Re: Roctober or Ghostober 2021

by **sroc4** Tue Oct 12, 2021 9:18 am

amugs wrote:Meridional Fall jet stream that we will see this winter as the wavelengths lengthen as per Ventrice of Twitter.
20-20* below normal in the west and NE is 10-15 above normal

I think you mean as wavelengths shorten. Quick update on the Siberian snow growth. First image is the one I posted back on Sept 20th followed by current. As you can see below normal to normal snow growth overall. Nothing incredibly exciting thus far on this front. Still more than half of October to go, but current forecasts do show an over abundance of snowfall in this region, esp the regions with red on it as of the current map below. We'll see

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Siberi13

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Siberi14

by **amugs** Tue Oct 12, 2021 12:31 pm

SROC yes my mistake I meant this but wrote that!!!
Saturday/Sunday cold front come though and more fall like temps

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 FBgs6aBXEAkL0VK?format=jpg&name=medium

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 FBgs6aBXEAkL0VK?format=jpg&name=medium

From perspective weather on tweeter image

by **billg315** Tue Oct 12, 2021 3:40 pm

Looks like a big temperature drop with that weekend frontal passage from low 80s Fri/Sat into the low to mid 60s behind it. Wonder if that dramatic difference will generate some severe weather as it comes through.

by **jmanley32** Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:54 pm

Is it go rain Friday into sat for sure? That's what I see but wanted see what you guys think b4 I make my plans. Thanks

by **billg315** Wed Oct 13, 2021 10:50 am

jmanley32 wrote:Is it go rain Friday into sat for sure? That's what I see but wanted see what you guys think b4 I make my plans. Thanks

I'm thinking more Saturday afternoon. I think Friday is ok for the most part.

by **amugs** Wed Oct 13, 2021 8:15 pm

Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Image.png.5e33bbf439928cb9b6616e17bf37562a

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Image.png.5e33bbf439928cb9b6616e17bf37562a

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:10 am

amugs wrote:Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2021-10-13-late-fall-winter-temperature-outlook-forecast

hope you are right and they are wrong!!

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Oct 14, 2021 10:32 am

Definitely seeing signs of cooler weather ahead. The first trough comes in late Saturday after a cold front passes through. Rain will breakout around 5pm Saturday but it will end before sunrise on Sunday. This is a fast moving trough so the fall-like temps will stick around until Tuesday.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Gfs-ens_z500a_us_14

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Gfs-ens_z500a_us_14

The next period of normal to possibly below normal temps would be end of October starting around the 24th.

by **amugs** Thu Oct 14, 2021 2:12 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
amugs wrote:Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2021-10-13-late-fall-winter-temperature-outlook-forecast

hope you are right and they are wrong!!

Mom, they did mention at the end of the article after their parade of torch that IF blocking sets up it would mean colder temps and allowing them to adjust their predictions. That is more like it than he headline and first few paragraphs. I am not a fan of the TWC and have not been for years since i found these wx boards. How's they do on the torch for late Jan through end of Feb last year for the Plains through the NE? That was a week out when they made that call. Can't tell me they dont have the tools and meteorological knowledge to see what all the wx boards were discussing back then. I follow a few whom I trust and call it like it is and gives what to the why and why to the what. Weather, a beautiful science that is not solved.

@Frank next weekend Friday seems to be when the next trough swings in and we go very fall like even mid Novemberish.
Wednesday we'll see a spike in temps again to 70ish. Happens in this meridional jet flow and the shortening of the wavelengths.

by **frank 638** Fri Oct 15, 2021 1:50 pm

I hope this is the last day of the heat I am sick tired of this warm weather

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Oct 16, 2021 8:32 am

I'll take it! A great day to discover wineries along the Hudson in Marlboro! Cooler temps will get here soon enough!

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Winery10

by **amugs** Sat Oct 16, 2021 9:52 am

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 FB0zyxwXIA8eebX?format=jpg&name=medium

SPC has placed the NYC Metro in a Level 2/5 (Slight) Risk for severe storms later today. The main threat with these storms will be strong wind gusts. From NY Metro Wx

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Oct 16, 2021 2:25 pm

amugs wrote:

SPC has placed the NYC Metro in a Level 2/5 (Slight) Risk for severe storms later today. The main threat with these storms will be strong wind gusts. From NY Metro Wx

Oh, the SPC kiss of death! lol It's already getting pretty gusty and the line is still out near Scranton.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Oct 16, 2021 3:40 pm

It was a beautiful day for my mother's memorial 18 months already( covid was raging when she died and 1 year Anniversary so we planned it fast now that numbers are down and it's her birthday) ..rain held off and there was a nice breeze to keep us cool. Huge turnout for a woman who did so much for so many. Temp was 80.

by **billg315** Sat Oct 16, 2021 4:08 pm

Line of very strong storms moving in here and the wind is ripping. Gust front ahead of the line just came through and the air was filled with tree leaves. Looked like confetti.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 E7f3e710

by **billg315** Sat Oct 16, 2021 5:12 pm

15 degree temperature drop here in past hour.

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Oct 16, 2021 5:47 pm

Same here, temp down 14*, down to 63.5 and still falling. SPC Kiss of death, just like I mentioned. Nothing severe here, just a quick moving heavy downpour.

by **billg315** Sun Oct 17, 2021 12:46 pm

Beautiful crisp Fall air today. Partly Sunny and 61* here.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Oct 17, 2021 8:50 pm

Already down to 48*, had the windows open a little last night and the heat came on, house got down to 62* lol

by **frank 638** Mon Oct 18, 2021 5:56 am

First time since May had a morning low of 48 * finally feeling like

by **brownie** Mon Oct 18, 2021 6:45 am

41° here at 6:30 am.

It was a shock taking the trash out this morning after the warmth of Friday and Saturday (I didn’t go outside yesterday), but it feels right.

by **amugs** Mon Oct 18, 2021 7:48 am

44* here his morning - BRRRRR had to heat my car up!! Gonna be doing this till March early April - THANK GOD for the remote starter option I have for my car!!

by **aiannone** Mon Oct 18, 2021 9:53 am

44.5* here this morning. Next weekend looks even colder. Likely first 30's of the season

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Oct 18, 2021 3:06 pm

46* this morning! I love you

by **SENJsnowman** Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:41 am

Whoa…42 with a feels like of 37!! Was expecting mid-hi 40s! Hasn’t been this chilly since what, April? Maybe early May? Down at the Shore, low temps go right back to the 50s tomorrow morning (highs back in the 70s) for a few days, then a rainy weekend and then back to these cooler temps by early next week.

by **amugs** Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:22 am

40.7 here this morning - wow was it chilly!!!
Hopefully some frost and maybe freeze this upcoming weekend but definitely for the Ruburbs of NJ and Cp and dem hills of CP, DOC and SNOWY!

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:50 am

46 again for a low this morning..love it!!

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