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September 2021 Observations and Discussions

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Sparky Sparticles
sroc4
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Joe Snow
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frank 638
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:26 pm


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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:28 pm


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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:30 pm

From Lee...

September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PXKv8WQAQOCjy?format=jpg&name=large

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:34 pm

Unfortunately, a catastrophic flood event is indeed taking shape across the NYC metro…

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:38 pm

Between 9-10pm will be the worst of it with possible tornados according to SPC

September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 Script>

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:39 pm

September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PYpmHXsAQ2dIW?format=png&name=small

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:42 pm

Just prolific rainfall amounts… pale

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Post by billg315 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:42 pm

Flash Flood Warnings extend uninterrupted from Hartford Ct to Philadelphia PA. Many Flash Flood Emergencies from Philly to NYC.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:43 pm

SUMMARY...The tornado threat across far southern New York and Long Island will increase as the warm sector moves northward in the next couple of hours. Storm mode may moderate the the tornado threat, but discrete/embedded supercells remain possible and would pose the greatest risk. DISCUSSION...Convection across far eastern Pennsylvania and central New Jersey has generally congealed. While the potential for tornadoes remains due to the low-level shear environment, the storm mode suggests that tornadoes would generally be brief. Some backing of surface winds is evident in surface observations in western Long Island. Over the next couple of hours, this trend should continue as low-level warm advection increases. Portions of far southern New York and Long Island should eventually end up in the warm sector. Improved thermodynamics will lead to a slightly higher tornado potential, though this will continue to be modulated by linear/cluster storm mode. KDIX radar imagery does show a couple of more discrete storms moving northeast out of central New Jersey. These storms, and other discrete storms that can develop, would pose a greater tornado threat.

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:44 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PYpmHXsAQ2dIW?format=png&name=small
yikes!! this is unreal, just was out cuz it let up then boom like a tropical storm winds whipping rain crazy, I saw above we have a flood near me ashburton is bout 4 miles from here. This is catastrophic flooding as some have said, i was hesitant to use that word leading up to this storm but my gut was right.
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Post by amugs Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:45 pm

billg315 wrote:This is a catastrophic event. I have to admit, I underestimated how bad this would be in this region.

Tell that to JMAN who said it would not be much to worry about LOL a week ago for us. Big Momma was listening

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:47 pm

amugs wrote:
billg315 wrote:This is a catastrophic event. I have to admit, I underestimated how bad this would be in this region.

Tell that to JMAN who said it would not be much to worry about LOL a week ago for us. Big Momma was listening
I already said I just kept quiet because I changed my mind leading up to it but did not want to use that word. getting lightninbg here now.The crazy rain has let up for a bit, lets see what happens with that potential outbreak for tornados in NI and nyc metro, hopefully not. worst is at night you cannot see them.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:52 pm

September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PZxUFXIAMEiSx?format=jpg&name=medium

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Post by billg315 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:53 pm

Interstate 295 closed in Hopewell NJ due to flooding.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:53 pm

Whats moving ever so slowly east into NYC looks to be forming a bow....Hold on folks in NYC and westchester its about to go down, yes mugs I made a mistake a week ago, but all the past several days I have been warning people.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:55 pm

Wow coming down right now...and thunder and lightning
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Post by phil155 Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:55 pm

Unreal amounts of rain here in edison, unbelievable

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Post by amugs Wed Sep 01, 2021 8:56 pm

From buddy .... State Trooper who's on tonight out of Bloomfield barracks.

The parkway is a parking lots. Flooding everywhere. Cars are turning around and driving the wrong way. Other car literally floating away. Can't keep up. Water rescues.

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Post by billg315 Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:00 pm

South Branch of the Raritan River near me is forecast to exceed 11 feet, highest level since 1935. Flood stage is 8 feet.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:00 pm

Update: Newark Airport #EWR measured an astonishing 3.24” of rain in the hour ending 8:51 PM, and the two-hour total was 4.60”.

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Post by amugs Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:01 pm


_________________
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Post by sabamfa Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:02 pm

https://twitter.com/pearlgabel/status/1433227791970054146?s=21

Horrible flooding in lambertville nj

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Post by Zhukov1945 Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PZxUFXIAMEiSx?format=jpg&name=medium

Report out of Clinton Township where that white is - unreal. Drove home about 8pm from dinner and any low lying road is a river. Numerous stranded cars and police blocking roads all over. Still coming down hard. Definitely the worst rain event I can recall in years, if not my lifetime.
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Post by 1190ftalt Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:08 pm

The worst part of Storm just hit FT Lee on 24th floor, lighting, and heavy rain and Strong Winds !
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:09 pm

OMG we just got a tornado warning, I do not remember last time, we are having constant non-stop lightning
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Post by billg315 Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:09 pm

Zhukov1945 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:September 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E-PZxUFXIAMEiSx?format=jpg&name=medium

Report out of Clinton Township where that white is - unreal. Drove home about 8pm from dinner and any low lying road is a river.  Numerous stranded cars and police blocking roads all over.  Still coming down hard.  Definitely the worst rain event I can recall in years, if not my lifetime.

I said earlier this evening that I might be "overstating" it but that this rain seemed the worst since Hurricane Irene. I guess I wasn't overstating it. These rainfall totals are rivaling that.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 01, 2021 9:12 pm

Tornado warning there is a tornado right in my vicinity holy crap!! my phone is blowing up
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