Re: Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front

by **amugs** Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:44 am

SNOW!!!!!!!
Nice band here now - ground moderate coating
Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 Inxr1Knyca_h

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:46 am

Snow increased in intensity a little, flakes bigger.Radar looks a little better in PA filling in more.Got almost 1/2 inch OTG here, trucks are salting now.Ground covered and nice to see a snowy landscape again.tomorrow should be fun with those snow squalls and wind whipping around this snow.

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:50 am

currently 33* nothing happening here.

by **heehaw453** Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:54 am

hyde345 wrote:The main event with this system was always expected to be from about 5pm today until midnight as wave develops along the front. Those of us that remain all snow should not have a problem seeing 3-4 inches as it will snow at rates approaching an inch an hour. If there is a mix then who knows. Right now 22* with a steady light/moderate snow and a dusting. Schools closed today too which is really funny.

Agree with that that heaviest rates were from 0Z - 5Z, but there was supposed to be an inch or two before that. That's a lot of the total...

But maybe radar will start filling in soon tongue

One thing is for sure, GFS has been really consistent with this storm. It's like a verbatim output each run.

Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 1-29-210

Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 1-29-211

by **Irish** Tue Jan 29, 2019 11:03 am

I saw a few flakes fall as if someone with dandruff was on the roof above me. Otherwise, nada. Still forecast to get rain this evening.

by **amugs** Tue Jan 29, 2019 11:08 am

COME TO POPPA!! Moderate band here now - wooo hoooooooooooooooo

Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 Inxr1Knyca_h

by **amugs** Tue Jan 29, 2019 11:11 am

FV3 has not wavered on the snowfall amounts for this storm and its predecessor the GFS says its cold too and has been consistent with amounts. Interesting - EPS showed this type last week then went warmer.
We'll see

by **amugs** Tue Jan 29, 2019 11:12 am

Looks to be streaming from the SE to NE here - interesting
Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 509937503_RAD_MOS_STATE_NJ_L2WINTER_ANI(1).gif.a9a96654d5392794361f65f110c32505

Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 6 509937503_RAD_MOS_STATE_NJ_L2WINTER_ANI(1).gif.a9a96654d5392794361f65f110c32505

by Fededle22 Tue Jan 29, 2019 12:21 pm

Mugs
I thought a secondary low was supposed to form along the front and come up the coast this evening. Will all this moisture moving NE get transferred to that low or is this just overrunning event along the front prior to that low forming?
I am a rookie so please forgive if this is way off.

by bobjohnsonforthehall Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:04 pm

The precip really filled in over the past hour or so. If you look at the past radar for Virginia, Maryland, DC, PA area, some massive gaps filled in big time over the past half hour.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:07 pm

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:The precip really filled in over the past hour or so. If you look at the past radar for Virginia, Maryland, DC, PA area, some massive gaps filled in big time over the past half hour.

Yes, good point, I have been watching the radar all morning and it's filling in better and better.Long train of moisture from down south.

23 degrees light snow.Calm winds.

by **SENJsnowman** Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:21 pm

TWC future radar tends to be pretty accurate for 4-5 hours once a storm (such as it is) has started. Presently it shows the precip getting stronger in LHV thruout the afternoon, but also has that r/s line creeping up to as far north as pkpsee by 4-5 pm. Everything from about 10 mi w of the river all the way east into southern NE is rain by then.

Keep on chugging while you can guys , and then we'll see what happens

by photec Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:40 pm

Nothing down here yet, but state offices in Trenton are closing at 1:30-2:00 pm.

by **heehaw453** Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:41 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:TWC future radar tends to be pretty accurate for 4-5 hours once a storm (such as it is) has started. Presently it shows the precip getting stronger in LHV thruout the afternoon, but also has that r/s line creeping up to as far north as pkpsee by 4-5 pm. Everything from about 10 mi w of the river all the way east into southern NE is rain by then.

Keep on chugging while you can guys , and then we'll see what happens

That future radar is pretty much the GFS projection. If GFS is correct LHV will get 6" and EPA about 4-5" which is really best case scenario. The one thing you cannot ignore is GFS's consistency from the onset.

by **Dunnzoo** Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:47 pm

I would have about .5" if it stuck everywhere. Accumulation on dirt, a few grassy patches and some concrete surfaces that are not flush to the ground(steps, ramps). Done for now, we'll see what happens later. Temp at 33.1°

by **Vinnydula** Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:56 pm

All rain now temp up to you 37

by **amugs** Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:07 pm

Still light snow here in Allendale.
We'll see what happens this afternoon and tonight.
Freddie right idea from what you posted

by **hyde345** Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:30 pm

27 and continued light snow, 1.5 OTG

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:31 pm

Snow stopped here 30 minutes ago.

by **hyde345** Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:37 pm

docstox12 wrote:Snow stopped here 30 minutes ago.

It will pick up again soon. Heaviest snow should be between 4 and 10.

by **hyde345** Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:47 pm

Where is RB?

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:06 pm

light snow started again at 3 PM.

by **jimv45** Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:38 pm

Rain and sleet now mixing in 31. The mix line is moving north now.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:41 pm

jimv45 wrote:Rain and sleet now mixing in 31. The mix line is moving north now.

Wow, that's a kick in the head jimv, NWS had us all snow for this.I'm laughing because they closed the Chester Schools today with barely an inch falling.Radar shows moderate snow over me but nothing falling,LOL.I've seen this before,LOL.

by bobjohnsonforthehall Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:44 pm

Flemington is right on the temp gradient right now. Temps 5 miles to our south are 38-40. 5 miles to our north 33.

by **1190ftalt** Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:47 pm

Almost 2 inches on the ground at 1190 feet altitude in Stillwater NJ, starting to come down good now, Temperature is 28 degrees, fine snowflakes but starting to come down good !

by **heehaw453** Tue Jan 29, 2019 3:48 pm

i had decent rates for last 1.5 hours, but mostly white rain unfortunately as I've been steady at 32.5 degrees. 1/2" out of it. Until surface temperatures drop this will be garbage, but at least it snowed...

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