Re: Long Range Thread 9.0

[Frank_Wx]

Al - I started a thread considering we're within the 5 day window.

[amugs]

Well Austin Powers MJO - Yeahh&h BABY!!

[algae888]

Hm tweeted a defamation of the polar vortex late in the GFS run. Also ao looks to be heading negative on the GFS and getting stronger later in the run

[chief7]

888 HM tweet is it for the good or for the bad

[algae888]

888 HM tweet  is it for the good or for the bad

It's a good thing. a lot of good signs with the strato. A lot of warming forecast to happen in the next few weeks. see if warming can disrupt or split the vortex. we just have to wait and see if it actually happens

[amugs]

Gidee up folks from DAN Anderson on twitter a nay nay now coming I've from the dark side!!


It is going to get interesting for us weenies.

[Frank_Wx]

Significant displacement of Strat PV possible by Jan 8th or so. Good sign to see this at 10hPa.

[amugs]

Significant displacement of Strat PV possible by Jan 8th or so. Good sign to see this at 10hPa.

MOTHER OF GOD WOOO HOOOO!!

[HectorO]

I heard 1977 was a pretty wet and mild winter. Not as mild as us now, but funny how they said that this year star wars and and full moon are upon us and in 1977 star wars came out and christmas was a full moon.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

I heard 1977 was a pretty wet and mild winter. Not as mild as us now, but funny how they said that this year star wars and and full moon are upon us and in 1977 star wars came out and christmas was a full moon.

I don't know where you heard that but it couldn't be further from the truth.

The December through February average in 76-1977 was 28.5 degrees in NYC. 3 degrees colder than last December through February Average.

BTW- We've never been this mild in December so there's nothing to compare this too. We've shattered the record book.

[HectorO]

I heard 1977 was a pretty wet and mild winter. Not as mild as us now, but funny how they said that this year star wars and and full moon are upon us and in 1977 star wars came out and christmas was a full moon.

I don't know where you heard that but it couldn't be further from the truth.

The December through February average in 76-1977 was 28.5 degrees in NYC. 3 degrees colder than last December through February Average.

BTW- We've never been this mild in December so there's nothing to compare this too. We've shattered the record book.

You posted 76/77 I mean 77/78

[HectorO]

I heard 1977 was a pretty wet and mild winter. Not as mild as us now, but funny how they said that this year star wars and and full moon are upon us and in 1977 star wars came out and christmas was a full moon.

I don't know where you heard that but it couldn't be further from the truth.

The December through February average in 76-1977 was 28.5 degrees in NYC. 3 degrees colder than last December through February Average.

BTW- We've never been this mild in December so there's nothing to compare this too. We've shattered the record book.

You posted 76/77 I mean 77/78 "star Wars" lol

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

I heard 1977 was a pretty wet and mild winter. Not as mild as us now, but funny how they said that this year star wars and and full moon are upon us and in 1977 star wars came out and christmas was a full moon.

I don't know where you heard that but it couldn't be further from the truth.

The December through February average in 76-1977 was 28.5 degrees in NYC. 3 degrees colder than last December through February Average.

BTW- We've never been this mild in December so there's nothing to compare this too. We've shattered the record book.

You posted 76/77 I mean 77/78 "star Wars" lol

1977/78 The average December through FEBRUARY temperature in NYC was 30.3 degrees with 50.7 inches of snow. Sorry someone is throwing out bad info there. That was anything but a mild and snow starved winter.

[Frank_Wx]

HHMMMMM exciting stuff seems to be happening in the long range

[Frank_Wx]

Long range has me excited. I think a pattern change is on its way.

[amugs]

Frank that -NAO or scan block is on roids if I am not mistaken and the +pna morphs into a - epo and the al vortex retrograde sw like the euro ens monthlys showed for months sincr Aug. WOW. IT'S COMING. MERRY XMASS!!!

[Frank_Wx]

Scandinavian and EPO ridge bridge!!!!!!!!!

[Snow88]

The pattern looks great moving forward. Merry Christmas everyone.

[Guest]

Long range has me excited. I think a pattern change is on its way.

Good to see our leader getting excited. From your lips to white at my house!!!!!!!

Great job on the poem Math.  I'm spending Christmas at my parents in Bellerose today!!  If you have any free time p.m. me and you can stop by for a drink!!

 

[docstox12]

Long range has me excited. I think a pattern change is on its way.

Good news, Frank.That, with the possibility of some frozen precip up here Mon-Tues, puts a nice big dent in this terrible mild pattern Nov-Dec.

[amugs]

WOW - haven't seen this since???



NAO



PNA - SPIKE


EPO

[Frank_Wx]

Strong NAM (Northern Annual Mode) conditions expected. This means large wave breaks, or pieces of the PV, will transcend from the Strat to the Troposphere. Hence why we're seeing such an amplified pattern to start the new year.

[Frank_Wx]

Joy to the world! Upcoming Mo Mo blog is going to be a fun read. Likely will give a time frame for full scale pattern change

[amugs]

My xmass gift to my winter weenies



more to come....

[amugs]

here is the next xmass present

our retrograding Alaskan Vortex of Death to the East Coast.

[amugs]

things happen threes right?
well here is the last one



Splitting the uprights like Janakowski of the Oakland Raiders last night on ot ftw

[amugs]

these three posts above =pattern change coming soon to an area near you like ......Frank will let us know in a couple days........

from wxbell mjo yeah baby



AO best look in months


NAO bring it baby


PNA OH YEAH


FINALLY EPO TRES FOR TRES


not too shabby -euro weeklies showing a good to great ride from about jan 10ish to feb 10ish

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