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Tropical Storm Isaias

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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:25 pm

From Oak Island Webcam - this is worse than predicted Jesus H I just texted my friend who lives there he says winds are howling and ocean is angry with surf rising
http://www.surfchex.com/cams/oak-island-north-carolina/

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:25 pm

This is all NY OEM is saying about 4 hrs ago.

NYC EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ISSUES TRAVEL ADVISORY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

Heavy rains and gusty winds could limit visibility and create difficult travel conditions through Tuesday night

Tropical Storm Warning in effect citywide; with heavy rains and strong winds from 10 a.m. to 10 p.m., with the strongest rains and tropical strength winds from 12 p.m. to 2 p.m. Tuesday

New York City Emergency Management is issuing a travel advisory from Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. According to the National Weather Service, there is the potential for heavy rainfall and strong winds that may reduce visibility and create hazardous travel throughout Tuesday due to Tropical Storm Isaias.
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:27 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:This is all NY OEM is saying about 4 hrs ago.

NYC EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ISSUES TRAVEL ADVISORY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

Heavy rains and gusty winds could limit visibility and create difficult travel conditions through Tuesday night

Tropical Storm Warning in effect citywide; with heavy rains and strong winds from 10 a.m. to 10 p.m., with the strongest rains and tropical strength winds from 12 p.m. to 2 p.m. Tuesday

New York City Emergency Management is issuing a travel advisory from Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. According to the National Weather Service, there is the potential for heavy rainfall and strong winds that may reduce visibility and create hazardous travel throughout Tuesday due to Tropical Storm Isaias.

BUT for a snowstorm of 3-6" he'll close schools and the city!! What a horses behind.

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Post by GreyBeard on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:27 pm

Just making landfall now on nc/sc border. Cantore doing his usual hurricane dance on twc. Their forecast for nassau county tomorrow,se winds 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 40 with an 80% chance of rain.

Reporting that some areas in nc are getting 3"an hour rainfall rates.

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:28 pm

@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:This is all NY OEM is saying about 4 hrs ago.

NYC EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ISSUES TRAVEL ADVISORY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

Heavy rains and gusty winds could limit visibility and create difficult travel conditions through Tuesday night

Tropical Storm Warning in effect citywide; with heavy rains and strong winds from 10 a.m. to 10 p.m., with the strongest rains and tropical strength winds from 12 p.m. to 2 p.m. Tuesday

New York City Emergency Management is issuing a travel advisory from Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. According to the National Weather Service, there is the potential for heavy rainfall and strong winds that may reduce visibility and create hazardous travel throughout Tuesday due to Tropical Storm Isaias.

BUT for a snowstorm of 3-6" he'll close schools and the city!! What a horses behind.
I like Cuomo but no politics here, if he does not follow suit (I am sure surrounding states are coordinating) then he is a horses petute for that.
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Post by billg315 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:28 pm

Looks like we’re about to get to landfall. If nothing else that should stop the RI and maybe drop it back to T.S. Status.
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 B3458a10
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Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:29 pm

Folks are going to be taken by surprise tomorrow. Widespread power outages will occur, especially across Long Island and CT if the modeled  winds come to fruition (and models have been getting more dicey by the run today re. winds)...

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 8582bc10

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 10510410
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Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:36 pm

@billg315 wrote:Looks like we’re about to get to landfall. If nothing else that should stop the RI and maybe drop it back to T.S. Status.
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 B3458a10

My friend is in Myrtle Beach, 5 miles inland. She just liked something on FB so she's ok! Amazing structure.

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:37 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Folks are going to be taken by surprise tomorrow. Widespread power outages will occur, especially across Long Island and CT if the modeled  winds come to fruition (and models have been getting more dicey by the run today re. winds)...

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 8582bc10

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 10510410
WOW, that model run has us in those gusts too man, jeeze stay safe. Cantore just seconded this exact same thing. Says hurricane force not out of question all way up to nyc.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:40 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:39 pm

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Screenshot_20200803-223245_Dropbox.jpg.85e4c9576134959b1b9f5d17e91d140f

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:40 pm

@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Screenshot_20200803-223245_Dropbox.jpg.85e4c9576134959b1b9f5d17e91d140f
no image my man, you have troubles with your image posting.
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Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:41 pm

@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Screenshot_20200803-223245_Dropbox.jpg.85e4c9576134959b1b9f5d17e91d140f

Can't see it mugsy!

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:42 pm

OMG lol Cantore is so dramatic, he is a big guy strong and he is actling like 300mph winds are coming at him....ratings sigh.
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:47 pm

that oak island post mugs, just reported 91mph.
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:49 pm


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:50 pm

Local forecast calling for winds rising to 35-50mph sustained in yonkers with higher gusts, wow.
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Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:50 pm


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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:51 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Screenshot_20200803-223245_Dropbox.jpg.85e4c9576134959b1b9f5d17e91d140f

Can't see it mugsy!

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Screen11

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:52 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:

Madonne

shocked

Touche!!! 11pm update.


11:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 3
Location: 33.8°N 78.5°W
Moving: NNE at 22 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

This is gonna be bad tomorrow, really bad. Alot people go be caught off guard.
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:56 pm

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Holly_10

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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:00 pm

Friend from Oak Island just texted and said whole island covered in 2-3' of water - surf is rough and trees banging against their home.
Way WORSE than they were told to prepare for!!

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaias was
located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 78.5 West. Isaias is
moving toward the north-northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this
general motion accompanied by a gradual increase in forward
speed is expected through tonight followed by a further increase in
the forward speed on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Isaias will make landfall in southern North Carolina during the
next hour or two, then move across eastern North Carolina for the
rest of the night. The center move near or along the coast of the
mid-Atlantic states on Tuesday, and continue across the northeastern
United States Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall.
After landfall, only gradual weakening is anticipated after Isaias
makes landfall in the Carolinas and moves across the U.S.
mid-Atlantic region tonight and Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km). A station at Frying Pan Shoals, North Carolina, recently
reported sustained winds of 72 mph (116 km/h) and a wind gust of 93
mph (150 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:11 pm

he cone actually shifted west even more.
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:12 pm

@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Holly_10
why does it cut off so much to the east of NJ? i would think that red would be into nyc too, but thats nuts. oh only through 5pm, does NY have a map like that?
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Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:21 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Holly_10
why does it cut off so much to the east of NJ? i would think that red would be into nyc too, but thats nuts. oh only through 5pm, does NY have a map like that?

Upton just hasn’t updated their product yet (you can see clearly the CWA ‘border’ lol). They will if models hold.
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:27 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@amugs wrote:Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 4 Holly_10
why does it cut off so much to the east of NJ? i would think that red would be into nyc too, but thats nuts. oh only through 5pm, does NY have a map like that?

Upton just hasn’t updated their product yet (you can see clearly the CWA ‘border’ lol). They will if models hold.
Does upton have this same map soul? I cannot find it people are asking about CT. you can also see that south of delaware didnt update, cuz how are they lower than all of jersey.


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