km isn't same.

well, it may not be that far off from the 18z location wise, and it is much weaker, but i was hoping for a more western jog, which did not happen...

Not a great run. But not an "ok we can write this off" run either. The low doesn't go completely out to sea. It moves northeast and does bring snow into the area. It's just too far off the coast to get the heaviest snow here. Seems to just miss the northern energy. I'll be interested to hear what some of our experts have to say as they've been preaching not to focus only on the surface output. The energy at the upper levels does appear at least to the untrained eye to be west of where the surface energy is going.

Dear lord 3km stalls by carolinas and intensifies it may be good run. It appears to be closer than 12km.

Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed

3 km looks like it may be go for dimilar crush run. Which is encouraging.

Hi-res NAM is much more west than the 12k run thus far.

aiannone wrote:Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed

so it went east not a good start but not the end all by any means.

aiannone wrote:Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed

Hearing lots of convective feedback though/ over-amped. All in all, NAM suite not a positive step for the 00z's

3k NAM a Long Island on east special and still snowing

If I were a betting man I'd say the NAM comes a bit N&W tomorrow. But, I've been wrong before. Alright, I'll check in tomorrow and see where we are.

So 00z 3km just seems have less expsndive precip to west or would been same. No reason give up we said there b wild runs.

3km has me 6 to 10 in good with that. Plenty room to shift to bigger things imo.

Has the 3k ever been right

3k NAM will be right this time and I get a foot!!

Not likely

3K NAM was further east and weaker than in her last run, as well. Take it for what it’s worth.

Next up: G(oo)F(u)S!!! :-)

gfs is looking decent at surface at hr 36, also note frank changed the SCI date to the 13th, but this thread is 12th so im a bit confused which day is it?

gfs further west if i see correctly. or precip is anyways.

00z GFS...so close yet so far. Big day of model runs tomorrow. We can still do this.