Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Is that a more area wide squall threat, or also n/w only?
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
SENJsnowman wrote:Is that a more area wide squall threat, or also n/w only?
I think this is area wide threat.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
heehaw453 wrote:SENJsnowman wrote:Is that a more area wide squall threat, or also n/w only?
I think this is area wide threat.
Yes it is from SNJ up through Conn - where it hits and you are lucky to be in it for 30 minutes take video - will be the best storm of the winter!!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Thanks guys...I’ll keep an eye out on Wednesday!
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Any chance we wake up to Boxing Day 2010? I know completely different but one can hope.
Last edited by Scullybutcher on Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
Scullybutcher- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Temperature down to 21. Was 28 three hours ago. This airmass is cold.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
amugs wrote:Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.
NAM says my temperature should be 24 at 10 PM. I’m now at 18.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
heehaw453 wrote:amugs wrote:Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.
NAM says my temperature should be 24 at 10 PM. I’m now at 18.
I’m 19. Forecast low of 21 already beaten
Grselig- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Scullybutcher wrote:Any chance we wake up to Boxing Day 2010? I know completely different but one can hope.
0.1% chance of that and I'm being optimistic. But I'm sure you weren't being serious so........
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
14.2° right now.
I'm sure it will go up some tonight once the clouds roll in but I don't see how we get any mix up here tomorrow, BL seems fine and I doubt we crack 30°. The weather channel app is on crack, high of 36°, not happening.
I'm sure it will go up some tonight once the clouds roll in but I don't see how we get any mix up here tomorrow, BL seems fine and I doubt we crack 30°. The weather channel app is on crack, high of 36°, not happening.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
That on crackdown sure.CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:14.2° right now.
I'm sure it will go up some tonight once the clouds roll in but I don't see how we get any mix up here tomorrow, BL seems fine and I doubt we crack 30°. The weather channel app is on crack, high of 36°, not happening.
Delayed precip.moving in is a good sign so cold air will be in better place later as the front moves in IMO. Saying it darts in the afternoon and tapers off in the early wed morning hours. Winds gustingbton30 mph. Gonna be fun over night manana.
Squall line looking serious for Wednesday aftwrnoon., LI maybe some enuance mentioned by this as dies Conn

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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
radar looks very bleak.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
jmanley32 wrote:Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.
Agree, if it doesn't explode and fill in, looks like a bust right now.Could change fast though.Looks like it's going to start very soon up here.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Snowing in Stillwater NJ at 1190 ft altitude, coming down constant fine powder, ground covered , fixn to git maybe 4-6 reckin could be little mor or lest, Gud luk ! Holding at 19 degrees!
1190ftalt- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
docstox12 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.
Agree, if it doesn't explode and fill in, looks like a bust right now.Could change fast though.Looks like it's going to start very soon up here.
DOn't expect anything from this crap moving in now. The short range models have it snowing of varying intensities from about 5 PM to 11 PM today. If we're going to get 4 or 5 inches today it will all have to fall then.
23.0° and flurries
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Very light snow in Cedar Knolls, NJ (Morristown).
sabamfa- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
some flurries in Lower Manhattan
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
The mesoscale models have gotten considerably worse for snow in most recent runs. I believe this is going to bust. If you get > 3" out of this then consider this a win for your area.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
This is not the storm so chill as CP said above, the main show comes in later today, this is just a tizer.
Snow squalls tomorrow are gonna be fun!!
Snow squalls tomorrow are gonna be fun!!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
WOW and just like that in the last 10 minutes we have a coating - boooyaahhhh!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
It's coming down pretty good here in Pequannock. Sidewalks coated and cars starting to get covered.
brownie- Posts : 354
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Snowing lightly the last 45 minutes, getting a coating now.20 degrees no wind.Guess this is just a few flurries from that radar, the real show is supposed to start after 5 pM.Wow, that was a major time change from yesterday.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
The main event with this system was always expected to be from about 5pm today until midnight as wave develops along the front. Those of us that remain all snow should not have a problem seeing 3-4 inches as it will snow at rates approaching an inch an hour. If there is a mix then who knows. Right now 22* with a steady light/moderate snow and a dusting. Schools closed today too which is really funny.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
SNOW!!!!!!!
Nice band here now - ground moderate coating

Nice band here now - ground moderate coating

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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front
Snow increased in intensity a little, flakes bigger.Radar looks a little better in PA filling in more.Got almost 1/2 inch OTG here, trucks are salting now.Ground covered and nice to see a snowy landscape again.tomorrow should be fun with those snow squalls and wind whipping around this snow.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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