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Roctober or Ghostober 2021

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sroc4
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Post by billg315 Tue Oct 12, 2021 3:40 pm

Looks like a big temperature drop with that weekend frontal passage from low 80s Fri/Sat into the low to mid 60s behind it. Wonder if that dramatic difference will generate some severe weather as it comes through.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:54 pm

Is it go rain Friday into sat for sure? That's what I see but wanted see what you guys think b4 I make my plans. Thanks
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Post by billg315 Wed Oct 13, 2021 10:50 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Is it go rain Friday into sat for sure? That's what I see but wanted see what you guys think b4 I make my plans. Thanks

I'm thinking more Saturday afternoon. I think Friday is ok for the most part.
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Post by amugs Wed Oct 13, 2021 8:15 pm

Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Image.png.5e33bbf439928cb9b6616e17bf37562a


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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:10 am

@amugs wrote:Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Image.png.5e33bbf439928cb9b6616e17bf37562a


https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2021-10-13-late-fall-winter-temperature-outlook-forecast

hope you are right and they are wrong!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Oct 14, 2021 10:32 am

Definitely seeing signs of cooler weather ahead. The first trough comes in late Saturday after a cold front passes through. Rain will breakout around 5pm Saturday but it will end before sunrise on Sunday. This is a fast moving trough so the fall-like temps will stick around until Tuesday.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Gfs-ens_z500a_us_14

The next period of normal to possibly below normal temps would be end of October starting around the 24th.

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Post by amugs Thu Oct 14, 2021 2:12 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@amugs wrote:Retrograde trough. Cooler weather for endnof Rocktober and may have some staying power heading into Brovember.

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Image.png.5e33bbf439928cb9b6616e17bf37562a


https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2021-10-13-late-fall-winter-temperature-outlook-forecast

hope you are right and they are wrong!!

Mom, they did mention at the end of the article after their parade of torch that IF blocking sets up it would mean colder temps and allowing them to adjust their predictions. That is more like it than he headline and first few paragraphs. I am not a fan of the TWC and have not been for years since i found these wx boards. How's they do on the torch for late Jan through end of Feb last year for the Plains through the NE? That was a week out when they made that call. Can't tell me they dont have the tools and meteorological knowledge to see what all the wx boards were discussing back then. I follow a few whom I trust and call it like it is and gives what to the why and why to the what. Weather, a beautiful science that is not solved.

@Frank next weekend Friday seems to be when the next trough swings in and we go very fall like even mid Novemberish.
Wednesday we'll see a spike in temps again to 70ish. Happens in this meridional jet flow and the shortening of the wavelengths.

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Post by frank 638 Fri Oct 15, 2021 1:50 pm

I hope this is the last day of the heat I am sick tired of this warm weather

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Oct 16, 2021 8:32 am

I'll take it! A great day to discover wineries along the Hudson in Marlboro! Cooler temps will get here soon enough!

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 Winery10

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Post by amugs Sat Oct 16, 2021 9:52 am

Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 FB0zyxwXIA8eebX?format=jpg&name=medium

SPC has placed the NYC Metro in a Level 2/5 (Slight) Risk for severe storms later today. The main threat with these storms will be strong wind gusts. From NY Metro Wx

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Oct 16, 2021 2:25 pm

@amugs wrote:Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 FB0zyxwXIA8eebX?format=jpg&name=medium

SPC has placed the NYC Metro in a Level 2/5 (Slight) Risk for severe storms later today. The main threat with these storms will be strong wind gusts. From NY Metro Wx


Oh, the SPC kiss of death! lol It's already getting pretty gusty and the line is still out near Scranton.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Oct 16, 2021 3:40 pm

It was a beautiful day for my mother's memorial 18 months already( covid was raging when she died and 1 year Anniversary so we planned it fast now that numbers are down and it's her birthday) ..rain held off and there was a nice breeze to keep us cool. Huge turnout for a woman who did so much for so many. Temp was 80.
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Post by billg315 Sat Oct 16, 2021 4:08 pm

Line of very strong storms moving in here and the wind is ripping. Gust front ahead of the line just came through and the air was filled with tree leaves. Looked like confetti.Roctober or Ghostober 2021 - Page 2 E7f3e710
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Post by billg315 Sat Oct 16, 2021 5:12 pm

15 degree temperature drop here in past hour.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Oct 16, 2021 5:47 pm

Same here, temp down 14*, down to 63.5 and still falling. SPC Kiss of death, just like I mentioned. Nothing severe here, just a quick moving heavy downpour.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Post by billg315 Sun Oct 17, 2021 12:46 pm

Beautiful crisp Fall air today. Partly Sunny and 61* here.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Oct 17, 2021 8:50 pm

Already down to 48*, had the windows open a little last night and the heat came on, house got down to 62* lol

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Post by frank 638 Mon Oct 18, 2021 5:56 am

First time since May had a morning low of 48 * finally feeling like 🍂

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Post by brownie Mon Oct 18, 2021 6:45 am

41° here at 6:30 am.

It was a shock taking the trash out this morning after the warmth of Friday and Saturday (I didn’t go outside yesterday), but it feels right.

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Post by amugs Mon Oct 18, 2021 7:48 am

44* here his morning - BRRRRR had to heat my car up!! Gonna be doing this till March early April - THANK GOD for the remote starter option I have for my car!!

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Post by aiannone Mon Oct 18, 2021 9:53 am

44.5* here this morning. Next weekend looks even colder. Likely first 30's of the season
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 18, 2021 3:06 pm

I love you I love you 46* this morning! I love you I love you
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Post by SENJsnowman Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:41 am

Whoa…42 with a feels like of 37!! Was expecting mid-hi 40s! Hasn’t been this chilly since what, April? Maybe early May? Down at the Shore, low temps go right back to the 50s tomorrow morning (highs back in the 70s) for a few days, then a rainy weekend and then back to these cooler temps by early next week.

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:22 am

40.7 here this morning - wow was it chilly!!!
Hopefully some frost and maybe freeze this upcoming weekend but definitely for the Ruburbs of NJ and Cp and dem hills of CP, DOC and SNOWY!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:50 am

46 again for a low this morning..love it!!
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