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October Discussion & Observations

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Frank_Wx
rb924119
mwilli
GreyBeard
aiannone
algae888
billg315
SoulSingMG
jmanley32
frank 638
Snow88
weatherwatchermom
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dkodgis
amugs
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Dunnzoo
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 17, 2019 9:57 am

Winds not impressive at all. Seems like most are seeing well over 40mph. I'm here in wp and at best tress sway a bit from time to time. Def not hww level. Oh well.

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Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 17, 2019 10:15 am

From our local paper:

At 8:30 a.m. this morning the greatest number of outages were in Sullivan County, where 10,628 customers are without power. Another 1,778 of the outages were in Ulster County. There were 1,084 customers in Orange County without power.

At 10 a.m. the outages were as follows:

Total outages: 2,452
Orange 532
Sullivan 190
Ulster 1,730

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 17, 2019 11:27 am

The winds have really picked up now.
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Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:20 pm

The same here. Winds are really blowing. 25 mph steady and gusts past 50 mph.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:29 pm

Strongest winds of day right now here in white plains ny. Wind advisory now till 6pm.
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:51 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Strongest winds of day right now here in white plains ny. Wind advisory now till 6pm.

Upton mentioned in their 1am discussion, when they issued the HWW, that there would be a lull in the winds overnight but that they’d ramp up again by this afternoon. Winds from the NW were already gusting over 60 mph in Greenwich, 55 at LGA around that time so I think they went bullish for today as well due to obs. and guidance showing solid mixing down to surface. As always, winds are one of the hardest forecasts to pin down (who gets what where, etc.)
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Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:59 pm

Soul, first time I noticed the tattoo. Great! I lost a few trees today in the back acreage. More firewood for me. I am surprised at how strong the gusts were today. Still going on and at this very moment, one came by so strong the back house windows vibrated a bit. Yikes!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 17, 2019 3:06 pm

Outages have been fairly limited in Westchester but i watched some crazy gusts put window at work not too long ago.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 17, 2019 4:32 pm

Holy smokes wind is crazy!!!
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Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 17, 2019 4:43 pm

I am enjoying using the wind app on Alexa to ask current wind speed by zip code
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Oct 17, 2019 5:38 pm

22.5 mph right now according to Alexa..thanks for the tip....they feel calmer then they were all afternoon..the winds made it hard for my doggies when they went out...it was funny to watch them...
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Oct 17, 2019 11:42 pm

dkodgis wrote:Soul, first time I noticed the tattoo.  Great! I lost a few trees today in the back acreage. More firewood for me. I am surprised at how strong the gusts were today. Still going on and at this very moment, one came by so strong the back house windows vibrated a bit. Yikes!!!

Haha, thanks! I actually added to the hurricane since and got a half-sleeve of weather elements! I’ll have to upgrade my avatar. Wink

We certainly got some stronger gusts than I’ve seen here in the city all year. I just came up out of the subway @ Queens Plaza and was greeted by this! Shocked

October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Ffa04010
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Post by amugs Fri Oct 18, 2019 11:00 am

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
330 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-103-NYZ067>070-182000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FR.Y.0003.191019T0700Z-191019T1300Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-
Western Bergen-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
330 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures falling into the lower 30s will result in
frost formation.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Passaic and Western Bergen. In New York,
Orange, Putnam, Rockland and Northern Westchester. In Southern
Connecticut, Northern Fairfield, Northern New Haven, Northern
Middlesex and Northern New London.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 18, 2019 11:33 am

Widespread 30's tonight

October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Namconus_T2m_neus_24

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 18, 2019 11:34 am

Gorgeous fall weekend ahead. Outside chance of showers Sunday, mainly south of NYC.

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 18, 2019 8:32 pm

Frank,
Nester showers, rain and dreariness making their way further N says GFS now
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Gfs_ap11
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Gfs_re10

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 18, 2019 8:35 pm

Mr. Frosty coming to town and Freeze for NWNJ
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 55D2FC78-62AF-493D-97FA-5917A68F5C20.jpeg.0ce9722bdd4d22b8022a2bd35e04df0f

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 18, 2019 8:45 pm

18z NAM
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Namcon12

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Oct 19, 2019 8:57 am

34.3° low temp this morning, no frost

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
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Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
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Post by amugs Sat Oct 19, 2019 9:32 am

Dunnzoo wrote:34.3° low temp this morning, no frost

I had some patchy up here WTH Zoo??
My power flickered in the storm at about 9:30 and my weather station data board reset in answer to your question yesterday about he rain total for us - why it says I have 12.94" of rain on the rain is beyond me.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 20, 2019 7:42 am

32 degrees and frost for the second morning in a row up here.Partly cloudy.
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 20, 2019 8:33 am

Here comes the Rains from Nester
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Inxr1Kphla_h

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Oct 20, 2019 11:56 am

amugs wrote:Here comes the Rains from Nester
October Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Inxr1Kphla_h
x-nestor, didnt survive like they thought. NHC fail again lol JK
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Post by billg315 Sun Oct 20, 2019 6:02 pm

Rain made it a lot further north and was a lot heavier than I expected up here. Total washout here today. But we needed some rain and that’s two good rains events in the last week.
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Post by frank 638 Sun Oct 20, 2019 6:40 pm

Still raining over here perfect day just to relax and watch football games

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Post by billg315 Sun Oct 20, 2019 9:18 pm

53* and still raining here. Rain just won’t break around here. Actually broke down and turned on the heat this evening for the first time.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Oct 20, 2019 10:13 pm

billg315 wrote:53* and still raining here. Rain just won’t break around here. Actually broke down and turned on the heat this evening for the first time.
Thats only nice thing about an apartment with free heat and hot water. Though it comes on at the oddest times and it does not work well in the bedroom which is ice cold in the dead of winter, I think due to two outside facing walls with windows on both sides and only one small radiator under the window. Of course the living room is too hot lol
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