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JAN 16th Arctic Front I

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by lglickman1 Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:39 pm

Anyone seeing snow yet in the westchester area? Seems like virga for now, humidity is in the 40s

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by silentwreck Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:46 pm

Snowing lightly. Everything is getting covered. Finalllllllyyyyy !!!!

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by Irish Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:53 pm

OMG, IT'S SNOW!!!
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:56 pm

Money right here over NYC metro and NNJ. High snow ratios 15-18:1 I'd say in these areas. High end overperformer potential. 
Love storms overnight, they always for better

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Image_39

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:58 pm

Light snow has commenced in Nutley township. hurryup
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by brownie Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:58 pm

Snowing very lightly here. Very fine snow - can’t even really see it falling, but it’s sticking to car roofs

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:59 pm

00z NAM 😮

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_6829

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by 1190ftalt Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:00 pm

Just started snowing at 1190 feet altitude at 8:55 in the pm ,  22 degrees and reporting 0.000 accumulation as of now! Good Luck to all the people who live down by the shore and the yuppies in Jersey City, hope you guys get blizzard whiteout conditions, you guys deserve it !
   Good Luck !JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Ed351010
JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Ab71a810
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by frank 638 Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:03 pm

lglickman1 wrote:Anyone seeing snow yet in the westchester area?  Seems like virga for now, humidity is in the 40s
I am in throggs neck getting snow flurries right now it’s coming finally

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:00z NAM 😮

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_6829
Woah. That’s a band of 6+. If the other high resolution models follow suit, NWS may upgrade to warnings overnight.






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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by Irish Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:00z NAM 😮

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_6829
I'll be happy to accept those 6 inches. Yeah... that's what I said!
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by MattyICE Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:19 pm

I don’t know, but I have a good feeling about this one…not at all scientific, lol…just intuition, I guess.

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:37 pm

Truly a high ratio snow. These temps are COLD across the state


JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_6910


10 dbz bands cover most of the state besides SNJ. Once the 20 and 25 dbz bands move in, the show will pile up quick.

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_6911

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by aiannone Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:44 pm

High ratio snow here. 24.8* and light snow but quickly accumulating. Nice light coating on all surfaces. Not wasting a flake

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by aiannone Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:51 pm

Always found it funny how LI and NJ can get very similar if not the same snow and even before it starts NJ has dozens of school closings and LI has none lol.

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by Math23x7 Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:02 pm

The last time CPK had at least 2" of snow from an event: January 28-29, 2022, nearly two years ago!

The two 1"+ snow events since: February 13, 2022 (1.6") and February 27-28, 2023 (1.8").

It will be interesting to see if this event ends that 2"+ snow drought.

While mixing/rain will be an issue for NYC and points south and east, here in Albany, it's expected to be all snow with higher snow ratios. Perhaps several inches of snow for me tomorrow.

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:04 pm

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_2105
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:14 pm

Snow has commenced at 9:15 in Hiladlae and instant stickage. LOVE these types of arctic storms!!! OKAYqpf on NAM would  mean 4.5-6" of snow in NNJ, LHV and SE CT easily.
JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Qpf_ac10

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:15 pm

This means something…Storm way overperformed in Knoxville. Forecasted 3-5"; up to 9” and still snowing…as of 9PM

HUUGGE RED FLAG AND MODELS SHOULD INCREASE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS NAMS DID. WARNING CRITERIA POSSIBLE??

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by NJBear Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:17 pm

Snow in Whitehouse(Hunterdon), a good dusting. Very Fine flakes compared to the golf ball sized in the last storm.
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:24 pm

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Snowfa10

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:30 pm

I may be way off base here, but I just looked 3 short range models that showed tomorrow is gonna be a nasty mess for many of us. The models showed a lot of frozen rain/sleet from northern Virginia all the way up 95 to northern New England. And the Shore and LI are going to get a lot of rain, hopefully just rain, but maybe some frz or sleet. But it looks like the Jersey Shore is going to now be a rainy mess from 5-6 am all the way through the afternoon! Sad   Just have to enjoy the moment and hope for the best I guess! But more importantly, as far as the sleet and freezing rain, is that as dangerous as it looks? And is there any chance of this just not happening?


JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Nam00z10

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:49 pm

Don't think so NAMs are running warm IMO. Just tonight showing 30* when I was 27*and this was all over NJ and NYC metro. 

.25" at 25* and snowing moderately. 
DC just jumped to Warning level.  Great call and this will happen with Holly and then Upton at 4AM, 😆 🤣 when we have 8 hours of storm left.
JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 20240114JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 20240114
JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Image_40

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:52 pm

Very pretty out. Very light tiny flakes everything is coated. Loving seeing all this SR model overperformance possible. That band of frz right in morning rush in nyc area is concerning. Hopefully we can keep that south of here. Daughter has 2 hr delay, lets see what morning brings. Might get to work remote..hoping.
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by silentwreck Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:01 pm

Snowing lightly. Attached pictures below from 9:24pmJAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_4510
JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Img_4511

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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:10 pm

22.5° light snow for the past half hour, humidity 63% which is encouraging it was 42% an hour ago and had me concerned.

It will be interesting to see what the morning brings, anything from 1.5 to 4-5 inches otg for wakeup seems possible, I'd hedge to the lower end atm.
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JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 Empty Re: JAN 16th Arctic Front I

Post by amugs Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:11 pm

0Z GFS holds - snow/mixes until 3PM Metro Area

JAN 16th Arctic Front I - Page 4 1705482000-27CUGNXauiw

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