December Obs and Discussion
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
If you look at sroc’s post* from a couple days ago which I “ditto’d“ this shift is not surprising. There has been a trend back n&w in the final 48 hours with a lot of coastal systems this year. And as I pointed out, it is not uncommon to have a storm modeled 10 days out,lose it at 6 days out, and find it again at 3. And here we are. If I can get 2-4” from this I’ll give Long Island their 4”-plus and still be happy. *(Sroc’s post was in Banter Xmas evening).
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
12z GFS did not have much. 12z Canadian hits LI pretty nicely.


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Re: December Obs and Discussion
RGEM is 2-4 inches for LI and 1-3 everyone else
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Frank - a new thread for this??
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
@amugs wrote:Frank - a new thread for this??
I said earlier let's just keep it in this thread. I rather start a new thread for the January 4th storm but we'll wait another 2 days before doing so.
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Is this Friday night into Saturday, or during the day Saturday?
Sparky Sparticles- Posts : 112
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
@Sparky Sparticles wrote:Is this Friday night into Saturday, or during the day Saturday?
During the day Saturday
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
18z NAM is wetter again for LI. About .25” of liquid with ratios could be a solid 3-5”
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Hi res man looks good as well for coast. I'm going with 2-4 isolated 5 amounts.

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Re: December Obs and Discussion



Well went for a hike on the Appalachian Trail today, about 2 to 3 inches in spots , checked one of my cameras , this one is at 1486 ft elevation , I thought it was nice that it started snowing a little before midnight on Christmas Eve and then the beautiful snow on Christmas morning ! I will be posting pictures after big storms, did these because CHRISTMAS ! Good Luck ! Cold up there today !
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
12* here now
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
I know it’s 18z but NAM conts to trend wetter for Sat. GFS wetter as well.


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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
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Feb 7th 6"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
15*with a windchill of _5 * i wonder if anyone will see below zeros for low temp for tom morning
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Down to 11° here, real feel 2°, coldest night thus far up coming...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Was up at my parents in Ulster County hunting last two days. Yesterday high of 15. Last night got down to -3. Today high of 12. Tonight forecast to be-6. Righ now here in Syosset 12@frank 638 wrote:15*with a windchill of _5 * i wonder if anyone will see below zeros for low temp for tom morning
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Currently 10 with the feel of -1
RJB8525- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Anything new for Saturdays minor event?
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Down to 11* at least it's not to windy but crazy cold brrrrr
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Models trended dry again for Saturday's event. Probably still a good shot of 1-3 inches of LI. A coating to 2 inches everywhere else.
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Got down to 2.3 last night.
This is an impressive cold shot for duration but not for extreme. No lows yet below 0 is pretty surprising especially considering there are days we've barely broken 10 degrees for the highs (12.2 yesterday for the high). I would think we finally break 0 here New Years morning but we shall see.
BTW the 2.6 inches of snow we received Christmas early morning isn't going anywhere.
This is an impressive cold shot for duration but not for extreme. No lows yet below 0 is pretty surprising especially considering there are days we've barely broken 10 degrees for the highs (12.2 yesterday for the high). I would think we finally break 0 here New Years morning but we shall see.
BTW the 2.6 inches of snow we received Christmas early morning isn't going anywhere.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
Yep.Watch a big cutter and temps up in the 50's with 2-3 inches of rain.I've seen that a lot after a cold spell.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Come up to NH when I go back to school. We have 3' on the ground......and counting. We will probably end up somewhere near 100" when all is said and done this winter.syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
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