Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
+39
mwilli5783
snowday111
devsman
aiannone
Taffy
Dunnzoo
gambri
Snow88
frank 638
Vinnydula
jimv45
SoulSingMG
WOLVES1
essexcountypete
crippo84
CPcantmeasuresnow
skinsfan1177
Smittyaj623
weatherwatchermom
Radz
Sanchize06
Math23x7
SNOW MAN
bobjohnsonforthehall
docstox12
rb924119
WeatherBob
Grselig
adamfitz1969
amugs
nutleyblizzard
RJB8525
oldtimer
billg315
jmanley32
sroc4
mikeypizano
jake732
Frank_Wx
43 posters
Page 15 of 17
Page 15 of 17 • 1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16, 17
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Wish one of our real experts was here right now. lol It looks like the upper level energy is over GA and the trough is digging in and going a little more neutral from positive as heights are rising along the coast. But I don't know what the hell I'm doing so I could be wrong.
Last edited by billg315 on Sat Mar 10, 2018 9:26 pm; edited 1 time in total
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4166
Join date : 2015-01-24
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Looks east and weaker
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 778
Join date : 2013-12-12
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Oy soul looks like it's going ots ur in trouble!!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
At the surface at Hour 48 snow has moved into Eastern PA/NJ on the backside of the low.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4166
Reputation : 184
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 49
Location : Flemington, NJ
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 4580
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Hour 54 surface low is well of the coast. Although still showing snow over NJ back into eastern PA.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4166
Reputation : 184
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 49
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
NAM is still throwing good snows into the area thanks to an expansive precip shield.
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1880
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 57
Location : Nutley, new jersey
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Much weaker and se darn. Well hopefully 3 km isn't same.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
well, it may not be that far off from the 18z location wise, and it is much weaker, but i was hoping for a more western jog, which did not happen...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 1013
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2013-01-12
Location : Cortlandt Manor NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Not a great run. But not an "ok we can write this off" run either. The low doesn't go completely out to sea. It moves northeast and does bring snow into the area. It's just too far off the coast to get the heaviest snow here. Seems to just miss the northern energy. I'll be interested to hear what some of our experts have to say as they've been preaching not to focus only on the surface output. The energy at the upper levels does appear at least to the untrained eye to be west of where the surface energy is going.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4166
Reputation : 184
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 49
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Dear lord 3km stalls by carolinas and intensifies it may be good run. It appears to be closer than 12km.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 4580
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
3 km looks like it may be go for dimilar crush run. Which is encouraging.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Hi-res NAM is much more west than the 12k run thus far.
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1880
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 57
Location : Nutley, new jersey
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
so it went east not a good start but not the end all by any means.aiannone wrote:Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
aiannone wrote:Hi res huge hit. East of NYC crushed
Hearing lots of convective feedback though/ over-amped. All in all, NAM suite not a positive step for the 00z's
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2850
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
3k NAM a Long Island on east special and still snowing


aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 4580
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
If I were a betting man I'd say the NAM comes a bit N&W tomorrow. But, I've been wrong before.
Alright, I'll check in tomorrow and see where we are.

billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4166
Reputation : 184
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 49
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
So 00z 3km just seems have less expsndive precip to west or would been same. No reason give up we said there b wild runs.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
3km has me 6 to 10 in good with that. Plenty room to shift to bigger things imo.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Has the 3k ever been right
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 778
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2013-12-12
Location : Dobbs ferry
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
3k NAM will be right this time and I get a foot!!
Guest- Guest
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 778
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2013-12-12
Location : Dobbs ferry
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
3K NAM was further east and weaker than in her last run, as well. Take it for what it’s worth.
Next up: G(oo)F(u)S!!! :-)
Next up: G(oo)F(u)S!!! :-)
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2850
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
gfs is looking decent at surface at hr 36, also note frank changed the SCI date to the 13th, but this thread is 12th so im a bit confused which day is it?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
gfs further west if i see correctly. or precip is anyways.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 19794
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
00z GFS...so close yet so far. Big day of model runs tomorrow. We can still do this.


_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Page 15 of 17 • 1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16, 17
Page 15 of 17
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum