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Tropical Storm Isaias

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Post by billg315 Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:43 am

This storm is moving double-time now. At this speed I wouldn’t be surprised if some areas of NJ are in sunshine before the end of the afternoon. I think the prolonged heavy rain seems locked over eastern PA/western NJ and the rest of the area sees some bands and storms off and on with one main area of heavy rain moving through between noon and 3 pm. The winds may still be a factor, but as Frank said, a good chunk of NJ will see only moderate rainfall totals.

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Post by dkodgis Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:50 am

Up here in northern Orange just a mile from Sullivan, light rain since 3 ish but steady and still no wind. I don’t need “exciting” so good. In fact right now at almost 9 am, the rain has stopped. I expect it to get worse but it is an under the covers and a Netflix day so far

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:57 am

dkodgis wrote:Up here in northern Orange just a mile from Sullivan, light rain since 3 ish but steady and still no wind. I don’t need “exciting” so good. In fact right now at almost 9 am, the rain has stopped. I expect it to get worse but it is an under the covers and a Netflix day so far
lol we had a indoor tent for my daughter we put it up for her as she is terrified of wind and tornados, i know hard believe shes my child huh
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Post by Vinnydula Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:58 am

Sun coming out here. 🤪
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:59 am

Vinnydula wrote:Sun coming out here. 🤪
Yeah except for that arcing band off the ocean we may see only wind from this and very little rain. We will see how it evolves he is trucking at 33mph now, already knocking on south jerseys door. 700,000 power outages from this storm so far. i can see passing 1 million easily.
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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:07 am

Torn watch up for many
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 6 20200811

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:13 am

Wow gusts this high above sustained is uncommon, higher gusts may actually pan out, 9am advisory still 70mph TS.

A NOAA NOS/COOPS weather station at York River East, Virginia,
recently reported a sustained wind of 59 mph (94 km/h) and a gust
to 94 mph (150 km/h).

Another NOAA NOS/COOPS weather station at Rappahannock Shoal,
Virginia, recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h)
and a gust to 85 mph (135 km/h).
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:13 am

amugs wrote:Torn watch up for many
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 6 20200811
yeah i was saying earlier very uncommon to see enhanced risk for tornados in our area. in fact i do not recall such just for tornados
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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:14 am

YIKES needs to stay away!!

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:16 am

amugs wrote:YIKES needs to stay away!!

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 6 9eb3db10
Maybe the Euro wasnt crazy jesus thats close to NJ. That is however in the main arcing band with tornados and not the main wind field, so we will see. Still like i posted VA seeing winds to 94mph gusts. So calm here you would never know anything is coming.
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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:20 am

Tornado warning for Sullivan County!!
Larger view of Watch Area
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 6 20200812

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:23 am

Wow just seeing whats to come....

https://poweroutage.us/

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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:24 am

At 4000' but still pretty powerful

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 6 557c1410

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:32 am

Wow the percentage chances of 50kt sustained winds are quite high NYC on west and just east, thats pretty bad.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSAT4+shtml/040851.shtml?
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:37 am

NHC updated the point on the track in NJ sustained 55kts usts 70 kts, not good if it pans out and from what mugs is posting looks like severe winds to our south not to far away.
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Post by rb924119 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:41 am

Nothing even remotely close to that here yet, Jman. Gusts aren’t even at 30, but we’ll see when this single band comes through, though.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:46 am

rb924119 wrote:Nothing even remotely close to that here yet, Jman. Gusts aren’t even at 30, but we’ll see when this single band comes through, though.
nope nothing here either calm as can be, i think the real winds are i nthat band and then with the center passing to our west. We just have wait and see, no one can predict whats go happen where, this is real time.
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Post by billg315 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:51 am

Possible tornado coming onshore near Strathmere south of Ocean City NJ.
Also heavy rain starting to fill in over NJ. I think “go-time” for the worst of the storm is almost here. Should be nasty For a lot of people between 10 am and 3 or 4pm.
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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:52 am

Tornado through Dover DE confirmed
Water spout off Ocean City NJ now coming ashore confirmed
Power outages galore in DE and in SE PA

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Post by larryrock72 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:55 am

5 miles from ocean city. North west.

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Post by larryrock72 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:56 am

Gusty wind and rain. Keeping eye out for tornado.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:57 am

It is so cool but absurdly humiod it might as well be 90
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:58 am

larryrock72 wrote:Gusty wind and rain. Keeping eye out for tornado.
dont just stand there if you see one!! Wow on the confirmed ones guys.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Aug 04, 2020 10:01 am

Hey where is skins..my shore partner..don't see him on here for this..its getting darker out this morning a few sprinkles..currently 79* humidity 99 percent...winds lite at 10mph from the NE. all ready for this. Do you really think we are going to have such high winds here at the shore???

Damien...yes..planing on reading and following the posts today..good luck up there
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Aug 04, 2020 10:02 am

jmanley32 wrote:It is so cool but absurdly humiod it might as well be 90

yes 79* here and humidity is 99 percent real feel is 90...yuck..I wish this was SNOW
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Aug 04, 2020 10:03 am

larryrock72 wrote:Gusty wind and rain. Keeping eye out for tornado.

stay safe!! we are up by the Hook
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Post by amugs Tue Aug 04, 2020 10:04 am

0951 AM TORNADO STRATHMERE 39.20N 74.66W 08/04/2020 CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER SPOTTER REPORTS A TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS IN THE AIR IN STATHMERE CROSSING ROUTE 50.

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