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Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)

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Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Empty Re: Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)

Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:45 am

li still snowing  at 03 sunday. final snow totals some places in Hudson valley and s/w conn get close to a foot.
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam4km_asnow_us_15
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam_namer_039_850_temp_mslp_precip
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:48 am

@rb924119 wrote:Where do you get the RGEM data from, btw?
http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.h
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam4km®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015012312&fh=45&xpos=0&ypos=184
should come out after 10am


Last edited by algae888 on Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:48 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:48 am

@algae888 wrote:li still snowing  at 03 sunday. final snow totals some places in Hudson valley and s/w conn get close to a foot.
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam4km_asnow_us_15
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam_namer_039_850_temp_mslp_precip

Wait a minute; why is this map so much different than the one Al posted? lol

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:49 am

@algae888 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Where do you get the RGEM data from, btw?
http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.h
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam4km®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015012312&fh=45&xpos=0&ypos=184
should come out after 10am

Thank you buddy

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:49 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:li still snowing  at 03 sunday. final snow totals some places in Hudson valley and s/w conn get close to a foot.
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam4km_asnow_us_15
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Nam_namer_039_850_temp_mslp_precip

Wait a minute; why is this map so much different than the one Al posted? lol
rb that is total snow fall after nice backend snows
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Post by Analog96 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:50 am

@rb924119 wrote:Where do you get the RGEM data from, btw?

As far as just ptype maps, tropicaltidbits.com works

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:52 am

I think these probabilities from nws say a lot look and judge for yourself..
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT4
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT6
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT8
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:54 am

Thanks guys!!

@algae888 wrote:I think these probabilities from nws say a lot look and judge for yourself..
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT4
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT6
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT8

Do you know when these were issued?

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:54 am

i'm off to work already late.lol it would be good to have another model or 2 agree with nam
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:56 am


Do you know when these were issued?
it says it on map at 4:43am
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:57 am

@algae888 wrote:
Do you know when these were issued?
it says it on map at 4:43am

Yeah I just saw that lmfao I'm just a dumb-ass, don't mind me ahaha

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 7:58 am

RGEM just started initializing.......

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:01 am

Hey guys wow, looking like more snow, but I fear at least .1-.2 is ice, NWS upton mentions this in their discussion this morning which I posted so those totals may be too high by a inch or two. But heres hoping we get over 6 so we can see a nice wsw finally lol.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:03 am

RGEM Hour 12

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015012312/rgem_mslp_pcpn_us_4.png

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:05 am

Yikes a rama! some places see as high as .5-.75 frz if that verified it would be terrible even u and I al see near or over .25

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 Hires_10
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:07 am

the ice starts at hr 21 and ends at hr. 27, that's 6 hrs of freezing rain, trending more and more toward an ice storm, wouldn't be surprised to see some places get ice storm warnings.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:10 am

Idk Jman, my gut is telling me that with marginal temps at the surface, the fact that it is the end of January with a slightly higher sun angle, and the heavier rates of precipitation, there may be a short (i.e. 1-2 hours) period of ice, but I think that would be it. The conditions don't look all that supportive to me. Just my opinion, though.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:12 am

Hour 18, 12z is slightly east of 06z

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Post by Guest Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:13 am

@algae888 wrote:I think these probabilities from nws say a lot look and judge for yourself..
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT4
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT6
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 5 SnowProbGT8

I agree it say's there's more than a 50% chance that 90% of our area gets less than 4 inches.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:14 am

Yeah I really have no idea, I was just going verbatim off the map I posted, you usually do not see something like that on any model runs in these parts.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:14 am

12z significantly wetter than 06z, especially on western side

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:15 am

that's greater than not less than.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:16 am

Location is the same, just off of A.C. but the backside differences are redonkulous......WAYYYY wetter on 12z

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:18 am

Pretty nice banding on the backside....

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:22 am

This was a much more classic-looking run-nice comma head appearance, nice backside banding. Warm run, though; 850s nudge above freezing for a short while even into parts of NEPA. Overall, I think this looked way better than the previous run with regard to precipitation.

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