Re: October 2020 Obs and Discussion

by **amugs** Fri Oct 16, 2020 12:15 pm

53* on this raw, rainy beautiful Autumn Day!!
GFS nailed this and has outdueled the EURO the last couple of months.
Its ENS platform - GEFS got a massive upgrade last month so it is now lock in in step with itself. Going to bode well for the winter.

This woudl have been a 8-18" snow storm peeps - just saying!! ALA the King -'96!

by **amugs** Fri Oct 16, 2020 12:21 pm

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Inxr1Knyca_h

Bigger View - Great stream of moisture along the front
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Northeast_loop

by mwilli Fri Oct 16, 2020 12:47 pm

just looked at the gfs model 10/26-27 storm crawling up the ec...is this another sandy? I hope not

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Oct 16, 2020 5:22 pm

1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Oct 16, 2020 8:36 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

Hope all goes well with your husband!! We have had 1.25 inches so far and still raining.

by **frank 638** Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:52 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

I hope everything goes good with ur husband surgery please let us know how everything goes

by **jmanley32** Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:39 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed). I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.
Good luck at the garage sales if it was not a pandemic I would be going around town it's fun..not sure how many people are participating this year...

200! I've been do them all year wear a mask and be careful clean everything. I buy and resell on eBay. Since I got laid off its my only money. I actually found that Clark nj has a even bigger one so I'll be going there as it's quite a bit closer to me.

by **jmanley32** Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:40 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

hope all goes well. 18z gfs does some weird loop to FL then west then south into the Yucatan. So who knows until epsilon actually forms. Though system near Bermuda may be epsilon 1st.

by **dkodgis** Sat Oct 17, 2020 8:51 am

Janet, best wishes for you and your husband. Chin up, and keep your powder dry

by **aiannone** Sat Oct 17, 2020 9:50 pm

Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:28 pm

aiannone wrote:Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm

Heard there could be 20's in isolated spots....currently 45 here

by **Radz** Sun Oct 18, 2020 7:54 am

33.4* for the morning low, doesn’t look like a widespread frost though- grass is wet not white

by **amugs** Sun Oct 18, 2020 8:31 am

Frost here, patchy (the Pirate from SpongeBob!)
Hit 36.6*

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:02 am

37.2 low temp this morning!! My little old lady had to have her doggy sweater on...

by **dkodgis** Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:39 am

28 degrees here this early morning. Frost on cars, roof, grass. Glad I moved the plants in last night. Die, crabgrass. Die. Now heading up. 61 today.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Oct 18, 2020 12:34 pm

aiannone wrote:Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm

35* here this morning, nice clean crisp air!

by **jmanley32** Sun Oct 18, 2020 7:27 pm

Looks like the GFS completely lost the hurricane developing in the caribbean, amazing for how long it showed it. Looks like Epslion will be the system by Bermuda if it isn't already, haven't looked. So looks like no interesting weather untill at least November. And mugs we were spot on with the rain ending, I was out of the house at 5am Sat and the rain had stopped, sun was come out by 7/7:30.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:44 pm

A couple of days in the mid-70's this week. That should feel nice!

Looks like we'll get a real shot of cold air next week, but it looks fairly short lived then we return to normal. Very very quiet conditions overall.

by **jmanley32** Wed Oct 21, 2020 2:46 pm

Did I hear snow is possible i nthe coming weeks for some or is that false?

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Oct 21, 2020 5:57 pm

Maybe some lake effect after Halloween, cold air moving in then.

by **amugs** Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:02 pm

Pre Halloween Storm

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_ms14

by **amugs** Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:23 am

Dreary morning 63* and foggy, drizzly here

Chilly-cold Saturday night with Frost in the Ruburbs
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603623600-NdaKuAJjWEk

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603623600-NdaKuAJjWEk

by **amugs** Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:25 am

Wet week and much cooler upcoming
Tuesday
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603810800-TkvKbWX3HbA

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603875600-AIIMO0sSMRk

Friday

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1604048400-2AK7sxOVYuM

by **dkodgis** Sat Oct 24, 2020 9:53 am

63 this morning and with a serenade by frogs somewhere near and on the deck. It’s raining

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Oct 25, 2020 12:38 pm

39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

by **amugs** Sun Oct 25, 2020 7:30 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

Little rain?? Janet are you looking at the storm for at the end of the week? Good 1" soaker

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_apcpn24_neus_16

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Oct 25, 2020 10:07 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

I would pay to be in Colorado right now. Their weather is fascinating. It can be mild one day and blizzard the next depending on your elevation.

Looks like a deluge here Thursday into Friday Sad

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