March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

jmanley32 wrote:

emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla

Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.

I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low

emokid51783 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla

Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.

I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low

Oh maybe manhattan, you did not specify, I think as a whole for the NJstrong area its spot on

Temps have gone up here I was at 31 now 35° not good

jmanley32 wrote:

emokid51783 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla

Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.

I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low

Oh maybe manhattan, you did not specify, I think as a whole for the NJstrong area its spot on

Yeah, i noticed the difference in the last storm for me in jersey city heights, and its only 4 miles and 20meters of height

RAD_KDIX_N0R_ANI (10).gif

Check out the progression of your banding features in this radar loop. This is a FASCINATING example of what @earthlight has been preaching to the heavens about. Notice how the banding features east of the region over the open water are propagating mainly west to east; this is associated with the runaway lead vorticity and associated west-southwesterly H5 advection escaping ahead of our main show. However, check the bands over our region moving due south to north; this is in response to the main trough amplification, subsequent tilting and corresponding backing of the column's steering flow, which allowing much stronger H5 vorticity advection to begin to focus on our region rather than out sea. This is a tremendous sign at this stage, in my opinion, as this to me suggests the evolution is going to be deeper than even progged right now. This is well ahead of schedule, from what I can remember (haven't been following very closely so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong), and bodes better for EVERYBODY as a result, as this should be telegraphing a much further northwestward expansion of the precipitation shield in due time. Awesome!!!!!

rb924119 wrote:RAD_KDIX_N0R_ANI (10).gif

Check out the progression of your banding features in this radar loop. This is a FASCINATING example of what @earthlight has been preaching to the heavens about. Notice how the banding features east of the region over the open water are propagating mainly west to east; this is associated with the runaway lead vorticity and associated west-southwesterly H5 advection escaping ahead of our main show. However, check the bands over our region moving due south to north; this is in response to the main trough amplification, subsequent tilting and corresponding backing of the column's steering flow, which allowing much stronger H5 vorticity advection to begin to focus on our region rather than out sea. This is a tremendous sign at this stage, in my opinion, as this to me suggests the evolution is going to be deeper than even progged right now. This is well ahead of schedule, from what I can remember (haven't been following very closely so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong), and bodes better for EVERYBODY as a result, as this should be telegraphing a much further northwestward expansion of the precipitation shield in due time. Awesome!!!!!

Image did not show, and too much of a NW shift would shaft the coast no?

dsix85 wrote:Emo...what's your handicap these days? Sorry, should've reserved for the banter

I’m a 5

Light sleet 39* why is the temperature going up I was sitting at 34 degrees all day today now I am up to during 39

I meant I am up to 39°from earlier high of 34

skinsfan1177 wrote:Temps have gone up here I was at 31 now 35° not good

I noticed that too. I’m up to 37

No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center

35* here. But I think surface temp will drop back toward freezing later tonight behind wave one as the main storm approaches.

syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center

You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.

Carter bk wrote:Why no chat

Frank has been screaming MADONNE all day, I guess he has laryngitis.

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center

You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.

My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?

Just got notice work is closed tomorrow. Drinking can commence.

syosnow94 wrote:WHY HAS MY TEMPERSTURE JUMPED 4 DEGREES IN THE LADT HOUR?

Precip dying down so now winds off the ocean warming our area. No worries. Tomorrow you and I will be dancing in white gold!

GreyBeard wrote:

Carter bk wrote:Why no chat

Frank has been screaming MADONNE all day, I guess he has laryngitis.

He’s in his 20s with a girlfriend

yep we went up 4 degrees as well..

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center

You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.

My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?

Syo- taking a shot here. Initial surge of southern moisture brought temps up several degrees, combo w more easterly winds.. Once precip starts to fall at faster rates, dynamic cooling will commence aloft and temps will come back down at/near freezing. Wouldn't be concerned at this point.

My temps were climbing most all afternoon. I posted about it a few times.

Temps were always forecast to rise night, that's why the 2nd lp had to crash the cold to the coast. I'm pretty sure this is part of the plan.

dsix85 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center

You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.

My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?

Syo- taking a shot here. Initial surge of southern moisture brought temps up several degrees, combo w more easterly winds.. Once precip starts to fall at faster rates, dynamic cooling will commence aloft and temps will come back down at/near freezing. Wouldn't be concerned at this point.

Makes sense to me. I’m also lying in front of my fire and a few drinks deep so......

Frank, love ya, no chat needed now it’s time to sit back and enjoy the ride

Emo- my wife is asking me if she will have work tomorrow out in Suffolk County. Any thoughts?

Also would note my precip has ended and my dew point is 21* which tells me temp will drop some when next round of precip comes in.