February Obs & Discussions

Records for Bridgeport CT go back to 1949 and their lowest seasonal snowfall is 8.2" which is the dreaded 72/73 season.  They currently stand at .8" and if this upcoming blocking fails yet again then they won't crack 2".  

Can cite many other examples on the EC.  Normally when records are broken the new value is kinda close but this is another level.

heehaw453 wrote:Records for Bridgeport CT go back to 1949 and their lowest seasonal snowfall is 8.2" which is the dreaded 72/73 season.  They currently stand at .8" and if this upcoming blocking fails yet again then they won't crack 2".  

Can cite many other examples on the EC.  Normally when records are broken the new value is kinda close but this is another level.

Amazing stats! The only thing I would watch for in March is a monster reversion to the mean with a massive snowstorm.If the current pattern does not break, then maybe next season will be more productive.

Wind howling, partly sunny, temp 42.

Hi of 60* today, now down to 44*. Looks like a few more showers to come through, and the front is just to my west.

Here's a new one. It's hailing and the sun is shining through the clouds.

Edit: or it could be sleet, but it was frozen either way.

Edit 2: when the sleet stopped, we got a full horizon to horizon rainbow, and now it's sleeting again

docstox12 wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Records for Bridgeport CT go back to 1949 and their lowest seasonal snowfall is 8.2" which is the dreaded 72/73 season.  They currently stand at .8" and if this upcoming blocking fails yet again then they won't crack 2".  

Can cite many other examples on the EC.  Normally when records are broken the new value is kinda close but this is another level.

Amazing stats! The only thing I would watch for in March is a monster reversion to the mean with a massive snowstorm.If the current pattern does not break, then maybe next season will be more productive.

Wind howling, partly sunny, temp 42.

Doc, just me but I think I'd rather save that reversion for next January than get it this March. Not only are January 'Zillas > March 'Zillas at the Shore due to much better climo, but I'd just as soon keep building up that back-pay, so to speak. That, and I've already accepted this winter as snowless, so I want to be a little forward thinking here. Last January, coastal Ocean County got 2-3 yrs worth of reversion in one month, and for us it was amazing! I'd take that cycle every 2-3 yrs I think.

At Exit 80 GSP, it's 48*, windy, with what looks like some final back-building rain heading this way...

Had some sleet here in edison

SENJsnowman wrote:

docstox12 wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Records for Bridgeport CT go back to 1949 and their lowest seasonal snowfall is 8.2" which is the dreaded 72/73 season.  They currently stand at .8" and if this upcoming blocking fails yet again then they won't crack 2".  

Can cite many other examples on the EC.  Normally when records are broken the new value is kinda close but this is another level.

Amazing stats! The only thing I would watch for in March is a monster reversion to the mean with a massive snowstorm.If the current pattern does not break, then maybe next season will be more productive.

Wind howling, partly sunny, temp 42.

Doc, just me but I think I'd rather save that reversion for next January than get it this March. Not only are January 'Zillas > March 'Zillas at the Shore due to much better climo, but I'd just as soon keep building up that back-pay, so to speak. That, and I've already accepted this winter as snowless, so I want to be a little forward thinking here. Last January, coastal Ocean County got 2-3 yrs worth of reversion in one month, and for us it was amazing! I'd take that cycle every 2-3 yrs I think.

At Exit 80 GSP, it's 48*, windy, with what looks like some final back-building rain heading this way...

SENJ, agree but would bump that mean reversion to December 2023.As CP has discussed, December is my favorite month for getting a lot of snow.Days get shorter, sun angle drops and the Holiday mood is enhanced by it.It gives you the feeling that a long winter is in store ahead especially woth many days of December snowpack..I use that term "winter" loosely after this horrible one.

34 degrees, howling wind.It will be a rough one tonight for those going outside.

24 degrees, little windy and snowing!

30* and sunny in New Hope, a 30 degree drop since midafternoon yesterday...

42 today.  Just a beautiful day and only thing missing is snow on OTG.

hmmmm 12z 3k nam

GFS spitting out a c-2" on Thursday for interior. I wouldn't dismiss it as the flow is being compressed significantly by the 50/50 and the TPV squeezing from the north.  You also have H pressure in Quebec to aid the cold air drainage. The L track caps this potential, but if someone on I84 says they got 2" out of this I wouldn't be surprised.

61 today and right on par for mid-April.  Futility reigns supreme!

Boy is that ever true heehaw!
57 degrees , partly cloudy, calm winds.NWS says a possible 1/2 inch of snow by morning,LOL!In a parallel universe maybe, not this planet.

NWS should listen to this song:Kind of reminds me of when we had actual winters and they were mine/ours.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PIFDTuf2RM

docstox12 wrote:Boy is that ever true heehaw!
57 degrees , partly cloudy, calm winds.NWS says a possible 1/2 inch of snow by morning,LOL!In a parallel universe maybe, not this planet.

NWS should listen to this song:Kind of reminds me of when we had actual winters and they were mine/ours.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PIFDTuf2RM

Possibly, on colder surfaces.  Problem it's so fast and the antecedent ground temp is so warm.  It has to come down heavy enough and long enough to do that, but this GFS snow depth map is pretty good and it does show that for your area. Anyone looking at 10:1 ratio maps will be in for an unpleasant surprise.

