Super Bowl Snowstorm, Part II: First Call

Irish wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

Irish wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:I think northern Monmouth and Middlesex counties in NJ will see 4"-6" today.  Surface is cold enough and 700mb frontogenesis looks good.

That's exactly my location.  That purple line/ wet bulb on the previous page, is literally drawn right by my area.  So, we'll see...

Hey is cooler and snowing by you?

Was raining and is now mixing. You?

still raining..The last storm I lagged behind you about 1/2 an hour..lets see today...

Started snowy in Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet altitude 15 minutes ago,  coming down fine and steady, 27 degrees out, cars covered ground almost!

Snowing heavily here now!

New Hope update: Eyeballing it, an inch and a half on the ground, flakes now down to more typical size--many as big as a quarter half an hour ago, 32*

Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here now!

I think you're in a good spot for this one.

Moderate snow now in midtown. Big fat flakes.

Lubethan wrote:Longtime stalker here, first time post:
Bordentown NJ, 34° moderate rain
Thanks and keep up the amazing work, by far the most informative weather site  available.

Welcome and thanks so much! Looks like you're in line for 3-6 or so today. Let us know how you make out.

amugs wrote:

Lubethan wrote:Longtime stalker here, first time post:
Bordentown NJ, 34° moderate rain
Thanks and keep up the amazing work, by far the most informative weather site  available.

Welcome and thanks for the update. Just N of you in Ewing snow at .5" already. Good luck today.

What the heck you doing in Ewing??

heehaw453 wrote:I'm hearing reports out of Hopewell NJ of 2" OTG already.

No way! Can anyone confirm??

37* lightly snowing

Heavy snow here in Hopatcong, getting closer to an inch or so already.

Seems most interior locations are going over to snow. 850 temps are generally good




but some warm air still intruding toward the Jersey shore hence the rain obs from there.  Should eventually get colder and end as snow in some of those shore spots later.

Moderate snow ground coated. Huge flakes

29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues. Approaching 2" OTG.

New Hope update: Eyeballing it, an inch and a half on the ground, flakes now down to more typical size--many as big as a quarter half an hour ago, 32*

Snow moderately now here in West Milford... temp 29.
Starting flaking about 40 minutes ago

Surface low has developed and will continue on its NE trajectory. Man, just last week we were tracking the secondary low from Roidzilla and determining if it will go north then west or northeast. This one is clear as day that it will head due northeast.



Here's a look at the surface temperatures. Many people are snowing where there surface temps are above freezing. And it's sticking too! That goes to show that marginal surface temps can be overcome by strong snow rates or much colder temps at other boundary layers.



700mb frontogenesis - where you typically see the best snowfall rates - is currently favored over EPA. However, look for heavy banding to develop along the coast and CNJ later today. You can see it already show up in extreme SNJ.



NAM shows heavy snow along coastal NJ later today. My guess is this will be your jackpot. Parts of the shore may never flip to snow, unfortunately. That is why my snow map shows less for them.

CnWestMilford76 wrote:Snow moderately now here in West Milford... temp 29.
Starting flaking about 40 minutes ago

Nice pics thanks for sharing! You're on the edge of 1-3/3-6 so probably looking at 3-4" or so. Maybe high end depending on banding!

heehaw453 wrote:29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues.  Approaching 2" OTG.

Looks like a 30 dbz band over you!

http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

I think I'm in a great spot for this storm. Temp dropped to 29* last night. Heavy snow now instant stickage huge flaflakes 32*.  Radar looks good.

Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here now!

Irish..us too...like a switch turned on!!

Nice band starting to pivot north now from Central Bucks PA into my neck of the woods.

SN+

Frank_Wx wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:29.5/29.2

Moderate to heavy snow continues.  Approaching 2" OTG.

Looks like a 30 dbz band over you!

http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

Indeed. Thank goodness it decided to pivot north instead of east!

Nice big flakes. Coming down hard and accumulating fast

I think the GFS already busted

Frank_Wx wrote:I think the GFS already busted

LOL! Too bad the GFSv16 is broke. I would have liked to see how it handled this.

Probably snowing 1.5"/hr right now.

30/29.8

Snowing pretty good starting to stick

35 with moderate snow in Deer Park