August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Heavy rain yesterday and for a half hour, it came down in sheets with the sun shining all through it. After Fri into Sat rains, I too will start wondering about the stability of trees. I expect today and tomorrow to dry things out a bit but right now my grass is starting feel like walking on a waterbed.

Currently 80* 67% Humidity...but SUNNY!!!!! we had an inch of rain yesterday.

rb924119 wrote:

essexcountypete wrote:

Radz wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Radz wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:This is crazy I love how TWC hyping the dip in the jetstream due to the low pressure but yet again another tropical moisture pull, wil lthis bring a [possible tropical or subtropical system this time? Math is it a nor easter really? Its summer arent those the fall, wouldnt it be more of a tropical or sub tropical system?

I am a garage sale picker for my ebay business (plus its fun) and having dry Sat mornings is a must but that looks dashed once again...sigh.

I'll put my order in for tons of sun, mid 80's, and low humidity week of the 18th - LBI bound, but don't worry Jman, with my luck we will be staring down a Cat 2 that week I'm sure lol!

Shoot, Radz!! What part of the island??? My grandparents live in Beach Haven and I'll be going down the following week (of course -_-) lmao

Beach Haven as well Rb, love that part of the island! Centre St. to be exact... i'm a Chicken or the Egg frequent flier

I'll be in LBI next week as well! Peahala Park near the Acme. Radz, look for me at the Chicken or the Egg. I'll be the guy with the orange Frisbee Pie Company hat  If not there, then at the Crust & Crumb. Yum!!!

Let's hope for some better weather next week!

CENTRE STREET?!!!! DUDE!!! THAT PRACTICALLY MAKES US NEIGHBORS!! HAHAHA My grandparents are block away from Holyoke, so only about 10-15 blocks from you lmao The fact that you called it by its full name and not the Chegg means you don't fly frequently *ENOUGH* ahahaha As for you, Pete, I know that area too!! I had a girlfriend (female friend - not to be confused with today's definition of girlfriend, so don't be getting any wise ideas lmao) that stayed three blocks north of the Acme haha What a small world!!!

It is a small world! Ok, so now i have to show my age RB... The name "Chegg" is a relatively new name, given by a much younger generation lol - back in the early 90's when I started going there, it was The Chicken or the Egg, and will always remain that way to me  lol!! (my kid's in their 20's call it the Chegg)

essexcountypete wrote:

Radz wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Radz wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:This is crazy I love how TWC hyping the dip in the jetstream due to the low pressure but yet again another tropical moisture pull, wil lthis bring a [possible tropical or subtropical system this time? Math is it a nor easter really? Its summer arent those the fall, wouldnt it be more of a tropical or sub tropical system?

I am a garage sale picker for my ebay business (plus its fun) and having dry Sat mornings is a must but that looks dashed once again...sigh.

I'll put my order in for tons of sun, mid 80's, and low humidity week of the 18th - LBI bound, but don't worry Jman, with my luck we will be staring down a Cat 2 that week I'm sure lol!

Shoot, Radz!! What part of the island??? My grandparents live in Beach Haven and I'll be going down the following week (of course -_-) lmao

Beach Haven as well Rb, love that part of the island! Centre St. to be exact... i'm a Chicken or the Egg frequent flier

I'll be in LBI next week as well! Peahala Park near the Acme. Radz, look for me at the Chicken or the Egg. I'll be the guy with the orange Frisbee Pie Company hat  If not there, then at the Crust & Crumb. Yum!!!

Let's hope for some better weather next week!

I'll be looking for you! Next week looking much better than recent weeks for sure, think we will be good!

well−organized severe thunderstorms

dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms

where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green. Almost always this changes the day of though.

It is how I interpret SLGT. I should have had a question mark at the end of the word “thunderstorms”. I am asking if that is what it means (the yellow area). NWS is noting now potential of strong gusts and thunderstorms by me for tomorrow

jmanley32 wrote:

dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms

where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green.  Almost always this changes the day of though.

Yes the map is for the risk of severe storms, which includes the potential for frequent cloud to ground lightning, flooding, strong damaging winds, and/or tornadic activity. The yellow is categorized as a "slight risk"

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms

where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green.  Almost always this changes the day of though.

