Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations

Yes 2004Blackwrx just getting it up here will be the problem, but you should get around 5 or so!.

jimv45 wrote:Been a while since I posted been so busy, I hope I see an inch where I am in Ulster. I think Hyde Southern Dutchess around us might do well!

Hey Jim great to see you!! Hope all is well

rb924119 wrote:Do you guys want the good news or the better news?

Too bad, you’re getting both. Good news is things look good to me. Better news?? 850 is closed off about 75 miles southwest of where any of todays guidance had it. We take.

18z euro did bump west a bit.

I know I know, NO MODELS!

flakes starting to fall I’m going to enjoy every one I see just in case

rb924119 wrote:Do you guys want the good news or the better news?


Too bad, you’re getting both. Good news is things look good to me. Better news?? 850 is closed off about 75 miles southwest of where any of todays guidance had it. We take.

Does this for sure translate into changes at the surface, i.e. more western track, North not northeast?

RJB8525 wrote:flakes starting to fall I’m going to enjoy every one I see just in case

Got about an inch maybe here so far, probably all I see too.

Thanks Frank so glad to be back! This one has been one tough SOB to forecast, but now will see what happens. Great job by everybody with trying to nail this one down.

jimv45 wrote:Yes 2004Blackwrx just getting it up here will be the problem, but you should get around 5 or so!.

5 isnt bad just frustrating when you see the potential and how sharp the cutoffs are forecasted to be. Winter goes by quick and we only have 8 inches so far to show for it. Fingers crossed with this one any shift is west. If a shift east this storm will be total dud for us. Im working nights this weekend so this storm will be an inconvenience as far as cleanup but I still want to go big.

I hear you 2004 this one for us could be a tough one to take, but hope for the more west movement is real

Here’s the H7 heights with relative humidity in green. Note the dry slot circled in red. That’s your 850hPa circulation taking shape. This aligns well with the last hour’s and this most recent SPC Meso analysis of the 850hPa level. The classic comma head, outlined in blue, should be a developing CCB/frontogenesis band. That would match radar trends well also with that band training along I-95. Very interested to see how this plays out.

7:24 snow has broken out here in Deer Park.

Euro west. HRRR west. Obs look good.

Play ball.

rb924119 wrote:Here’s the H7 heights with relative humidity in green. Note the dry slot circled in red. That’s your 850hPa circulation taking shape. This aligns well with the last hour’s and this most recent SPC Meso analysis of the 850hPa level. The classic comma head, outlined in blue, should be a developing CCB/frontogenesis band. That would match radar trends well also with that band training along I-95. Very interested to see how this plays out.

Love the real time analysis. Very educational. Gracias.

Snowing pretty good in Swedesboro NJ. About 1”

Seems like from VA Beach north the precip is moving north..

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Kings Park New York, intensity has picked up. Dusting on the ground.

Snowing now in Wayne NJ

Reporting from Barnegat. Light snow 29. Just a coating 1/4" so far. Surface temps seemed to be warm during the day.

It's snowing pretty damn good in midtown now.

Frank_Wx wrote:http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

That motion looks good doesn’t it Frank? Looks very good!

It has begun here in St. James

The 500mb trough appears to be neutral over MS. Not a bad spot.

31* and we have a coating of snow .coming down very fine

heehaw453 wrote:The 500mb trough appears to be neutral over MS.  Not a bad spot.

I’d argue it’s already negative.

Flurries stopped, nothing here now.

There's a band stretching all the way through Richmond, VA. I don't recall any meaningful snow going that far into VA.