October 2020 Obs and Discussion

@mwilli wrote:I went to home depot for mulch and I overheard one of the workers saying that winter snow melt will be put out 11/1 saying that it might be a bad winter so they wanna get a jump start since there's so much leftover from last year.

Oh my gosh anything has to be better than last winter!! we only got 2.5 inches of snow the whole season!!

Winds 14 mph  gusts over 20   temp 55  and we have almost 2.5 inches of rain so far

Omg it is pouring again..we are over 3 inches already!

Picked up another .20" overnight! Giving me 1.08" of wetness which is much appreciated and needed.
Mom this would have been a BECS (Biblical East Coast Storm - Roidzilla storm 36" plus of white gold) for you if winter !!!!

@amugs wrote:Picked up another .20" overnight! Giving me 1.08" of wetness which is much appreciated and needed.
Mom this would have been a BECS (Biblical East Coast Storm - Roidzilla storm 36" plus of white gold) for you if winter !!!!

I wish I would volunteer to go out and shovel ..usually leave that to our son and. My hubby

This stratosphere warming the latter half of October could mean a colder second half of October with a colder 1st half of November.

A coastal low Friday and Friday Night? Looks to be





Another 1' possible

Here's a GIF of the weak coastal Friday into Saturday that will form along the front with colder air in behind it

Another 3/4" plus

Close Up

@amugs wrote:Another 3/4" plus

Close Up

Mugs my rain fall total from the meter recorded over 3 inches of rain..it down poured for hours on end

Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

@jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

@amugs wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

The forecast for Sat is sunny, is it wrong? Isnt that through 12z Sat which is 7am? The GFS looks to have it ending round then.  That stinks if your right.  And wow talk about a bullseye for me.

Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed). I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.

Chilly air incoming Saturday night

@jmanley32 wrote:

@amugs wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

The forecast for Sat is sunny, is it wrong? Isnt that through 12z Sat which is 7am? The GFS looks to have it ending round then.  That stinks if your right.  And wow talk about a bullseye for me.

True I thought you meant Friday night plans Jman - Saturday things clear up early AM, enjoy!

@jmanley32 wrote:Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed).  I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.

Good luck at the garage sales if it was not a pandemic I would be going around town it's fun..not sure how many people are participating this year...

It was a light steady rain here earlier in the week. Nothing big. About 1.5 inches total

53* on this raw, rainy beautiful Autumn Day!!
GFS nailed this and has outdueled the EURO the last couple of months.
Its ENS platform - GEFS got a massive upgrade last month so it is now lock in in step with itself. Going to bode well for the winter.

This woudl have been a 8-18" snow storm peeps - just saying!! ALA the King -'96!

Bigger View - Great stream of moisture along the front