I am in the dark

As in the dark part of the map image.

I love this site and another too:

https://weatherstreet.com/states/gfsx-10-day-forecast.htm

because I am a novice with no access to anything but the above site has a 10-day, slide-your-finger gfs model amd Wed night looks interesting. If I read the colors right, that be ice and just under half an inch

I am in the dark

As in the dark part of the map image.

I love this site and another too:

https://weatherstreet.com/states/gfsx-10-day-forecast.htm

because I am a novice with no access to anything but the above site has a 10-day, slide-your-finger gfs model amd Wed night looks interesting. If I read the colors right, that be ice and just under half an inch

I grew up in Minneapolis, walked to school between 5 foot drifts, survived the Boston blizzard of '78, always look forward to snow, am sighing deeply with this year's Wall and Wing in New Hope.

Heard that LOTS of snow was going to fall in my old neighborhood, had to look up the NOAA predictions.
Read them and weep:
Tuesday 1-2 inches
Tuesday night 2-4 inches
Wednesday 1-3 inches
Wednesday night 8-12 inches
Thursday 5-9 inches
I didn't want to add it up, sighing even more deeply...

We are definitely stuck in one of those weather “ruts” now where every Saturday is cold (or what passes for cold this winter) with little or no precip and every midweek ridiculously warm with rain. I think this week will be the third or fourth straight cold Saturday in a pattern of unprecedented warmth. Unreal.

NEWS FLASH!!!
MASSIVE SNOWSTORM PUMMELS LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OF NY.GROUND SOLIDLY COATED BUT,MIRACULOUSLY,SIDEWALKS AND ROADS ARE CLEAR SAVING TAXPAYERS THOUSANDS.THAT IS ALL.

32 degrees, cloudy, calm winds.

I think Wednesday evening is probably a coating at best for NW folks on Thursday to be washed away quickly.  Folks here is the best way I can say the future of this season.

kalleg wrote:I grew up in Minneapolis, walked to school between 5 foot drifts, survived the Boston blizzard of '78, always look forward to snow, am sighing deeply with this year's Wall and Wing in New Hope.

Heard that LOTS of snow was going to fall in my old neighborhood, had to look up the NOAA predictions.
Read them and weep:
Tuesday 1-2 inches
Tuesday night 2-4 inches
Wednesday 1-3 inches
Wednesday night 8-12 inches
Thursday 5-9 inches
I didn't want to add it up, sighing even more deeply...

I'm not sure when you came into these parts, but IMBY which is probably 30 miles from you or so the last real winter has been 8 years ago 2014/15. When I say real winter snow fell in DJF with consistency and stayed on the ground for good duration.  There have been snowstorms to be sure and I have had AN years snowfall since then, but it's usually a 4-5 week span that defines the snow season and then it's completely devoid of snow outside of that. We had a wonderful stretch from 2009-2015 and this may be the price to pay.

1/4 inch dusting this morning

44* and Cloudy. Had several drops of rain this morning at 40* with no flakes in sight, thus keeping my seasonal snowfall total at a Trace.
Forecast highs 61 and 54 for Thursday and Friday respectively before our weekly Friday Night-Saturday "cold wave."

billg315 wrote:44* and Cloudy. Had several drops of rain this morning at 40* with no flakes in sight, thus keeping my seasonal snowfall total at a Trace.
Forecast highs 61 and 54 for Thursday and Friday respectively before our weekly Friday Night-Saturday "cold wave."

Bill. Dont you mean "Cool Wave"??

billg315 wrote:44* and Cloudy. Had several drops of rain this morning at 40* with no flakes in sight, thus keeping my seasonal snowfall total at a Trace.
Forecast highs 61 and 54 for Thursday and Friday respectively before our weekly Friday Night-Saturday "cold wave."

Not that is matters because it's splitting hairs, but our hoods are about 25 miles apart shown by red dots. I have a little bit of elevation which helps in marginal events.  You probably have some albeit < 1".  I'm at a whopping 3.6".  Got to start looking at all time low seasonal totals because aside from another car scraper to two that may be it.  For sure this is the lowest totals I've seen around here so deep into the season.  Way surpasses the futility of 2019/20 season. 

heehaw453 wrote:

billg315 wrote:44* and Cloudy. Had several drops of rain this morning at 40* with no flakes in sight, thus keeping my seasonal snowfall total at a Trace.
Forecast highs 61 and 54 for Thursday and Friday respectively before our weekly Friday Night-Saturday "cold wave."

Not that is matters because it's splitting hairs, but our hoods are about 25 miles apart shown by red dots. I have a little bit of elevation which helps in marginal events.  You probably have some albeit < 1".  I'm at a whopping 3.6".  Got to start looking at all time low seasonal totals because aside from another car scraper to two that may be it.  For sure this is the lowest totals I've seen around here so deep into the season.  Way surpasses the futility of 2019/20 season. 

My sister lives pretty close to where you are at and for there to be only about 3.6" in her neck of the woods is indeed rare. As for me, I'm a little surprised it even shows me having around .5" as I can't recall an event that did much more than dust the mulch and car tops, but I do think there was one system (might even have just been a snow squall) in January on a weekday that may have coated the ground back home while I was at work and mostly melted by the time I got home. It speaks volumes that I'm struggling to remember even that much.