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July 2015 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Grselig Thu Jul 23, 2015 7:38 am

Funny. The NWS has me a high a 0F - Cold and low of 57. Maybe I am still sleeping
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Jul 23, 2015 4:20 pm

@Grselig wrote:Funny.  The NWS has me a high a 0F - Cold and low of 57.    Maybe I am still sleeping

just the guys at NWS sleeping Very Happy
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jul 23, 2015 6:13 pm

Nothing to talk about. Maybe some rain Sunday and Tuesday next week. Not a lot though, if any. I can see how the first full week of August could be a little wet. We'll see.

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Post by ak926 Sat Jul 25, 2015 10:26 am

Very quite here. Enjoy the lovely summer weather !

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Post by Dtone Sun Jul 26, 2015 11:57 am

Hot week ahead..maybe turn out to be hottest of this summer

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jul 26, 2015 1:23 pm

@Dtone wrote:Hot week ahead..maybe turn out to be hottest of this summer

I'm not sure if it'll be as humid as last week...but yea, another heat wave coming.

Tuesday:

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Gfs_T2m_neus_10

Wednesday:

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Gfs_T2m_neus_14

Thursday:

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Gfs_T2m_neus_18

The southwest flow is enhanced from the negative heights extending from Alaska to western Canada.

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Gfs_z500a_eus_15

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Gfs_z500a_namer_15

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jul 26, 2015 6:21 pm

Attention Doc, CP, and anyone else NW of NYC. Slow moving storms moving in your direction.

July 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 9 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by docstox12 Sun Jul 26, 2015 9:31 pm

Frank, they fizzled out up here.Just some mild thunder and lightening but nothing in my bucket.

70 degrees, 88%. Looks like a hot week coming up.Was out fishing in PA Thursday-Sunday with mornings in the low 50's there.
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Post by ak926 Mon Jul 27, 2015 9:26 am

LTG and thunder 9pm-10:30, all to my north , only a few drops of rain ! The .18 came early this morning

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 27, 2015 9:53 am

Already sticky 77 degrees and 81% humidity!! How many days until winter?? tongue
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jul 27, 2015 7:29 pm

Heavy t storm, .42 fell, 72 degrees 91%.
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Post by ak926 Mon Jul 27, 2015 8:40 pm

Not moving much on radar loop!

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Post by Dtone Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:27 am


I believe CPK hasn't had an official heat wave since 2013.
Forecasts for me have 90s straight into early next week.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
327 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...HOT AND HUMID THROUGH MID WEEK...

NYZ072>075-176-178-282000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.HT.Y.0003.150728T1600Z-150729T2200Z/
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
327 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY.

* HAZARDS...HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...MID TO UPPER 90S.

* TIMING...DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL
 RESULT IN HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT STROKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR NEW YORK CITY WHEN THE COMBINATION
OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS AT
LEAST 95 DEGREES FOR TWO CONSECUTIVE DAYS...OR 100 DEGREES FOR ANY
LENGTH OF TIME.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS.

SENIORS AND THOSE WITH CHRONIC HEALTH PROBLEMS OR MENTAL HEALTH
CONDITIONS ARE AT AN INCREASED RISK. HOMES WITHOUT AIR
CONDITIONING CAN BE MUCH HOTTER THAN OUTDOOR TEMPERATURES.

USE AIR CONDITIONING TO STAY COOL AT HOME OR GO TO A PLACE THAT
HAS AIR CONDITIONING. TO FIND A NYC COOLING CENTER CALL 3-1-1 OR
VISIT NYC.GOV/OEM.


Last edited by Dtone on Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:31 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Dtone Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:27 am

ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
822 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION HAS
ISSUED AN AIR QUALITY HEALTH ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

RICHMOND...KINGS...QUEENS...NEW
YORK...BRONX...WESTCHESTER...ROCKLAND...NASSAU...SUFFOLK.

IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

AIR QUALITY LEVELS IN OUTDOOR AIR ARE PREDICTED TO BE GREATER THAN
AN AIR QUALITY INDEX VALUE OF 100 FOR THE POLLUTANT OF GROUND LEVEL
OZONE. THE AIR QUALITY INDEX...OR AQI...WAS CREATED AS AN EASY WAY
TO CORRELATE LEVELS OF DIFFERENT POLLUTANTS TO ONE SCALE. THE HIGHER
THE AQI VALUE, THE GREATER THE HEALTH CONCERN.

