Re: October 2020 Obs and Discussion

by **amugs** Sat Oct 10, 2020 7:12 am

GFS SAYS GET OUT THE UMBRELLA ON COLUMBUS DAY!
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 1602583200-4WGfh5aqtyw

Euro says much more
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 1602604800-iZ0S3ir4F0I

by **amugs** Sat Oct 10, 2020 1:09 pm

12Z Euro scales it back bit but 2" plus is a good call for now
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by mwilli Sat Oct 10, 2020 7:20 pm

I went to home depot for mulch and I overheard one of the workers saying that winter snow melt will be put out 11/1 saying that it might be a bad winter so they wanna get a jump start since there's so much leftover from last year.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Oct 11, 2020 12:39 pm

mwilli wrote:I went to home depot for mulch and I overheard one of the workers saying that winter snow melt will be put out 11/1 saying that it might be a bad winter so they wanna get a jump start since there's so much leftover from last year.

Oh my gosh anything has to be better than last winter!! we only got 2.5 inches of snow the whole season!!

by mwilli Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:56 pm

I know weatherwatchermom 2.5 inches even the words Mothrazilla and others was never spoken.....but someone in here said the words polar vortex will be mention im guessing before winter gets here so stay tuned.

by **frank 638** Mon Oct 12, 2020 6:21 am

Rainy chilly raw . Today is a good day to stay home and relax and watch movies

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:55 am

Winds 14 mph gusts over 20 temp 55 and we have almost 2.5 inches of rain so far

by **Dunnzoo** Mon Oct 12, 2020 12:55 pm

Only .89" here, and now just a misty drizzle at 51*

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Oct 13, 2020 4:34 am

Omg it is pouring again..we are over 3 inches already!

by **amugs** Tue Oct 13, 2020 5:34 am

Picked up another .20" overnight! Giving me 1.08" of wetness which is much appreciated and needed.
Mom this would have been a BECS (Biblical East Coast Storm - Roidzilla storm 36" plus of white gold) for you if winter !!!!

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Oct 13, 2020 6:35 am

amugs wrote:Picked up another .20" overnight! Giving me 1.08" of wetness which is much appreciated and needed.
Mom this would have been a BECS (Biblical East Coast Storm - Roidzilla storm 36" plus of white gold) for you if winter !!!!

I wish I would volunteer to go out and shovel ..usually leave that to our son and. My hubby

by **amugs** Tue Oct 13, 2020 7:07 am

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 EkKPEZ3XcAAunQR?format=png&name=4096x4096

This stratosphere warming the latter half of October could mean a colder second half of October with a colder 1st half of November.

by **amugs** Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:47 am

A coastal low Friday and Friday Night? Looks to be

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_16

Another 1' possible
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Gfs_apcpn_neus_17

by **amugs** Tue Oct 13, 2020 4:01 pm

Here's a GIF of the weak coastal Friday into Saturday that will form along the front with colder air in behind it

by **amugs** Tue Oct 13, 2020 4:10 pm

Another 3/4" plus

Close Up
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by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Oct 13, 2020 6:28 pm

amugs wrote:Another 3/4" plus

Close Up

Mugs my rain fall total from the meter recorded over 3 inches of rain..it down poured for hours on end

by **jmanley32** Wed Oct 14, 2020 4:01 pm

Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

by **frank 638** Wed Oct 14, 2020 4:12 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

So far what I’m hearing it’s supposed to rain late Friday afternoon into Friday night till Saturday morning I hope things will change hopefully I am wrong

by **amugs** Thu Oct 15, 2020 5:00 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 1602936000-x3lmap4w8mY

by **jmanley32** Thu Oct 15, 2020 5:17 pm

amugs wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

The forecast for Sat is sunny, is it wrong? Isnt that through 12z Sat which is 7am? The GFS looks to have it ending round then. That stinks if your right. And wow talk about a bullseye for me.

by **jmanley32** Thu Oct 15, 2020 5:28 pm

Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed). I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.

by **amugs** Thu Oct 15, 2020 5:30 pm

Chilly air incoming Saturday night

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 1602932400-uBIu6lL5avI

by **amugs** Thu Oct 15, 2020 5:37 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Hopefully the rain will be out of NJ by late Friday night is that possible? If not my sat plans are trashed which would suck.

Sorry Jman aint happening through Saturday afternoonish from teh looks

The forecast for Sat is sunny, is it wrong? Isnt that through 12z Sat which is 7am? The GFS looks to have it ending round then. That stinks if your right. And wow talk about a bullseye for me.

True I thought you meant Friday night plans Jman - Saturday things clear up early AM, enjoy!

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:26 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed). I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.

Good luck at the garage sales

if it was not a pandemic I would be going around town it's fun..not sure how many people are participating this year...

by **dkodgis** Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:56 pm

It was a light steady rain here earlier in the week. Nothing big. About 1.5 inches total

by **amugs** Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:15 am

53* on this raw, rainy beautiful Autumn Day!!
GFS nailed this and has outdueled the EURO the last couple of months.
Its ENS platform - GEFS got a massive upgrade last month so it is now lock in in step with itself. Going to bode well for the winter.

This woudl have been a 8-18" snow storm peeps - just saying!! ALA the King -'96!

by **amugs** Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:21 am

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Inxr1Knyca_h

Bigger View - Great stream of moisture along the front
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Northeast_loop

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