NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

January Obs & Discussions

+29
SkiSeadooJoe
Math23x7
richb521
brownie
crippo84
Coachgriff
TheAresian
hyde345
1190ftalt
essexcountypete
SENJsnowman
Radz
nutleyblizzard
docstox12
phil155
aiannone
Grselig
CPcantmeasuresnow
Dunnzoo
dkodgis
Frank_Wx
JT33
weatherwatchermom
GreyBeard
amugs
sroc4
frank 638
billg315
heehaw453
33 posters

Page 4 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Radz Sun Jan 15, 2023 7:31 am

27* wind is relentless still gusting over 30mph as it’s been since yesterday

Radz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1027
Join date : 2013-01-12

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 15, 2023 8:52 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:I am so sorry to say we are devastated as a community. The mother and little girl(6) passed away today within hours of each other.  Everyone has been out in shifts looking to bring the dog home to stave off another tragedy. The dog was sighted and ran into the woods. I hope she can survive another night. Tomorrow drones will be going up to help them search  and I think a person who helps tracks dogs has been called. This day is just such a sad one. Please keep praying for this family please.(if you want to move this to banter..please do so)
Sorry to hear of this unspeakable tragedy.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Join date : 2014-01-20

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 15, 2023 9:01 am

25 this morning was the low. Average low IMBY is about 21.  Yesterday stayed below 30 and felt like January.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 15, 2023 9:05 am

The ocean storm looks like about 3-5" type of deal for Plymouth to Sandwich MA. Maybe BOS picks up an inch.  I think QPF will be high but surface temps and the warm nose temps in the mid-levels keep accumulations down. Very E LI may seem some minor accumulations probably Twin Forks area only.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 16, 2023 7:55 am

Pretty cold now with temps only in the 20's, but we're looking to warmup this week. Upper 40s and 50's expected. Light rain showers tomorrow afternoon. Steadier rain comes Thursday.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 16, 2023 8:01 am


23° and the average low for this day in Orange County is 15°, do the math the above normal temps are just unheard of even on what we are calling a cold day?
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7246
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

sroc4 likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 16, 2023 6:44 pm

If the TPV doesn't beat that SER down towards 1/25 this month will be  > +9  AN.  My guess is though the balancing act of nature will occur and it will be sig below normal temps the last 5-6 days of January and ultimately wind up +6ish AN which is remarkable.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 16, 2023 7:21 pm

heehaw453 wrote:If the TPV doesn't beat that SER down towards 1/25 this month will be  > +9  AN.  My guess is though the balancing act of nature will occur and it will be sig below normal temps the last 5-6 days of January and ultimately wind up +6ish AN which is remarkable.

Don’t forget that will be 6-9 AN comparing to the 1991-2020 Norms which are already significantly higher than the 1951-1980 averages.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7246
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

heehaw453 likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 17, 2023 7:18 am

Low of 20 this morning. Only 4 degrees above normal. We’re really making progress.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7246
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Tue Jan 17, 2023 8:23 am

22 degrees, partly cloudy and calm.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8447
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

phil155 likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by phil155 Tue Jan 17, 2023 6:22 pm

Had some light sleet here in edison earlier. Was nothing big but was not expecting anything frozen

phil155
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 474
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2019-12-16

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Thu Jan 19, 2023 12:53 pm

35 degrees and something new and different......RAIN,LOL.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8447
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

amugs likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by essexcountypete Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:08 pm

Just had a bolt of lightning in these heavy rain bands coming through.

Edit: OK, make that more than one. Wacky.
essexcountypete
essexcountypete
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 783
Reputation : 12
Join date : 2013-12-09
Location : Bloomfield, NJ

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:16 pm

Intense lightning and thunder

What a winter!!!

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

essexcountypete likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:25 pm

I never remember seeing this much lighting and thunder 🌩in January .this is crazy !!who needs snow in January when we have thunderstorms lol

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2807
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 40
Location : bronx ny

essexcountypete likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:32 pm

Wow it’s pouring over here crazy lightning ⛈ .it looks like June or July with these thunderstorms

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2807
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 40
Location : bronx ny

essexcountypete likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:42 pm

Jan 19th and thunderstorm and marine warnings on my phone..
41 and stormy
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3691
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

essexcountypete likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:51 pm

The latest first measurable snowfalls at CPK. We are going to move into 2nd on that dubious list on midnight Sunday morning barring some very unexpected accumulations before then.  Also put on here the 10 times single digit snowfall has occurred in CPK. It's about once every 15 years or so.

Folks wrap around this because records have been kept for 150+ years at the Park. There is a much higher than 0 chance this gets tied or broken. I am flabbergasted by this.