WHEN POLLUTION LEVELS ARE ELEVATED...THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT
OF HEALTH RECOMMENDS THAT INDIVIDUALS CONSIDER LIMITING STRENUOUS
OUTDOOR PHYSICAL ACTIVITY TO REDUCE THE RISK OF ADVERSE HEALTH
EFFECTS. PEOPLE WHO MAY BE ESPECIALLY SENSITIVE TO THE EFFECTS OF
ELEVATED LEVELS OF POLLUTANTS INCLUDE THE VERY YOUNG, AND THOSE WITH
PRE-EXISTING RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS SUCH AS ASTHMA OR HEART DISEASE.
THOSE WITH SYMPTOMS SHOULD CONSIDER CONSULTING THEIR PERSONAL
PHYSICIAN.

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Post by Dtone Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:28 am

ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
822 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION HAS
ISSUED AN AIR QUALITY HEALTH ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

RICHMOND...KINGS...QUEENS...NEW
YORK...BRONX...WESTCHESTER...ROCKLAND...NASSAU...SUFFOLK.

IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

AIR QUALITY LEVELS IN OUTDOOR AIR ARE PREDICTED TO BE GREATER THAN
AN AIR QUALITY INDEX VALUE OF 100 FOR THE POLLUTANT OF GROUND LEVEL
OZONE. THE AIR QUALITY INDEX...OR AQI...WAS CREATED AS AN EASY WAY
TO CORRELATE LEVELS OF DIFFERENT POLLUTANTS TO ONE SCALE. THE HIGHER
THE AQI VALUE, THE GREATER THE HEALTH CONCERN.

WHEN POLLUTION LEVELS ARE ELEVATED...THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT
OF HEALTH RECOMMENDS THAT INDIVIDUALS CONSIDER LIMITING STRENUOUS
OUTDOOR PHYSICAL ACTIVITY TO REDUCE THE RISK OF ADVERSE HEALTH
EFFECTS. PEOPLE WHO MAY BE ESPECIALLY SENSITIVE TO THE EFFECTS OF
ELEVATED LEVELS OF POLLUTANTS INCLUDE THE VERY YOUNG, AND THOSE WITH
PRE-EXISTING RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS SUCH AS ASTHMA OR HEART DISEASE.
THOSE WITH SYMPTOMS SHOULD CONSIDER CONSULTING THEIR PERSONAL
PHYSICIAN.

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Post by algae888 Tue Jul 28, 2015 3:21 pm

Although Central Park is 95 degrees right the dew point is 60 and in the fifties in other locations so it doesn't feel too uncomfortable out side
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jul 28, 2015 3:34 pm

The southwest flow is going to continue bringing us warm temps through the rest of the work week. You can expect lower humidity levels by the weekend with some rain on Sunday. Next week does not look as warm as this week, though that can still change. Hopefully we get a nice rain day. A large mid level trough may sweep through the area next week and along with it could be a rainstorm. We'll see.

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Post by ak926 Tue Jul 28, 2015 8:32 pm

@algae888 wrote:Although Central Park is 95 degrees right the dew point is 60 and in the fifties in other locations so it doesn't feel too uncomfortable out side
Wow Central Park Thermometer got up to 95 degrees !

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Post by Dtone Tue Jul 28, 2015 11:51 pm

@ak926 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:Although Central Park is 95 degrees right the dew point is 60 and in the fifties in other locations so it doesn't feel too uncomfortable out side
Wow Central Park Thermometer got up to 95 degrees !

Yeah I saw that too, kind of surprising. Warmer than LGA and even Newark.
Even one of the pro mets noticed its kind of unusual, its become the cool spot in recent years.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jul 29, 2015 10:44 am

Although temps. will still be in the 80's this weekend, humidity levels should not be as high thanks to the Hudson Bay cyclone and -NAO


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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jul 29, 2015 11:46 am

Gotta watch for storms tomorrow afternoon. Looks like the strongest cells will be off to our west and gradually weaken by the time they get here

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jul 29, 2015 1:23 pm

OK, I need some help trying to nail down the timing of the front tomorrow. It seems like it can come through anytime between 4 and 10pm from what I see. Anyone have a better idea on a window? We have our local carnival starting at 6, so I'm hoping it comes through at 4ish and passes quickly.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jul 29, 2015 1:53 pm

Janet, I believe it will come in pretty early. Between 1-4pm.

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jul 29, 2015 2:28 pm

Thanks Frank, I've been trying to figure it out since last night! Been looking at the models every run looking for a trend!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jul 29, 2015 3:17 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:Thanks Frank, I've been trying to figure it out since last night! Been looking at the models every run looking for a trend!

It's a slow moving front and those are always tricky to figure out. If could start raining between 1-2pm but when it ends will be tough to figure out. GGEM has it raining until 7pm! GFS has it out of here by 5pm

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