Yes the map is for the risk of severe storms, which includes the potential for frequent cloud to ground lightning, flooding, strong damaging winds, and/or tornadic activity.  The yellow is categorized as a "slight risk"

I know that come on sroc lol, I more meant was that something specific the NWS said. The expanded the slight area a bit, I have always found the slight category to not always mean there wont be really bad storms but more of a less widespread event, more localized. My HWO suggests a slight possibility of a tornado.

I know you know Jon.  LOL

Here is the tornado risk, the damaging wind gusts within the storms probability of 50kts or higher, and hail risks

I like this chart

weatherwatchermom wrote:I like this chart

I'm just south of the yellow by like a town or 2 and small bout 10 to 15 miles. 3km nam misses NYC and to north to about 287. Above that they get hit by severe line.

weatherwatchermom wrote:I like this chart

oh I like this!!

Wow the line pushing through NJ is actually intensifying and solidifying and has a warning for 70mph gusts, please report if you are in its path.

This line is no joke extensive damage being reported and its continuing to intensify which is unusual

Up here in northern Orange County we got an almost non existent spritz with some thunder but no visible lightning. A non-event here

Weakened to nothing but a regular boring t-storm...of course curse of the hudson.

Just a little rumble here

1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

Dunnzoo wrote:1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

wow..so much rain...we have had our share 4.43 so far this month...but nothing like you up north and further south... this is just crazy...is this the summer on target to be the rainiest??

weatherwatchermom wrote:

Dunnzoo wrote:1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

 wow..so much rain...we have had our share 4.43 so far this month...but nothing like you up north and further south... this is just crazy...is this the summer on target to be the rainiest??

That's unbelievable Janet! I am sitting at 5.98" on my rain gauge for the month this am. More to come tonight and tomorrow.

Good news....after this weekends Rain, Monday and Tuesday will feature dew points in the upper 60's, a little better than the low and mid 70's we've been experiencing.  Dew points will again creep up back into the low 70's briefly headed into Wed ahead of a cold frontal passage.  Following the cold frontal passage dew points will fall into the upper 50's and low 60's with high temps in the low 80's and upper 70's which will feel GLORIOUS!

sroc4 wrote:Good news....after this weekends Rain, Monday and Tuesday will feature dew points in the upper 60's, a little better than the low and mid 70's we've been experiencing.  Dew points will again creep up back into the low 70's briefly headed into Wed ahead of a cold frontal passage.  Following the cold frontal passage dew points will fall into the upper 50's and low 60's with high temps in the low 80's and upper 70's which will feel GLORIOUS!

CAN NOT WAIT!!!!!!!!!!! AND YES I AM YELLING!!

One thing to keep in mind in that as wet as this August has been, it doesn't hold a finger on August 2011, which had 18.95" of rain at CPK. That had had several thunderstorm outbreaks, a coastal storm mid-month, and hurricane Irene. The August 2011 rain total through the 17th was 9.61". The August 2018 rain total through the 17th is 7.64".

After the 17th in 2011, there were thunderstorms on the 18th, 19th and 21st (totaling 1.98" at CPK), 0.49" of rain from a frontal passage on the 25th, and then 6.87" of rain from hurricane Irene the 27th-28th.

There was a bit of rain a few hours ago with more on the way potentially this afternoon. But will it impress like 2011 did?

Math23x7 wrote:One thing to keep in mind in that as wet as this August has been, it doesn't hold a finger on August 2011, which had 18.95" of rain at CPK.  That had had several thunderstorm outbreaks, a coastal storm mid-month, and hurricane Irene. The August 2011 rain total through the 17th was 9.61".  The August 2018 rain total through the 17th is 7.64".

After the 17th in 2011, there were thunderstorms on the 18th, 19th and 21st (totaling 1.98" at CPK), 0.49" of rain from a frontal passage on the 25th, and then 6.87" of rain from hurricane Irene the 27th-28th.

There was a bit of rain a few hours ago with more on the way potentially this afternoon.  But will it impress like 2011 did?

I knew I could count on you to let us know...forgot about 2011....Hey saw this morning there is a Math Festival coming up!! thought of you ...you can go to momath.com...if you did not already know..

CPCantmeasurewater.

That’s my story and I’m sticking to it