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October 2020 Obs and Discussion

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Post by mwilli on Fri Oct 16, 2020 12:47 pm

just looked at the gfs model 10/26-27 storm crawling up the ec...is this another sandy? I hope not

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Post by Dunnzoo on Fri Oct 16, 2020 5:22 pm

1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      8.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Oct 16, 2020 8:36 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.

Hope all goes well with your husband!! We have had 1.25 inches so far and still raining.
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Post by frank 638 on Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:52 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.
I hope everything goes good with ur husband surgery please let us know how everything goes

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Post by jmanley32 on Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:39 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Yeah all local forecasts mention no rain for anywhere in the tristate for Sat, says sunny in 60s (Hazlet is where I am headed).  I can play it by ear if its dry then I can go. Unless event is cancelled, which they said rain or shine anyways.
Good luck at the garage sales😊 if it was not a pandemic I would be going around town it's fun..not sure how many people are participating this year...
200! I've been do them all year wear a mask and be careful clean everything. I buy and resell on eBay. Since I got laid off its my only money. I actually found that Clark nj has a even bigger one so I'll be going there as it's quite a bit closer to me.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:43 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 on Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:40 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:1.15" of rain so far today... cold and wet, ick. I hope not for the storm on the 26th, unless it's quick. Hubby has surgery in NYC that day, coming home the 27th.
hope all goes well. 18z gfs does some weird loop to FL then west then south into the Yucatan. So who knows until epsilon actually forms. Though system near Bermuda may be epsilon 1st.
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Post by dkodgis on Sat Oct 17, 2020 8:51 am

Janet, best wishes for you and your husband. Chin up, and keep your powder dry
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Post by aiannone on Sat Oct 17, 2020 9:50 pm

Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:28 pm

@aiannone wrote:Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm
Heard there could be 20's in isolated spots....currently 45 here
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Post by Radz on Sun Oct 18, 2020 7:54 am

33.4* for the morning low, doesn’t look like a widespread frost though- grass is wet not white
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Post by amugs on Sun Oct 18, 2020 8:31 am

Frost here, patchy (the Pirate from SpongeBob!)
Hit 36.6*

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:02 am

37.2 low temp this morning!! My little old lady had to have her doggy sweater on...
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Post by dkodgis on Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:39 am

28 degrees here this early morning. Frost on cars, roof, grass. Glad I moved the plants in last night. Die, crabgrass. Die. Now heading up. 61 today.
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Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Oct 18, 2020 12:34 pm

@aiannone wrote:Going to be a chilly one tonight. Thinking first is likely. Already down to 40.5 before 10pm

35* here this morning, nice clean crisp air!

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      8.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Oct 18, 2020 7:27 pm

Looks like the GFS completely lost the hurricane developing in the caribbean, amazing for how long it showed it. Looks like Epslion will be the system by Bermuda if it isn't already, haven't looked. So looks like no interesting weather untill at least November. And mugs we were spot on with the rain ending, I was out of the house at 5am Sat and the rain had stopped, sun was come out by 7/7:30.
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Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:44 pm

A couple of days in the mid-70's this week. That should feel nice!

Looks like we'll get a real shot of cold air next week, but it looks fairly short lived then we return to normal. Very very quiet conditions overall.

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Post by jmanley32 on Wed Oct 21, 2020 2:46 pm

Did I hear snow is possible i nthe coming weeks for some or is that false?
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Post by Dunnzoo on Wed Oct 21, 2020 5:57 pm

Maybe some lake effect after Halloween, cold air moving in then.

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      8.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs on Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:02 pm

Pre Halloween Storm
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_ms14

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs on Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:23 am

Dreary morning 63* and foggy, drizzly here

Chilly-cold Saturday night with Frost in the Ruburbs
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603623600-NdaKuAJjWEk

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs on Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:25 am

Wet week and much cooler upcoming
Tuesday
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603810800-TkvKbWX3HbA

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1603875600-AIIMO0sSMRk

Friday
October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 1604048400-2AK7sxOVYuM

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by dkodgis on Sat Oct 24, 2020 9:53 am

63 this morning and with a serenade by frogs somewhere near and on the deck. It’s raining
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Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Oct 25, 2020 12:38 pm

39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      8.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs on Sun Oct 25, 2020 7:30 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

Little rain?? Janet are you looking at the storm for at the end of the week? Good 1" soaker

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_20.thumb.png.0516d979d22873d343c759625490818a

October 2020 Obs and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_apcpn24_neus_16

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Oct 25, 2020 10:07 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:39* this morning, only 50* now. Boy, forecasters are going to be busy this week! Hurricanes, blizzards and fires oh my! Meanwhile, be are going to be boring and grey, with a little rain.

I would pay to be in Colorado right now. Their weather is fascinating. It can be mild one day and blizzard the next depending on your elevation.

Looks like a deluge here Thursday into Friday Sad

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