1972-73 January 29 1.8 inches (lowest in recorded history seasonal total 2.8")
1870-71 January 21 .4 inches
1999-00 January 20 2.5 inches
1965-66 January 20 .4 inches (very prolific end to January)
2022-23 January 19 T (ongoing)
2006-07 January 19 .3 inches
1997-98 January 18 .5 inches
2015-16 January 17 .4 inches
1994-95 January 11 .2 inches (.2 stood until 2/4/2012) 
1885-86 January 09 5 inches
2001-02 January 07 .5 inches
1971-72 January 05 1 inch
1877-78 January 04 1 inch 
1943-44 January 03 .7 inches

The all timers for lowest snowfall in a season at CPK. Last column is seasonal total.

1972-19730.00.00.0TTT1.80.80.2T0.00.02.8
2001-20020.00.00.00.00.0T3.5TTT0.00.03.5
1918-19190.00.00.00.00.00.30.30.52.7T0.00.03.8
2019-20200.00.00.00.00.02.52.3TTTT0.04.8
1931-19320.00.00.00.02.00.10.81.80.6T0.00.05.3
1997-19980.00.00.00.0TT0.50.05.00.00.00.05.5
2011-20120.00.00.02.90.00.04.30.20.00.00.00.07.4
1988-19890.00.00.00.00.00.35.00.32.50.00.00.08.1
1877-18780.00.00.00.0T0.06.12.00.00.00.00.08.1
1950-19510.00.00.00.0T3.80.91.92.70.00.00.09.3

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:52 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Jan 19th and thunderstorm and marine warnings on my phone..
41 and stormy
Shocked Shocked Shocked

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

weatherwatchermom likes this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Radz Fri Jan 20, 2023 6:44 am

Yesterday’s 38* and heavy rain sums up this “winter month” thus far… the thunder was just the nail last evening…
Radz
Radz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1027
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2013-01-12
Location : Cortlandt Manor NY

heehaw453 and weatherwatchermom like this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Fri Jan 20, 2023 8:58 am

1.23" from rain - what a storm this would have been...only IF cold arctic air was in place!! BUT such has been this winter.

33* this morning with heavy dense fog in the valleys - never seen this at that temperature before. 

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15074
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

CPcantmeasuresnow and Radz like this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:17 pm

Great chart posted by Heehaw avove.I lived through 6 of those winters and they are not fun.The 1994-1995 winter was awful up to mid February then we got a twelve inch snowstorm.Hoping that happens this season.
That '97-98 winter was on a path to beat '72-'73 for the all time low snow total for a season, but in March we got 6 inches that promptly melted away.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8447
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

essexcountypete and heehaw453 like this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Fri Jan 20, 2023 3:07 pm

docstox12 wrote:Great chart posted by Heehaw avove.I lived through 6 of those winters and they are not fun.The 1994-1995 winter was awful up to mid February then we got a twelve inch snowstorm.Hoping that happens this season.
That '97-98 winter was on a path to beat '72-'73 for the all time low snow total for a season, but in March we got 6 inches that promptly melted away.

that promptly melted away - that afternoon and evening!! LOL!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15074
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 20, 2023 4:00 pm

amugs wrote:
docstox12 wrote:Great chart posted by Heehaw avove.I lived through 6 of those winters and they are not fun.The 1994-1995 winter was awful up to mid February then we got a twelve inch snowstorm.Hoping that happens this season.
That '97-98 winter was on a path to beat '72-'73 for the all time low snow total for a season, but in March we got 6 inches that promptly melted away.

that promptly melted away - that afternoon and evening!! LOL!

43 degrees, mostly cloudy, calm.

LOL, right Mugsy, you could almost watch it disappering.Definitely NOT a snowpack day year that year,LOL.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8447
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 20, 2023 4:24 pm

All we would have needed was just a weak H to pump some cold air into the area.  That track on January 23 and rain all the way to coastal NH. Rock bottom folks...

white flag white flag white flag
January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Icon18

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3887
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 20, 2023 7:56 pm

heehaw453 wrote:All we would have needed was just a weak H to pump some cold air into the area.  That track on January 23 and rain all the way to coastal NH. Rock bottom folks...

white flag white flag white flag
January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Icon18

It’s actually unheard of. The last week in January where the average highs and lows are 34/15 in Orange County and with that track and NNE winds forecast Sunday night I have a forecast of 33 and rain all night. I have to laugh it’s so absurd.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7246
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

sroc4 and Radz like this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 21, 2023 8:13 am

In case you haven’t heard (eye roll), Sunday and Wednesdays storm are likely to drop an inch of two of rain along the coast. In particular the Wednesday storm could come with a line of thunderstorms that causes localized flooding. Truly an awful winter for snow lovers. Not to say, I can see how N&W gets a coating to an inch from both storms on the back end. Also keeping an eye for front end snow with Wednesday’s storm.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

docstox12 and heehaw453 like this post

Back to top Go down

January Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: January Obs & Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 4 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum