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Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:11 pm

Currently, nowhere that I’m seeing is gusting over 30 kts, which I can confirm, at least here on LBI. It’s windy, but 30mph gusts seems about right based on what I’m seeing right now.

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Post by Grselig Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:23 pm

Winds in Wayne, NJ are about 15 max 23. Breezy. I hope that it is overdone. Especially for so many people tonight with potential power loss and cold tomorrow.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:53 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Oof. Those winds across NYC tho...

Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread - Page 4 B7b1a210
Wow 64-68mph for me, why are they saying away from the coast? So a bit inland like you said is more likely, is that due to the waters causing inversion like you said? Appears I am far enough from the water to experience some pretty sig winds per that map.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:55 pm

rb924119 wrote:Currently, nowhere that I’m seeing is gusting over 30 kts, which I can confirm, at least here on LBI. It’s windy, but 30mph gusts seems about right based on what I’m seeing right now.
Thats pretty much on par for what the models showed, lets see what happens later in the night, this is 1 hr from the wind warning still.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:57 pm

Grselig wrote:Winds in Wayne, NJ are about 15 max 23. Breezy.  I hope that it is overdone.  Especially for so many people tonight with potential power loss and cold tomorrow.  
Well at least we can get xmas dinner in im pretty positive of, and if your italian I believe thats 7 fish right? Is that literally a dinner with 7 different kinds of fish? We are having crab cakes lol. I need to attend that I love fish. What kinds of fish?
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Post by frank 638 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:03 pm

So far by me the winds are not that strong yet just . I know tonight it’s going to be a different ball game. We are having our seven fish for tonight‘s dinner we are having baked clams lobster tails seafood salad Shrimps mussels With white wine sauce Buccola And scallops with tomato sauce and spaghetti

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:09 pm

rb and soul nice job!! Ryan Hannrahan from CT news.

"With water temperatures in the Sound near 40 degrees the strongest wind gusts will likely be just inland from the Sound. The NAM model here shows a more stable temperature profile at Groton than at Hartford. This is why we have a similar gust forecast statewide."

So might see winds pan out more just north & west of NYC (literally like 5-10 miles only and further) and LI may be spared a bit if this is true, central LI is prolly far enough inland, how interesting, I do not think this is something I have ever heard b4.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:11 pm

frank 638 wrote:So far by me the winds are not that strong yet just . I know tonight it’s going to be a different ball game. We are having our seven fish for tonight‘s dinner we are having baked clams lobster tails seafood salad Shrimps mussels With white wine sauce Buccola And scallops with tomato sauce and spaghetti
OMG, some of that I would not like but id go nuts on the lobster shrimp, seafood salad probably. Shrimps lol, thats a true new yorker, there is no "s" for plural of shrimp. And in terms of the winds from what I just posted you might see less wind than literally just north of you, for instance yonkers on north unless ur in the far north bronx. If of course the idea of the ocean limiting some along the coast is true.
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Post by phil155 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:14 pm

frank 638 wrote:So far by me the winds are not that strong yet just . I know tonight it’s going to be a different ball game. We are having our seven fish for tonight‘s dinner we are having baked clams lobster tails seafood salad Shrimps mussels With white wine sauce Buccola And scallops with tomato sauce and spaghetti

Sounds a lot like what I used to have on Christmas eve every year growing up. Brings back memories for sure

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Post by frank 638 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:19 pm

Jman we have so much food I forgot to Mention We also have Anti-pasta I left the good part out here we go lol bocconcini Marinated eggplant prosciutto Parmigiano Reggiano to olive bread if ur hungry come by lol

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Post by frank 638 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:23 pm

Thank you jman I forgot to mention thank you for ur post I am in throggs neck I just hope it’s not to windy out tonight into Tom morning please stay safe

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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:31 pm

Winds picking up a bit!!! Just about to sit down with family and will be having Zuppa di Pesce Fra Diavolo we got all of the seven fish in there.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:50 pm

jimv45 wrote:Winds picking up a bit!!! Just about to sit down with family and will be having Zuppa di Pesce Fra Diavolo we got all of the seven fish in there.
I should change the title of this threat to wind a& rain storm with a side of xmas eve food discussion lol
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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:52 pm

Yes Jman that would work, wind and food good combo!!

