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December Obs and Discussion

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dad4twoboys
1190ftalt
Sparky Sparticles
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December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Empty Re: December Obs and Discussion

Post by billg315 Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:11 am

If you look at sroc’s post* from a couple days ago which I “ditto’d“ this shift is not surprising. There has been a trend back n&w in the final 48 hours with a lot of coastal systems this year. And as I pointed out, it is not uncommon to have a storm modeled 10 days out,lose it at 6 days out, and find it again at 3. And here we are. If I can get 2-4” from this I’ll give Long Island their 4”-plus and still be happy. *(Sroc’s post was in Banter Xmas evening).
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:03 am

12z GFS did not have much. 12z Canadian hits LI pretty nicely.

December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 5a4514000c644

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:10 am

RGEM is 2-4 inches for LI and 1-3 everyone else

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December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Empty Re: December Obs and Discussion

Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:17 am

Frank - a new thread for this??

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December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Empty Re: December Obs and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:18 am

@amugs wrote:Frank - a new thread for this??

I said earlier let's just keep it in this thread. I rather start a new thread for the January 4th storm but we'll wait another 2 days before doing so.

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Post by Sparky Sparticles Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:35 am

Is this Friday night into Saturday, or during the day Saturday?
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:40 am

@Sparky Sparticles wrote:Is this Friday night into Saturday, or during the day Saturday?

During the day Saturday

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Post by aiannone Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:29 pm

18z NAM is wetter again for LI. About .25” of liquid with ratios could be a solid 3-5”
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:59 pm

Hi res man looks good as well for coast. I'm going with 2-4 isolated 5 amounts.December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 5a455510
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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:14 pm

December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Ada3a810
December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 667fb210
December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 3d2b5010
Well went for a hike on the Appalachian Trail today, about 2 to 3 inches in spots , checked one of my cameras , this one is at 1486 ft elevation , I thought it was nice that it started snowing a little before midnight on Christmas Eve and then the beautiful snow on Christmas morning ! I will be posting pictures after big storms, did these because CHRISTMAS ! Good Luck ! Cold up there today !
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December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Empty Re: December Obs and Discussion

Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:33 pm

12* here now

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December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 Empty Re: December Obs and Discussion

Post by sroc4 Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:17 pm

I know it’s 18z but NAM conts to trend wetter for Sat. GFS wetter as well.

December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 02de8210

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by frank 638 Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:30 pm

15*with a windchill of _5 * i wonder if anyone will see below zeros for low temp for tom morning

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Post by Radz Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:31 pm

Down to 11° here, real feel 2°, coldest night thus far up coming...
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Post by dad4twoboys Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:50 pm

2*F going down to -2*F tonight

Amenia NY
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Post by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:56 pm

@frank 638 wrote:15*with a windchill of _5 * i wonder if anyone will see below zeros for low temp for tom morning
Was up at my parents in Ulster County hunting last two days. Yesterday high of 15. Last night got down to -3. Today high of 12. Tonight forecast to be-6. Righ now here in Syosset 12

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:59 pm

Currently 10 with the feel of -1
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Post by lglickman1 Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:57 pm

Anything new for Saturdays minor event?

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Post by sroc4 Fri Dec 29, 2017 12:46 am

@lglickman1 wrote:Anything new for Saturdays minor event?

RGEm
December Obs and Discussion - Page 5 8db68b10

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Post by frank 638 Fri Dec 29, 2017 4:34 am

Down to 11* at least it's not to windy but crazy cold brrrrr

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:07 am

Models trended dry again for Saturday's event. Probably still a good shot of 1-3 inches of LI. A coating to 2 inches everywhere else.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:18 am

Got down to 2.3 last night.

This is an impressive cold shot for duration but not for extreme. No lows yet below 0 is pretty surprising especially considering there are days we've barely broken 10 degrees for the highs (12.2 yesterday for the high). I would think we finally break 0 here New Years morning but we shall see.

BTW the 2.6 inches of snow we received Christmas early morning isn't going anywhere.
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Post by Guest Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:08 am

Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?

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Post by docstox12 Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:24 am

syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered.  Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick.  Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?

Yep.Watch a big cutter and temps up in the 50's with 2-3 inches of rain.I've seen that a lot after a cold spell.
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Post by Quietace Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:40 am

syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered.  Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick.  Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
Come up to NH when I go back to school. We have 3' on the ground......and counting. We will probably end up somewhere near 100" when all is said and done this winter.

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