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Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call

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Post by Irish Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:52 am

Snowing heavily here now!

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Post by kalleg Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:54 am

New Hope update: Eyeballing it, an inch and a half on the ground, flakes now down to more typical size--many as big as a quarter half an hour ago, 32*

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:59 am

@Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here now!

I think you're in a good spot for this one.

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Post by crippo84 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:00 am

Moderate snow now in midtown. Big fat flakes.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:03 am

@Lubethan wrote:Longtime stalker here, first time post:
Bordentown NJ, 34° moderate rain
Thanks and keep up the amazing work, by far the most informative weather site  available.

Welcome and thanks so much! Looks like you're in line for 3-6 or so today. Let us know how you make out.

@amugs wrote:
@Lubethan wrote:Longtime stalker here, first time post:
Bordentown NJ, 34° moderate rain
Thanks and keep up the amazing work, by far the most informative weather site  available.

Welcome and thanks for the update. Just N of you in Ewing snow at .5" already. Good luck today.

What the heck you doing in Ewing??

@heehaw453 wrote:I'm hearing reports out of Hopewell NJ of 2" OTG already.

No way! Can anyone confirm??

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Post by Scullybutcher Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:04 am

37* lightly snowing
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Post by DAYBLAZER Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:09 am

Heavy snow here in Hopatcong, getting closer to an inch or so already.
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Post by billg315 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:11 am

Seems most interior locations are going over to snow. 850 temps are generally good

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 125bd610


but some warm air still intruding toward the Jersey shore hence the rain obs from there.  Should eventually get colder and end as snow in some of those shore spots later.

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 8bf70510
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Post by algae888 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:13 am

Moderate snow ground coated. Huge flakes
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:14 am

29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues. Approaching 2" OTG.


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Post by kalleg Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:16 am

New Hope update: Eyeballing it, an inch and a half on the ground, flakes now down to more typical size--many as big as a quarter half an hour ago, 32*

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Post by CnWestMilford76 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:18 am

Snow moderately now here in West Milford... temp 29.
Starting flaking about 40 minutes agoSuper Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 C89a2910
Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 B8791e10

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:18 am

Surface low has developed and will continue on its NE trajectory. Man, just last week we were tracking the secondary low from Roidzilla and determining if it will go north then west or northeast. This one is clear as day that it will head due northeast.

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 Surface-low

Here's a look at the surface temperatures. Many people are snowing where there surface temps are above freezing. And it's sticking too! That goes to show that marginal surface temps can be overcome by strong snow rates or much colder temps at other boundary layers.

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 Surface-temps

700mb frontogenesis - where you typically see the best snowfall rates - is currently favored over EPA. However, look for heavy banding to develop along the coast and CNJ later today. You can see it already show up in extreme SNJ.

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 700mb

NAM shows heavy snow along coastal NJ later today. My guess is this will be your jackpot. Parts of the shore may never flip to snow, unfortunately. That is why my snow map shows less for them.

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 NAM

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 NAM-4pm

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:21 am

@CnWestMilford76 wrote:Snow moderately now here in West Milford... temp 29.
Starting flaking about 40 minutes agoSuper Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 C89a2910
Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 B8791e10

Nice pics thanks for sharing! You're on the edge of 1-3/3-6 so probably looking at 3-4" or so. Maybe high end depending on banding!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:23 am

@heehaw453 wrote:29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues.  Approaching 2" OTG.


Looks like a 30 dbz band over you!

http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

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Post by algae888 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:25 am

I think I'm in a great spot for this storm. Temp dropped to 29* last night. Heavy snow now instant stickage huge flaflakes 32*.  Radar looks good.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:26 am

@Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here now!

Irish..us too...like a switch turned on!!
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:28 am

Nice band starting to pivot north now from Central Bucks PA into my neck of the woods.

SN+

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:30 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@heehaw453 wrote:29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues.  Approaching 2" OTG.


Looks like a 30 dbz band over you!

http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

Indeed. Thank goodness it decided to pivot north instead of east!

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Post by aiannone Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:33 am

Nice big flakes. Coming down hard and accumulating fast
Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 111d5210
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:38 am

I think the GFS already busted

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 Gfs_asnow_neus_4

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:40 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:I think the GFS already busted

Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call - Page 5 Gfs_asnow_neus_4

LOL! Too bad the GFSv16 is broke. I would have liked to see how it handled this.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:41 am

Probably snowing 1.5"/hr right now.

30/29.8

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Post by frank 638 Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:41 am

Snowing pretty good starting to stick

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Post by mmanisca Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:41 am

35 with moderate snow in Deer Park
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