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Post by Grselig Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:58 pm

Ha. Wind is getting stronger here. Funny, We don't celebrate Xmas, but Merry Xmas to all. Tonight it's Trader Joe appetizers and pizza for dinner. Maybe homemade bacon wrapped scallops. Love the food talk. Stay safe and have fund - everybody.
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Post by billg315 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:04 pm

Holy crap! Look at these radar returns west of Philly.
Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread - Page 4 E4139710
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:15 pm

wow nws upped two of the parameters wind and marine to extreme level. they didnt even have it that high for the tropical storm this summer wow. thats crazy.

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/1224pmPublic.pdf
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:19 pm

billg315 wrote:Holy crap! Look at these radar returns west of Philly.
Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread - Page 4 E4139710
all igotta say is madonne....thats coming this way> I would be very surprised if that doesnt include the extreme winds they are talking about. And the system has slowed according nws. The rain wont be windswept it will be horizontal. I think you way northern guys may luck out and not have severe issues. But don't quote me o nthat.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:24 pm

This is nearly training, its only moving ever so slightlu east mostly north, once its in the area its gonna be nuts for quite a while i think, man if this was snow holy crap, we would be talk about 2 to 4 ft.
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Post by billg315 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:43 pm

After that first area of torrential rain and strong winds creeps through looks like a squall line could roar through around 2 or 3 am with Hurricane-force gusts.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:45 pm

billg315 wrote:After that first area of torrential rain and strong winds creeps through looks like a squall line could roar through around 2 or 3 am with Hurricane-force gusts.
Yeah i think this must intensify as it gets closer, winds are basically light all through that rain and even at the area that looks like a squall line, the winds def have a sharp drastic drop cut off as things end on all the models around 7am, but it lasts a good 2-3 hrs+ not a normal squall line likely due to its south to mainly north movement.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:46 pm

So far winds light gusts only to 16mph (going by wx underground station closest to me in the bronx), calm before the storm or its not going to mix down, by this time the models have 30-40mph gusts.
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Post by Zhukov1945 Thu Dec 24, 2020 7:13 pm

jmanley32 wrote:So far winds light gusts only to 16mph (going by wx underground station closest to me in the bronx), calm before the storm or its not going to mix down, by this time the models have 30-40mph gusts.

Think the storm thus far is waaayyyyy late relative to the models. Should have been pouring out here in west jersey a while ago, we've just seen some sprinkles thus far.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 7:33 pm

Zhukov1945 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:So far winds light gusts only to 16mph (going by wx underground station closest to me in the bronx), calm before the storm or its not going to mix down, by this time the models have 30-40mph gusts.

Think the storm thus far is waaayyyyy late relative to the models.  Should have been pouring out here in west jersey a while ago, we've just seen some sprinkles thus far.  
NWS in their discussion did mention a major slowdown. That would mean this would push further into the morning.
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Post by aiannone Thu Dec 24, 2020 7:35 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Holy crap! Look at these radar returns west of Philly.
Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread - Page 4 E4139710
all igotta say is madonne....thats coming this way> I would be very surprised if that doesnt include the extreme winds they are talking about.  And the system has slowed according nws. The rain wont be windswept it will be horizontal. I think you way northern guys may luck out and not have severe issues.  But don't quote me o nthat.

There is an issue with the Dover radar. It’s not that intense. This is the actual reflectivity
Dec. 24/25th High Wind & rain storm thread - Page 4 58b61310

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 7:45 pm

Yeah HRRR & RGEM match up pretty much verbatim with where it is right now, big slowdown, main winds if they happen as progged won't arrive until 11-12 and strongest from 1-6/7am. rain doesnt totally exit until 12 or 1pm.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 24, 2020 7:48 pm

So looks like my local wx station says last highest gust was a hour ago around 26mph. funny highest gust today was at 11am 34mph according to the wx underground station closest to me.
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